ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Ltd.

NSE: ZFCVINDIA
NIFTY500
₹2,660.00+21.0%1Y
Last updated 05:05:18 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India (ZFCVINDIA), a commercial vehicle braking and control systems supplier in the Auto sector, trades at ₹14,516 with a trailing PE of 53.2x and a forward PE of 36.4x. The company reported 5-year revenue and earnings CAGRs of 32.7% and 46.1% respectively, though the quality score of 45 and consistency score of 39 are below the peer median. At ₹14,516, the stock sits above both its 50-DMA (₹14,273) and 200-DMA (₹14,035), and is 12.9% below its 52-week high.

P/E

53.2

Forward P/E

36.4

ROE

Debt / Equity

Profit Margin

+12.5%

Div. Yield

+0.1%

5Y ROE > 15%

0/5

5Y FCF > 0

2/5

Quality

54/100

Recent context

  • ·FY2025-26 full-year results were reported as record revenue and profit driven by domestic demand and new product launches; consolidated Q4 net sales rose 14.2% YoY to ₹1,155.2 cr.
  • ·The company announced an annual dividend payable August 22, 2026; separately, its subsidiary ZF CV Control Systems Manufacturing India is expected to receive ₹300 million in funding from ZFCVINDIA.
  • ·The 3-month price return is -9.0% despite the positive earnings news flow, while the 12-month return stands at 10.7%; RSI is at 49.6, in neutral territory.

Strengths

  • +5-year revenue CAGR of 32.7% and earnings CAGR of 46.1% are among the highest absolute growth rates in the 6-stock Auto peer group reviewed.
  • +Forward PE of 36.4x represents a meaningful compression from the trailing PE of 53.2x, implying consensus estimates embed a significant step-up in near-term profitability.
  • +Record FY2025-26 revenue and profit reported (standalone Q4 net sales ₹1,132.8 cr, up 12.9% YoY; consolidated up 14.2% YoY), with news sentiment across 8 articles running 5 positive and 3 neutral, 0 negative.
  • +Current price is above both the 50-DMA (₹14,273) and 200-DMA (₹14,035), maintaining a constructive medium-term price structure.

Weaknesses

  • Trailing PE of 53.2x is the highest among 6 Auto peers reviewed; M&M trades at 20.5x and Eicher Motors at 36.0x, placing ZFCVINDIA at a 48–159% valuation premium to the peer range.
  • Debt trend is classified as rising, and both debt-to-equity ratio and ROE are unavailable from the data feed; zero years of ROE above 15% are recorded in the 5-year persistence window, making capital efficiency difficult to assess.
  • Quality score of 45 ranks 4th of 6 Auto peers and the consistency score of 39 is in the lower tier; positive FCF was recorded in only 2 of the available years, indicating irregular free cash flow generation.
  • Analyst coverage is sparse at 4 analysts with no consensus rating figure available, which reduces the depth of external earnings-estimate validation.

Open questions

  • ?Does the forward PE of 36.4x versus trailing 53.2x reflect a genuine step-change in profitability, or is it sensitive to a single year of elevated earnings estimates?
  • ?How has the rising debt trend affected operating leverage and free cash flow over the past 3 years, given that D/E data is not available in the current feed?
  • ?What proportion of ZFCVINDIA revenue is tied to commercial vehicle volumes in India, and how does the company perform across different CV cycle phases?
  • ?Does the quality score gap between ZFCVINDIA (45) and higher-ranked peers like Eicher Motors (60) and Bajaj Auto (55) reflect structural differences in business model, or cyclical variation in margins?

Peer comparison: Auto

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
ZFCVINDIAZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Ltd.You're viewing53.245
Industry avgacross 5 peers28.0+15.0%43
EICHERMOTEicher Motors Ltd.36.060
BAJAJ-AUTOBajaj Auto Ltd.27.0+28.1%55
M&MMahindra & Mahindra Ltd.20.5+18.8%52
MARUTIMaruti Suzuki India Ltd.28.3+14.4%31
TMPVTata Motors Passenger Vehicles Ltd.-1.1%16

Technical state

Current price

₹14,516.00

SMA 50

₹14,273.48

SMA 200

₹14,034.85

RSI (14)

49.6 (neutral)

From 52w high

-12.9%

1Y return

+10.7%

3M return

-9.0%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹14,478.00
₹14,452.00
₹13,608.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹14,797.00
₹15,549.00
₹15,555.00

Risk flags

  • medium
    Trailing PE of 53.2x is highest among 6 Auto sector peers reviewed; peers range from 20.5x (M&M) to 36.0x (Eicher Motors), placing ZFCVINDIA at a 48–159% premium to those peers.
  • medium
    Quality score of 45 ranks 4th of 6 Auto peers; consistency score of 39 and only 2 of available years with positive FCF point to uneven earnings quality relative to the 5-year CAGR reported.
  • medium
    Debt trend is rising; debt-to-equity and ROE are both unavailable (null) in the data feed, and zero years of ROE above 15% are recorded in persistence data, limiting visibility into capital efficiency.
  • low
    Analyst coverage is sparse at 4 analysts with no consensus rating figure available, limiting the reliability of external valuation validation.
  • low
    3-month price change of -9.0% contrasts with the 12-month gain of 10.7%; the stock sits 12.9% below its 52-week high, indicating a near-term pullback within the longer uptrend.

Cross-section contradictions

  • 5-year earnings CAGR of 46.1% and revenue CAGR of 32.7% are among the strongest growth figures in the peer set, yet the quality score (45) and consistency score (39) rank near the bottom of 6 Auto peers, suggesting growth has not consistently translated into free cash flow or measurable returns on equity.
  • News sentiment across 8 articles is entirely positive (5 positive, 3 neutral, 0 negative) with a record FY2026 revenue and profit headline, while the 3-month price return is -9.0%, indicating the market has not uniformly responded to the recent results.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 17 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days