Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Ltd.

NSE: TMPV
NIFTY50
Analyst consensus:Neutral· 27 analysts
₹349.70-47.9%1Y
Last updated 02:56:02 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV) trades at ₹397.80, down 43% over 12 months and 46.53% below the 52-week high, with current price below the 200-day moving average of ₹427.65. The business carries a D/E of 65.31, negative ROE of -1.12%, and a 5-year earnings CAGR of -32.9%, ranking last on quality score (16 of 16–66) among six Auto sector peers. A forward PE of 7.30 is the sole available valuation anchor, as trailing PE is not reported.

P/E

Forward P/E

7.3

ROE

-1.1%

Debt / Equity

65.31

Profit Margin

+24.6%

Div. Yield

+0.8%

5Y ROE > 15%

3/5

5Y FCF > 0

3/5

Quality

36/100

Recent context

  • ·Q4 FY26 results showed net profit declining 32% YoY to ₹5,783 crore with revenue rising 7%, per Moneycontrol (14 May 2026) — a divergence between revenue growth and profit trajectory that reflects margin or cost pressures below the revenue line.
  • ·Tata Motors chairman N. Chandrasekaran stated at an investor event (CNBC TV18, 4 June 2026) a target of over 20% passenger vehicle market share and 12 lakh annual PV sales by 2030, outlining a multi-year volume growth ambition.
  • ·Mean analyst rating of 2.81 across 27 analysts (1–5 scale, lower = more constructive) reflects a mid-range consensus, neither heavily concentrated at the constructive nor the cautious end of the scale.

Strengths

  • +Profit margin of 24.55% suggests that operating-level earnings remain positive despite the substantial debt load, indicating the core vehicle business retains pricing or cost structure that generates margin.
  • +Debt trend is reported as falling, meaning the D/E ratio of 65.31, while high in absolute terms, is moving in a directionally improving trajectory relative to prior periods.
  • +FCF was positive in 3 of the tracked years, showing the business has historically been capable of generating cash above capex requirements, even if not consistently.
  • +The 3-month price change is +12.01%, with the stock trading above the SMA50 (₹351.90), reflecting a partial near-term recovery from the 52-week trough.

Weaknesses

  • ROE of -1.12% is the weakest in the six-stock Auto peer group, where peers range from Maruti at 14.43% to Bajaj Auto at 28.05% — TMPV is the only peer with a negative return on equity.
  • D/E of 65.31 stands far above all five named peers, which operate with materially lower leverage; the gap raises structural capital-efficiency concerns that compress ROE even when operating margins are positive.
  • 5-year earnings CAGR of -32.9% and revenue CAGR of -11.8% represent sustained multi-year deterioration, with Q4 FY26 net profit down 32% YoY, indicating the trend has not reversed.
  • Quality score of 16 ranks 6th of 6 in the Auto sector peer group, trailing Maruti (31), Bosch (45), M&M (52), Bajaj Auto (55), and Eicher Motors (66), reflecting the combined weight of weak ROE, inconsistent FCF, and high leverage.

Open questions

  • ?Does the falling debt trend reflect structural deleveraging from operating cash flows, or is it driven by asset disposals and one-time items that may not be repeatable?
  • ?How does the 24.55% reported profit margin reconcile with negative ROE in the context of a D/E of 65.31 — and what level of leverage reduction would be required to restore ROE to positive territory?
  • ?The forward PE of 7.30 implies a significant earnings recovery relative to recent quarterly trends; what specific revenue or margin drivers underpin that analyst estimate, and how sensitive is it to JLR and domestic PV volume assumptions?
  • ?Given the 12-month price decline of 43% and the stock trading below SMA200, what has changed in the fundamental outlook — if anything — to explain the 12% 3-month recovery, and does that change persist into the next earnings cycle?

Peer comparison: Auto

Ranks 6 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
TMPVTata Motors Passenger Vehicles Ltd.You're viewing-1.1%16
Industry avgacross 5 peers29.9+20.9%50
EICHERMOTEicher Motors Ltd.35.2+23.8%66
BAJAJ-AUTOBajaj Auto Ltd.26.9+28.1%55
M&MMahindra & Mahindra Ltd.20.0+18.8%52
BOSCHLTDBosch Ltd.39.6+19.4%45
MARUTIMaruti Suzuki India Ltd.27.9+14.4%31

Technical state

Current price

₹397.80

SMA 50

₹351.90

SMA 200

₹427.65

RSI (14)

66.7 (neutral)

From 52w high

-46.5%

1Y return

-43.0%

3M return

+12.0%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹337.50
₹335.60
₹333.65

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹408.00

Risk flags

  • high
    5-year earnings growth of -32.9% and revenue decline of -11.8% per annum reflect sustained multi-year deterioration. Q4 FY26 net profit fell 32% YoY per Moneycontrol (14 May 2026), continuing a multi-year compression trend.
  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 65.31 is materially above all five named Auto peers (Bajaj Auto, Eicher Motors, M&M, Maruti, Bosch), which operate at substantially lower leverage. This level of gearing raises capital-structure concerns not resolvable from the available metrics alone.
  • high
    Current ROE is -1.12%, meaning the business is not generating returns on equity. ROE exceeded 15% in only 3 of the tracked years and FCF was positive in only 3 of the tracked years. The quality score of 16 ranks last (6th of 6) in the Auto peer group, against a peer range of 31–66.
  • medium
    Stock is down 43% over 12 months and 46.53% below the 52-week high. It trades below the 200-day moving average (SMA200 ₹427.65 vs current ₹397.80) and has been in a sustained drawdown. The nearest resistance cluster is at ₹408.
  • low
    Trailing PE is unavailable; only a forward PE of 7.30 is reported. Peer comparison on valuation is therefore limited to a single forward estimate against peers with observable trailing multiples of 19.96–39.63x.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Profit margin of 24.55% is relatively high, yet ROE is -1.12% and D/E is 65.31 — indicating that elevated debt is absorbing equity returns even when operating margins appear intact; the leverage structure, not operations, is the primary drag on capital efficiency.
  • News sentiment scores 4 positive vs 1 negative, and the stock has risen 12% over 3 months, yet the 12-month price change is -43% and 5-year earnings CAGR is -32.9% — the near-term price recovery and positive news flow diverge sharply from the multi-year fundamental and price trend.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 6 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days