HDB Financial Services Ltd.

NSE: HDBFS
NIFTY500
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 14 analysts
₹729.801Y
Last updated 02:54:05 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

HDB Financial Services Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

HDB Financial Services (HDBFS) is a listed NBFC and subsidiary of HDFC Bank, trading at ₹674.95 with a trailing PE of 21.8 and a forward PE of 14.1, implying consensus expectations of accelerating earnings. The stock sits 6.7% below its 200-DMA and 24.1% below its 52-week high, with a 3-month price change of -6.3%, even as the company reported strong recent quarterly profit growth.

P/E

21.8

Forward P/E

14.1

ROE

+13.9%

Debt / Equity

480.24

Profit Margin

+28.9%

Div. Yield

+0.6%

5Y ROE > 15%

2/5

5Y FCF > 0

0/5

Quality

50/100

Recent context

  • ·Post-Q1 results in April 2026, shares declined despite the quarterly numbers; Emkay cited potential upside in its coverage, and the headline noted an 11% upside view from that named broker.
  • ·In May 2026 HDBFS announced a floating-rate bond issuance — a liability-side funding action that adds to the rising debt trend already flagged in persistence data.
  • ·ESOP share issuances in April 2026 incrementally increased paid-up capital; at 10,440 shares the dilution is minimal but signals ongoing equity-compensation activity.

Strengths

  • +Revenue has grown at an 18.4% five-year CAGR and earnings at 35.7%, placing HDBFS among the higher-growth profiles in the Banking-NBFC peer group.
  • +Quality score of 57/100 ranks first among the six sector peers tracked (vs AXISBANK 53, BAJFINANCE 53, HDFCBANK 47), suggesting relative operational strength within the comparison set.
  • +Forward PE of 14.1 represents a 35% compression from the trailing PE of 21.8, reflecting analyst consensus expectations of meaningful earnings growth in the near term.
  • +Profit margin of 28.9% is consistent with NBFC economics; dividend yield of 0.59% is present, and the company has recently issued ESOP shares and floating-rate bonds — indicating active capital management.

Weaknesses

  • FCF has been positive in 0 of recorded years, and the debt trend is classified as rising — for an NBFC with D/E of 480.2, sustained negative free cash flow increases sensitivity to refinancing conditions and liquidity cycles.
  • ROE of 13.94% has exceeded 15% in only 2 of tracked years (consistency score 31/100); the gap between strong earnings growth and sub-15% ROE persistence suggests profitability has not yet reached structural durability.
  • Current price of ₹674.95 sits 6.7% below the 200-DMA of ₹723.37 and 24.1% below the 52-week high, with three resistance levels clustered between ₹705 and ₹731; the stock has not reclaimed its longer-term trend line.
  • Quality consistency score of 31/100 is low in absolute terms despite the peer-relative rank of 1 of 6 — reflecting that the peer group itself is broadly in the 20–57 range, not a high-quality cohort.

Open questions

  • ?Does the gap between 35.7% five-year earnings CAGR and 0 FCF-positive years reflect structural provisioning norms for this NBFC business model, or does it indicate earnings quality concerns that may surface in future credit cycles?
  • ?How much of the 35% compression from trailing to forward PE is driven by actual analyst earnings upgrades versus multiple de-rating — and how sensitive is that forward PE to a credit-cost increase?
  • ?Given that HDBFS has D/E of 480.2 with a rising debt trend, how does its funding mix (deposits vs. market borrowings vs. bank lines) compare to peers, and what portion matures in the next 12 months?
  • ?The stock is 24.1% below its 52-week high yet support levels are at ₹651 and ₹555 — what catalysts, if any, have historically coincided with HDBFS reclaiming its 200-DMA after similar extended drawdowns?

Peer comparison: Banking

Ranks 1 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
HDBFSHDB Financial Services Ltd.You're viewing21.8+13.9%57
Industry avgacross 5 peers31.7+14.2%39
AXISBANKAxis Bank Ltd.14.7+13.2%53
BAJFINANCEBajaj Finance Ltd.29.8+17.9%53
HDFCBANKHDFC Bank Ltd.17.2+13.8%47
BAJAJFINSVBajaj Finserv Ltd.28.4+14.6%23
HDFCLIFEHDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd.68.5+11.3%20

Technical state

Current price

₹674.95

SMA 50

₹649.78

SMA 200

₹723.37

RSI (14)

53.2 (neutral)

From 52w high

-24.1%

1Y return

3M return

-6.3%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹651.10
₹555.30

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹705.00
₹723.95
₹731.30

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 480.2 reflects standard NBFC leverage, but FCF has been positive in 0 of recorded years and the debt trend is classified as rising — this combination elevates refinancing and asset-quality sensitivity relative to peers.
  • medium
    ROE of 13.94% has cleared 15% in only 2 of tracked years; consistency score is 31/100, indicating that five-year earnings CAGR of 35.7% has not yet produced durable return-on-equity.
  • medium
    Current price of ₹674.95 is 6.7% below the 200-DMA of ₹723.37 and 24.1% below the 52-week high; the stock has spent recent months in a below-200-DMA regime.
  • low
    News corpus totals 8 items — modest signal breadth; headline coverage includes a post-Q1 share price decline and a floating-rate bond issuance, with 1 negative item among 8.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Five-year earnings CAGR of 35.7% and a forward PE of 14.1 that is well below the trailing PE of 21.8 imply strong near-term profit growth expectations, yet FCF has been positive in 0 of recorded years and quality consistency scores 31/100 — earnings expansion has not been accompanied by free-cash conversion.
  • News sentiment is neutral-to-positive (2 positive, 1 negative of 8 items), but the stock is down 6.3% over 3 months and 24.1% below its 52-week high, suggesting price action has diverged from the recent earnings and news tone.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 24 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 17 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days