Bajaj Finance Ltd.

NSE: BAJFINANCE
NIFTY50
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 35 analysts
₹990.95+9.5%1Y
Last updated 03:00:22 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Bajaj Finance Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Bajaj Finance trades at ₹889.4, down 0.95% over 12 months and below both the 50-DMA (₹908) and 200-DMA (₹963.76), with RSI at 42.66. The company reported trailing PE of 29.1x, ROE of 17.9% — highest in its 6-peer Banking/NBFC group — and 5-year revenue CAGR of 26.8%, alongside a debt-to-equity of 313.4 and zero FCF-positive years across tracked history. Mean analyst rating is 1.94 across 35 analysts on a 1–5 scale (lower = more constructive).

P/E

29.1

Forward P/E

18.0

ROE

+17.9%

Debt / Equity

313.41

Profit Margin

+43.4%

Div. Yield

+0.6%

5Y ROE > 15%

4/5

5Y FCF > 0

0/5

Quality

56/100

Recent context

  • ·Bajaj Finance filed two NCD issuances in May 2026 — ₹10,250 million and ₹28,924.2 million on a private placement basis — consistent with the company's ongoing wholesale debt funding model for AUM expansion.
  • ·The 52-week drawdown stands at -19.33%, with the stock's nearest support cluster identified at ₹889–₹887 and resistance at ₹946–₹975.
  • ·Business Today reported analyst share price targets for Bajaj Finance alongside sector peers in May 2026; the news flow surrounding the stock has been predominantly operational rather than event-driven.

Strengths

  • +ROE of 17.9% ranks first among 6 tracked Banking/NBFC peers (ICICIBANK 16.4%, HDFCBANK 13.8%, AXISBANK 13.2%), demonstrating relative capital efficiency within the sector.
  • +5-year revenue CAGR of 26.8% and earnings CAGR of 21.4% reflect sustained compounding of both topline and bottom line over an extended period.
  • +Profit margin of 43.4% is high for a diversified NBFC, indicating pricing power and cost discipline relative to loan book size.
  • +Forward PE of 18.0x compresses materially from the trailing PE of 29.1x, reflecting analyst consensus expectations of significant near-term earnings growth.

Weaknesses

  • FCF-positive years is zero across all tracked periods; AUM growth is funded entirely through wholesale debt, creating dependency on uninterrupted capital market access.
  • Debt-to-equity of 313.4 with a rising 5-year debt trend means earnings and capital ratios are highly sensitive to any adverse movement in borrowing costs or RBI regulatory requirements.
  • Current price sits 7.7% below the 200-DMA (₹963.76) and 2.0% below the 50-DMA (₹908), with the stock down 7.59% over 3 months — a sustained period of underperformance relative to its own moving averages.
  • Trailing PE of 29.1x is the highest in the peer group versus ICICIBANK (16.9x), HDFCBANK (16.7x), and AXISBANK (15.1x), a premium that requires continued outsized earnings delivery to sustain.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 5-year ROE persistence of 17.9% reflect a structural moat in consumer and SME lending, or is it dependent on a sustained low-credit-cost environment that may not persist?
  • ?How does Bajaj Finance's wholesale funding dependency and rising debt trend compare to peers during past RBI tightening cycles, and what was the historical impact on net interest margins?
  • ?The forward PE of 18.0x implies significant earnings growth relative to the trailing 29.1x — what are the key assumptions (AUM growth, credit costs, NIM stability) underlying that compression?
  • ?Given that the stock has underperformed its own ROE leadership over 12 months, what factors — macro, regulatory, or sector rotation — could explain the divergence between fundamental quality and price performance?

Peer comparison: Banking

Ranks 2 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
BAJFINANCEBajaj Finance Ltd.You're viewing29.1+17.9%53
Industry avgacross 5 peers28.3+13.8%41
ICICIBANKICICI Bank Ltd.16.9+16.4%64
AXISBANKAxis Bank Ltd.15.1+13.2%50
HDFCBANKHDFC Bank Ltd.16.7+13.8%50
BAJAJFINSVBajaj Finserv Ltd.27.9+14.6%23
HDFCLIFEHDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd.65.1+11.3%20

Technical state

Current price

₹889.40

SMA 50

₹908.00

SMA 200

₹963.76

RSI (14)

42.7 (neutral)

From 52w high

-19.3%

1Y return

-0.9%

3M return

-7.6%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹889.00
₹887.00
₹792.45

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹946.35
₹948.40
₹975.70

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 313.4 with a rising 5-year debt trend. At this leverage level, structurally expected for NBFCs, a credit-cost spike or RBI regulatory tightening would have an amplified impact on net interest margins and net profitability.
  • high
    FCF-positive years: 0 across all tracked periods. Bajaj Finance funds AUM growth entirely through wholesale debt markets; no internal liquidity buffer exists if funding costs spike or credit market access tightens.
  • medium
    Current price of ₹889.4 is 2.0% below the 50-DMA (₹908) and 7.7% below the 200-DMA (₹963.76). The stock has returned -0.95% over 12 months and is down 7.59% over 3 months, remaining below both long-run moving averages.
  • medium
    Trailing PE of 29.1x is among the highest in the 6-stock Banking/NBFC peer group (ICICIBANK 16.9x, HDFCBANK 16.7x, AXISBANK 15.1x). Quality score of 53 ranks 2nd of 6, meaning the valuation premium is only partially supported by relative quality standing.
  • low
    News volume is sparse — only 4 articles in the tracked window, all rated neutral. The two most substantive items are NCD issuance filings; limited editorial coverage reduces signal confidence in either direction.

Cross-section contradictions

  • 5-year revenue CAGR of 26.8% and earnings CAGR of 21.4% are among the strongest in the peer group, yet the stock has returned -0.95% over 12 months and trades 7.7% below its 200-DMA — a divergence between structural growth trajectory and recent price behaviour.
  • ROE of 17.9% is the highest among all 6 tracked peers (ICICIBANK 16.4%, HDFCBANK 13.8%, AXISBANK 13.2%), yet the stock ranks last in 12-month price return within the group, reflecting a disconnect between fundamental quality leadership and recent market pricing.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 6 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days