Balkrishna Industries Ltd.

NSE: BALKRISIND
NIFTY500
Analyst consensus:Neutral· 17 analysts
₹2,223.70-6.9%1Y
Last updated 02:59:09 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Balkrishna Industries Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Balkrishna Industries (BALKRISIND) is a specialty tyre manufacturer in the Auto sector, currently priced at ₹2,148 — 8.7% below its 50-DMA and 8.7% below its 200-DMA, with a 12-month decline of 21.4%. FY26 results showed revenue growth offset by a reported ~25% YoY fall in net profit, with ongoing major capex targeting revenue doubling by FY30. The trailing PE of 33.4 represents a premium to most Auto peers despite the weakest quality score (28 of 100) in the peer group.

P/E

33.4

Forward P/E

21.5

ROE

Debt / Equity

35.27

Profit Margin

+12.3%

Div. Yield

+0.8%

5Y ROE > 15%

3/5

5Y FCF > 0

2/5

Quality

36/100

Recent context

  • ·FY26 results (per TradingView and ad-hoc coverage) showed net profit down approximately 25% YoY on flat-to-modestly-higher revenue, with margin pressure cited as a primary driver; an earnings miss was reported against analyst estimates.
  • ·Management announced a major capex program with the ambition to double revenue by FY30, financed in part by debt — the rising D/E trend and the capex scale are the central near-term financial variables for the business.
  • ·A ₹4 per share dividend (200% face-value payout) was declared alongside the results; Zee Business and other outlets flagged the payout positively even as the profit decline dominated headline coverage.

Strengths

  • +Revenue grew in FY26 on a 5-year base of 6.9% CAGR, and a major capex program is underway with a stated goal of doubling revenue by FY30, signalling management commitment to long-term scale.
  • +Forward PE of 21.5 is a meaningful compression from the trailing PE of 33.4, indicating the market is pricing in an earnings recovery if consensus projections materialise.
  • +Dividend of ₹4 per share (200% payout) was declared in FY26 alongside the capex cycle, with a trailing yield of 0.75% — demonstrating that the board maintained distributions despite the profit decline.
  • +RSI at 44.6 is in neutral territory, and nearest technical support sits at ₹2,136 — approximately 0.6% below current price — with a secondary support level at ₹2,015.

Weaknesses

  • 5-year earnings CAGR of -15% and FCF positive in only 2 of available years point to sustained profit contraction and inconsistent cash generation over the measurement period.
  • Quality score of 28 ranks 5th of 6 in the Auto peer group (peer median approximately 52–55), with ROE above 15% in only 3 of available years and a consistency score of 34.
  • Debt-to-equity of 35.3 with a rising debt trend is elevated relative to auto-ancillary norms; revenue growth of 6.9% over 5 years has not translated into earnings growth (-15% over the same period), compressing returns.
  • Price is below both the 50-DMA (₹2,207) and 200-DMA (₹2,352), with a 52-week drawdown of -23.2% and a 3-month decline of -20.9%, reflecting sustained price weakness.

Open questions

  • ?Does the capex program targeting revenue doubling by FY30 rely on debt financing that will further elevate the D/E ratio, and at what revenue growth rate does the incremental debt become self-funding?
  • ?Is the 5-year earnings CAGR of -15% primarily a reflection of a cyclical downturn in the specialty tyre segment, or does it point to structural margin compression relative to peers?
  • ?The forward PE of 21.5 implies a significant earnings recovery — what specific operational or pricing catalysts does management cite as the basis for that expectation, and have those catalysts materialised historically?
  • ?Given that quality score (28) and consistency score (34) are the lowest in the peer group, what timeframe of sustained ROE improvement would be needed before the fundamentals align with the current valuation multiple?

Peer comparison: Auto

Ranks 5 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
BALKRISINDBalkrishna Industries Ltd.You're viewing33.428
Industry avgacross 5 peers28.0+15.0%43
EICHERMOTEicher Motors Ltd.36.160
BAJAJ-AUTOBajaj Auto Ltd.27.0+28.1%55
M&MMahindra & Mahindra Ltd.20.6+18.8%52
MARUTIMaruti Suzuki India Ltd.28.3+14.4%31
TMPVTata Motors Passenger Vehicles Ltd.-1.1%16

Technical state

Current price

₹2,148.30

SMA 50

₹2,206.78

SMA 200

₹2,351.56

RSI (14)

44.5 (neutral)

From 52w high

-23.2%

1Y return

-21.4%

3M return

-20.9%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹2,136.30
₹2,015.40

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹2,229.00
₹2,300.00
₹2,365.00

Risk flags

  • high
    5-year earnings growth of -15% alongside FCF positive in only 2 of available years indicates sustained profit contraction and weak cash generation over the measurement period.
  • high
    Quality score of 28 ranks 5th of 6 in the Auto peer group (peer median approximately 52–55); consistency score of 34 and ROE above 15% in only 3 of available years signal the weakest capital-return profile in the peer set.
  • medium
    Price of ₹2,148 is below both the 50-DMA (₹2,207) and 200-DMA (₹2,352), with a 52-week drawdown of -23.2% and a 12-month decline of -21.4%. The 3-month decline of -20.9% indicates accelerating deterioration.
  • medium
    Debt-to-equity of 35.3 with a rising debt trend is elevated relative to the auto-ancillary segment; revenue grew only 6.9% over 5 years while earnings contracted 15% over the same span, compressing operating leverage.
  • low
    News flow skews 4-negative vs 2-positive across 8 recent articles, with multiple reports citing FY26 profit down ~25% YoY, margin pressure, and an earnings miss — concentrated in the most recent reporting cycle.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Trailing PE of 33.4 is the second-highest among peers (behind Eicher Motors at 36.1), yet BALKRISIND ranks last on quality score (28 vs peer median ~52) — a premium valuation multiple coexists with the weakest quality profile in the peer group.
  • Forward PE compresses sharply to 21.5, implying consensus expects a significant earnings recovery, yet the 5-year earnings CAGR is -15% and FY26 profit reportedly fell 25% YoY — a notable divergence between near-term analyst earnings projections and the recent earnings trajectory.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 17 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days