Bajaj Housing Finance Ltd.

NSE: BAJAJHFL
NIFTY500
Analyst consensus:Neutral· 14 analysts
₹87.95-26.5%1Y
Last updated 03:03:09 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Bajaj Housing Finance Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Bajaj Housing Finance (BAJAJHFL) is an HFC trading at ₹84.17, down 30.35% over the past 12 months and 34.6% below its 52-week high, with the stock below both its 50-DMA (₹84.62) and 200-DMA (₹98.88). Q4 FY26 results showed AUM up 23% YoY and PBT up 20% YoY with GNPA at 0.27%, while the trailing PE stands at 27.3 and forward PE at 19.4 on a quality score of 45 out of 100.

P/E

27.3

Forward P/E

19.4

ROE

+12.1%

Debt / Equity

460.50

Profit Margin

+61.5%

Div. Yield

5Y ROE > 15%

0/5

5Y FCF > 0

0/5

Quality

48/100

Recent context

  • ·Q4 FY26 results (reported April 27, 2026) showed double-digit growth in profits and AUM with GNPA stable at 0.27%, accompanied by investor presentations citing digitalization as a growth driver.
  • ·Mean analyst rating of 3.07 across 14 analysts (1–5 scale, lower = more constructive) reflects balanced sell-side positioning, with no named broker upgrades or downgrades in the visible news flow.
  • ·The stock closed at ₹84.17 on May 12, 2026, fractionally below the 50-DMA of ₹84.62 and significantly below the 200-DMA of ₹98.88, with RSI at 43.01 in neutral territory and the nearest support at ₹72.65.

Strengths

  • +Q4 FY26 AUM growth of 23% YoY and PBT growth of 20% YoY indicate continued expansion of the loan book alongside maintained profitability at scale.
  • +GNPA at 0.27% per the most recent earnings disclosure reflects strong credit underwriting relative to broader housing finance industry norms.
  • +5-year revenue CAGR of 42.3% demonstrates rapid business-scale build since listing, with the Bajaj group parentage providing access to diversified funding channels.
  • +Forward PE of 19.4 represents a meaningful compression from the trailing PE of 27.3, implying the market is pricing in meaningful earnings growth in the near term.

Weaknesses

  • Debt-to-equity of 460.5, zero FCF-positive years in the tracked period, and ROE that has never crossed 15% create a combination of high structural leverage with sub-threshold capital efficiency returns.
  • Price is 34.6% below the 52-week high and has declined 30.35% over 12 months, remaining below the 200-DMA (₹98.88) with three overhead resistance levels between ₹85.76 and ₹92.05.
  • ROE of 12.06% ranks 5th of 6 in the peer group; quality score of 45 ranks 4th of 6; the consistency score of 35 is among the lowest in comparable Banking/NBFC coverage.
  • 5-year earnings CAGR of 14.4% lags the 5-year revenue CAGR of 42.3% by 27.9 percentage points, indicating that incremental loan-book growth has not translated proportionally into bottom-line returns.

Open questions

  • ?How has the cost of borrowing for Bajaj Housing Finance trended over the past four quarters, and what does that imply for net interest margin sustainability given the 14.4% earnings CAGR versus 42.3% revenue CAGR?
  • ?Does the 0.27% GNPA ratio reflect the full credit risk in the book, or are there off-balance-sheet structures or restructured-loan categories that merit closer examination?
  • ?What is the historical relationship between Bajaj Housing Finance's PE multiple and its ROE cycle — has the current 27.3x trailing PE been sustained at comparable ROE levels in prior years?
  • ?Given that all five sector peers lack 1-year price change data, how does BAJAJHFL's -30.35% 1Y return compare to listed HFC peers such as LICHSGFIN or PNBHOUSING over the same period?

Peer comparison: Banking

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
BAJAJHFLBajaj Housing Finance Ltd.You're viewing27.3+12.1%45
Industry avgacross 5 peers31.7+14.2%39
AXISBANKAxis Bank Ltd.14.7+13.2%53
BAJFINANCEBajaj Finance Ltd.29.9+17.9%53
HDFCBANKHDFC Bank Ltd.17.1+13.8%47
BAJAJFINSVBajaj Finserv Ltd.28.3+14.6%23
HDFCLIFEHDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd.68.5+11.3%20

Technical state

Current price

₹84.17

SMA 50

₹84.62

SMA 200

₹98.88

RSI (14)

43.0 (neutral)

From 52w high

-34.6%

1Y return

-30.4%

3M return

-8.2%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹72.65

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹85.76
₹89.20
₹92.05

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity ratio of 460.5 is structurally elevated; while typical for an HFC given loan-book funding, FCF has been positive in 0 of tracked years and ROE has never exceeded 15% — the combination of maximum leverage, zero FCF years, and below-cost-of-equity returns warrants heightened monitoring.
  • medium
    Price is down 30.35% over the past 12 months and 34.6% below the 52-week high; the stock has remained below its 200-DMA (₹98.88 vs current ₹84.17) and also marginally below the 50-DMA (₹84.62), with three overhead resistance levels clustered at ₹85.76, ₹89.20, and ₹92.05.
  • medium
    ROE of 12.06% has not exceeded 15% in any tracked year (roeYearsAbove15 = 0); consistency score of 35 and quality score of 45 rank 4th and 5th of 6 peers respectively in the Banking sector, indicating below-median quality relative to comparables.
  • medium
    5-year revenue CAGR of 42.3% compares to 5-year earnings CAGR of only 14.4%, suggesting that profit has not scaled proportionally with the loan book — a compression in incremental return on incremental capital.
  • low
    Mean analyst rating of 3.07 across 14 analysts (1–5 scale, lower = more constructive) sits at the midpoint of the scale, indicating broadly balanced rather than constructive sell-side positioning.
  • low
    1-year price change data is unavailable for all 5 sector peers, preventing a relative price-performance benchmark for BAJAJHFL's -30.35% 1Y return.

Cross-section contradictions

  • AUM grew 23% YoY and PBT grew 20% YoY with GNPA at 0.27% per Q4 FY26 results, yet the stock has declined 30.35% over the past 12 months and trades 34.6% below its 52-week high — operating metrics and market price have diverged significantly.
  • News sentiment is positive (4 positive, 0 negative out of 8 items) driven by Q4 earnings coverage, while price action has been negative across all measured periods: -30.35% over 1 year and -8.22% over 3 months.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 15 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days