Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd.

NSE: GMDCLTD
NIFTY500
Analyst consensus:Cautious· 1 analysts
₹597.00+56.0%1Y
Last updated 02:53:45 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation (GMDCLTD) is a state-owned minerals mining company trading at ₹652.60, up 113.64% over the past 12 months and positioned above both its 50-DMA (₹624.68) and 200-DMA (₹557.48). FY26 results reported on 14–15 May 2026 showed consolidated PAT up 45% to ₹991 Cr, with a ₹9.50/share dividend declared, though a ₹523 Cr exceptional GST credit was a notable component. Trailing PE stands at 21.73 with D/E of 4.475 and a 5-year earnings CAGR of −14.3%.

P/E

21.7

Forward P/E

23.3

ROE

+14.2%

Debt / Equity

4.47

Profit Margin

+31.1%

Div. Yield

+1.6%

5Y ROE > 15%

1/5

5Y FCF > 0

3/5

Quality

37/100

Recent context

  • ·FY26 full-year results (announced 14–15 May 2026): consolidated net profit reported at ₹956.67–₹991 Cr depending on the reporting basis, with a ₹9.50/share dividend. A ₹523 Cr GST credit was flagged as an exceptional item by PSU Connect.
  • ·The stock has gained 113.64% over 12 months against a 52-week high drawdown of only −15.46%, placing it near the upper half of its annual range at ₹652.60 with resistance levels identified at ₹754.30 and ₹771.90.
  • ·Single analyst coverage with a rating of 4 on a 1–5 scale (1 = more constructive, 5 = less constructive); the limited sell-side attention reflects GMDCLTD's niche as a mid-cap PSU mining company.

Strengths

  • +Profit margin of 31.09% is high relative to most Metals-sector peers, reflecting the pricing power typical of a government-backed mineral extraction franchise.
  • +Stock is trading 17.0% above its 200-DMA (₹557.48) and 4.5% above its 50-DMA (₹624.68), with RSI at 45.87 (neutral) — price is in an uptrend without being in an extended overbought condition.
  • +Dividend yield of 1.55% with a ₹9.50/share declared for FY26 provides a cash return signal alongside capital appreciation over the past year.
  • +5-year revenue growth of 8% shows moderate top-line expansion even as earnings have been compressed, suggesting revenues have grown but cost or tax structures have weighed on net earnings.

Weaknesses

  • D/E of 4.475 with a rising debt trend is materially elevated for a mining company; financial leverage at this level increases vulnerability to commodity-price or revenue cycles.
  • 5-year earnings CAGR of −14.3% reflects a persistently declining profitability trend; ROE of 14.19% exceeded 15% in only 1 of the tracked years, and consistency score is 31/100.
  • FY26 headline PAT included a ₹523 Cr exceptional GST credit; stripping that out, the underlying operating profit picture may be materially weaker than the reported 45% PAT growth implies.
  • Quality score of 34 ranks 4th among 6 Metals-sector peers, with FCF positive in only 3 of tracked years — capital generation has not been reliable across cycles.

Open questions

  • ?How much of FY26's PAT growth is attributable to the ₹523 Cr GST credit versus underlying operational improvement, and what does the trajectory look like excluding that exceptional item?
  • ?Does the rising D/E trend reflect capex for capacity expansion in ligite or other minerals, or is it financing operational shortfalls — and how does management plan to address leverage over the next 2–3 years?
  • ?Given that 5-year earnings CAGR is −14.3% while the stock is up 113.64% over 12 months, what fundamental shift — if any — has the market priced in, and is that shift visible in the order book or production data?
  • ?How exposed is GMDCLTD's revenue base to a single commodity (lignite) versus diversified minerals, and how has that concentration affected profitability through past commodity cycles?

Peer comparison: Metals

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
GMDCLTDGujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd.You're viewing21.7+14.2%34
Industry avgacross 5 peers23.8+17.4%37
JSWSTEELJSW Steel Ltd.14.0+27.3%45
TATASTEELTata Steel Ltd.29.5+11.2%42
HINDALCOHindalco Industries Ltd.14.738
ADANIENTAdani Enterprises Ltd.36.9+13.7%22
DUMMYVEDL1Dummy Vedanta Ltd. 1

Technical state

Current price

₹652.60

SMA 50

₹624.68

SMA 200

₹557.48

RSI (14)

45.9 (neutral)

From 52w high

-15.5%

1Y return

+113.6%

3M return

+9.8%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹536.60
₹534.60
₹521.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹754.30
₹771.90

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 4.475 is materially elevated for a non-financial mining company; the debt trend is classified as rising, amplifying balance-sheet risk if commodity prices soften.
  • high
    5-year earnings growth of −14.3% shows a persistent contraction in profitability over the medium term. ROE of 14.19% cleared 15% in only 1 of the tracked years; consistency score of 31/100 and FCF positive in 3 of tracked years together indicate weak structural financial quality.
  • medium
    Forward PE of 23.26 exceeds trailing PE of 21.73, implying the market prices in further earnings compression. Quality score of 34 ranks 4th out of 6 peers in the Metals sector.
  • medium
    Peer comparison is impaired: all 4 valid peers have null priceChange1Y; one peer entry is a dummy placeholder (DUMMYVEDL1). Sector rankings on price performance are unavailable.
  • low
    News sample is sparse at 5 articles, all clustered around the FY26 results announcement on 14–15 May 2026. Sentiment read is event-driven and may not reflect sustained news flow.

Cross-section contradictions

  • 5-year earnings growth is −14.3% and ROE has been above 15% in only 1 year, yet the stock is up 113.64% over 12 months and trades above both the 50-DMA (₹624.68) and 200-DMA (₹557.48) — price appreciation has significantly outpaced the medium-term earnings trajectory.
  • FY26 PAT rose 45% to ₹991 Cr (including a one-time GST credit of ₹523 Cr per news), yet the 5-year earnings growth figure of −14.3% reflects a structurally declining earnings base — the recent headline profit jump appears driven by an exceptional item rather than organic improvement.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 24 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 17 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days