Tata Steel Ltd.

NSE: TATASTEEL
NIFTY50
Analyst consensus:Neutral· 36 analysts
₹190.16+27.7%1Y
Last updated 03:00:16 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Tata Steel Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Tata Steel (₹198.96) trades above its 200-DMA (₹185.21) and is up 33% over the past year, with FY26 PAT surging 243% YoY to ₹10,886 crore on the back of strong India operations. Despite the earnings improvement, the stock carries debt-to-equity of 89.0, a profit margin of 4.65%, and ROE that has not exceeded 15% in any recorded year — placing it near the lower tier of Metals peers on fundamental quality (consistency score 23). Analyst coverage spans 36 analysts with a mean rating of 2.54 on a 1–5 scale (lower = more constructive).

P/E

23.0

Forward P/E

10.6

ROE

+11.2%

Debt / Equity

89.02

Profit Margin

+4.7%

Div. Yield

+2.0%

5Y ROE > 15%

0/5

5Y FCF > 0

4/5

Quality

50/100

Recent context

  • ·FY26 integrated report filed June 2026 showed PAT up 243% YoY to ₹10,886 crore, with management commentary highlighting strong India operations as the primary driver.
  • ·A ₹4 per share dividend on ₹1 face-value shares was announced for FY26, reflecting management confidence in near-term cash generation alongside the earnings recovery.
  • ·Q4 FY26 results coverage (Mint, June 2026) is the most recent earnings event in the news set; the 5-item corpus is neutral in aggregate with no negative headlines captured, though the thin volume limits the signal.

Strengths

  • +5-year revenue CAGR of 12.5% and 5-year earnings CAGR of 125.2% reflect a substantial recovery in profitability from the trough, with FY26 PAT reported up 243% YoY to ₹10,886 crore.
  • +FCF was positive in 4 of the available fiscal years, indicating the business generates cash in most operating environments despite the capital intensity of steelmaking.
  • +At ₹198.96, the stock trades 7.4% above its 200-DMA (₹185.21) and is up 6.6% over the past 3 months, with three identified technical support levels clustered at ₹198.94, ₹192.09, and ₹178.86.
  • +Dividend yield of 2.01% with a ₹4 per share dividend announced for FY26 provides an income component alongside the recovery in earnings.

Weaknesses

  • Debt-to-equity of 89.0 is elevated relative to the Metals sector; the flat debt trend over the recorded period means leverage has not meaningfully declined despite the earnings recovery — a high-severity flag given the cyclical nature of steel pricing.
  • ROE of 11.16% has not exceeded 15% in any year within the recorded period, and the fundamental consistency score of 23 ranks 2nd-lowest among the 6 Metals peers tracked (vs JSW Steel at 45 and Hindustan Zinc at 72).
  • Profit margin of 4.65% is thin for a company carrying substantial debt; in a steel-price downturn, even a modest revenue decline can simultaneously compress earnings and tighten cash flow.
  • Trailing PE of 23.0 against a forward PE of 10.6 prices in a near-doubling of earnings power; if the European segment headwinds persist or India steel spreads narrow, the implied step-up may not materialise on the expected timeline.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 243% PAT surge reflect a structural improvement in steelmaking economics or a recovery from an unusually depressed base, and how much is attributable to India versus the European segment?
  • ?With debt-to-equity at 89.0 and a flat debt trend, what is the stated deleveraging timeline, and under what steel-price scenario does interest coverage become a constraint?
  • ?The forward PE of 10.6 implies significant earnings growth from the current 4.65% margin — which specific operational or pricing levers are expected to drive that margin expansion?
  • ?How does TATASTEEL India capacity utilisation and realisations per tonne compare with JSW Steel (ROE 27.26%) to explain the gap in return on equity across the peer set?

Peer comparison: Metals

Ranks 2 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
TATASTEELTata Steel Ltd.You're viewing23.0+11.2%47
Industry avgacross 5 peers24.8+27.0%40
HINDZINCHindustan Zinc Ltd.17.2+76.9%72
JSWSTEELJSW Steel Ltd.14.2+27.3%45
JINDALSTELJindal Steel Ltd.34.5+6.8%34
HINDALCOHindalco Industries Ltd.16.8+10.3%31
ADANIENTAdani Enterprises Ltd.41.2+13.7%19

Technical state

Current price

₹198.96

SMA 50

₹205.58

SMA 200

₹185.21

RSI (14)

44.8 (neutral)

From 52w high

-9.5%

1Y return

+33.1%

3M return

+6.6%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹198.94
₹192.09
₹178.86

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹206.83
₹212.08
₹213.83

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 89.0 in a cyclical commodity sector with profit margin of 4.65% and ROE of 11.16%. Zero years of ROE above 15% in the recorded period; fundamental consistency score of 23. Thin margins combined with elevated leverage amplify earnings and cash-flow pressure in any steel-price downturn.
  • medium
    Trailing PE of 23.0 versus forward PE of 10.6, implying the market is pricing a near-doubling of earnings from the current 4.65% margin base. FCF was positive in 4 of the available years, but debt trend is flat rather than declining, leaving limited headroom if the earnings recovery falls short.
  • medium
    Quality score ranks 2nd-lowest among 6 Metals peers (score 47 vs sector leader Hindustan Zinc at 72). ROE of 11.16% ranks 4th of 6, below JSW Steel (27.26%) and Hindustan Zinc (76.94%). PE of 23.0 is the second-highest in the peer set, above sector median.
  • low
    News coverage is sparse at 5 items total; 0 negative, 3 neutral, 2 positive. Thin news volume limits confidence in the overallLabel of neutral.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Stock is up 33% over 12 months and trades above its 200-DMA (current price ₹198.96 vs SMA200 ₹185.21), only 9.5% off the 52-week high — yet ROE has never exceeded 15% in the recorded period, fundamental consistency score is 23, and profit margin stands at 4.65%. Price momentum and fundamental quality indicators diverge sharply.
  • FY26 PAT surged 243% to ₹10,886 crore per the integrated report, yet the trailing PE of 23.0 on a 4.65% profit margin implies absolute earnings remain modest relative to revenue, and the forward PE of 10.6 prices in a further significant earnings step-up that has not yet occurred.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 22 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days