Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd.

NSE: CHENNPETRO
NIFTY500
₹1,128.00+81.0%1Y
Last updated 03:01:53 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd (CPCL) is an IOC subsidiary refinery trading at ₹1,009 — a PE of 4.84 against a 12-month price gain of 64.94% and ROE of 32.13%. Debt-to-equity stands at 17.68, well above any non-financial peer in the Energy sector, while a 5-year revenue contraction of 2.5% sits alongside 5-year earnings growth of 202.5%, highlighting the refining-margin-driven nature of recent profitability.

P/E

4.8

Forward P/E

ROE

+32.1%

Debt / Equity

17.68

Profit Margin

+4.9%

Div. Yield

+1.3%

5Y ROE > 15%

3/5

5Y FCF > 0

4/5

Quality

54/100

Recent context

  • ·Q4 FY26 results (reported April 24, 2026) showed net profit up 42% YoY per CNBC TV18, with refining margins cited as the driver; a ₹54/share final dividend was declared alongside.
  • ·News sentiment across 8 articles is entirely positive (5 positive, 3 neutral, 0 negative), concentrated around the Q4 results announcement — no adverse regulatory or operational headlines in the tracked window.
  • ·Price at ₹1,009 is marginally below the 50-DMA (₹1,012) and RSI is at 45.15 (neutral); nearest support levels are at ₹988, ₹941, and ₹930.83 while resistance sits at ₹1,036, ₹1,045, and ₹1,085.

Strengths

  • +Lowest PE in the tracked Energy peer set at 4.84 — below BPCL (4.94), ONGC (9.90), Coal India (9.16), and Reliance (22.37).
  • +ROE of 32.13% ranks first among peers with available ROE data; Coal India is next at 28.12%.
  • +Free cash flow was positive in 4 of available years and debt trend is classified as falling, consistent with Q4 FY26 reporting of a ₹3,062 Cr net profit and a ₹54/share final dividend declared.
  • +Price is 16.5% above the 200-day moving average (₹866.74) and has gained 64.94% over 12 months, outperforming the period.

Weaknesses

  • D/E of 17.68 is exceptionally high for a non-financial sector company and amplifies sensitivity of equity returns to interest rate changes and earnings downturns.
  • ROE consistency score of 31 and only 3 of available years above 15% ROE indicate the current return level is cyclical, not structural; prior years included near-zero or loss periods.
  • 5-year revenue declined 2.5%, meaning all earnings growth (202.5% over 5 years, 42% in Q4 alone) has been margin-driven rather than volume-driven — a structurally fragile base.
  • Quality score of 56 ranks second-lowest in the peer group; sector median context is limited by one placeholder peer (DUMMYVEDL3) with no metrics.

Open questions

  • ?How much of the 5-year earnings improvement is attributable to structural operational changes at CPCL versus the broader gross refining margin cycle, and what historical GRM ranges has the company operated through?
  • ?Given D/E of 17.68, what is the interest coverage ratio at current earnings levels, and how does that coverage change under a scenario where refining margins revert toward 5-year average levels?
  • ?IOC holds a majority stake in CPCL — how have subsidiary capital allocation decisions (capex mandates, dividend policy, pricing pass-through) historically differed from what an independent refiner of similar scale might pursue?
  • ?The consistency score of 31 implies earnings have been volatile across years — what proportion of the 5-year ROE-above-15% track record was concentrated in the most recent 1–2 years, and does that change the interpretation of the current valuation multiple?

Peer comparison: Energy

Ranks 2 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
CHENNPETROChennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd.You're viewing4.8+32.1%56
Industry avgacross 5 peers11.6+18.6%53
COALINDIACoal India Ltd.9.2+28.1%77
ONGCOil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd.9.954
BPCLBharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.4.953
RELIANCEReliance Industries Ltd.22.4+9.1%29
DUMMYVEDL3Dummy Vedanta Ltd. 3

Technical state

Current price

₹1,009.00

SMA 50

₹1,012.13

SMA 200

₹866.74

RSI (14)

45.1 (neutral)

From 52w high

-13.0%

1Y return

+64.9%

3M return

+9.8%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹988.00
₹941.00
₹930.83

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹1,036.00
₹1,045.22
₹1,085.80

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 17.68 is exceptionally elevated for a non-financial refinery. While refining businesses carry structural leverage, this level means creditors fund a substantial portion of assets and amplifies earnings volatility through interest obligations.
  • medium
    ROE consistency score of 31 with only 3 of available years above 15% ROE signals that the current 32.13% ROE is not a durable feature. The 5-year earnings growth of 202.5% reflects recovery from prior low or near-zero profit years, not compounding from a stable base.
  • medium
    5-year revenue growth is -2.5%, meaning earnings growth has been driven entirely by gross refining margin expansion rather than volume. Profit margin of 4.88% is thin and inherently cyclical; a reversal in GRMs could sharply compress earnings.
  • low
    No analyst coverage data (rating or count) is available for CHENNPETRO. One of the 6 sector peers is a placeholder entry (DUMMYVEDL3) with null metrics, reducing reliability of sector rank comparisons.

Cross-section contradictions

  • 5-year revenue growth is -2.5% yet 5-year earnings growth is 202.5%. The stock trades at PE 4.84, consistent with cyclical-peak pricing, while Q4 FY26 net profit was up 42–189% YoY and the price has gained 64.94% over 12 months. The divergence between shrinking revenue and surging profits raises the question of whether GRM-driven earnings reflect a structural shift or a transient margin cycle.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 17 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days