ONGC
NIFTY50

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd.

Energy · NSE

₹279.20
1Y+24.2%
P/E9.2
Fwd P/E6.7
ROE
Margin+5.8%
D/E43.80
Div Yld+6.6%
Quality Score58/100
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 30 analysts

52-week range

₹217₹308

From 52w high

-9.2%

RSI (14)

43.0

vs SMA 50 / 200

50 · 200

ONGC trades at ₹279.2, up 24.2% over the past 12 months and above its 200-DMA (₹247.1), though marginally below the 50-DMA (₹280.5). The stock carries a trailing PE of 9.2 and a 6.6% dividend yield, with a quality score of 54 against an energy-sector peer range of 29-77. Debt-to-equity at 43.8 and a thin profit margin of 5.8% reflect the structural leverage and subsidy dynamics typical of a state-owned upstream producer.

Pros
  • Forward PE of 6.7 versus trailing PE of 9.2 implies the market prices in earnings expansion; five-year earnings CAGR of 16.2% supports this directional read.
  • Dividend yield of 6.63% is among the higher absolute yields on the NSE large-cap energy board, reflecting consistent cash distribution from a state enterprise.
  • Price is 24.2% higher over 12 months and remains above the 200-DMA (₹247.1) by approximately 13%, indicating medium-term trend resilience.
  • FCF was positive in 4 of the available tracked years, suggesting the business has generated surplus cash in most periods despite capital-intensive upstream operations.
Cons
  • Debt-to-equity of 43.8 is high relative to the energy-sector profile; the debt trend is classified as rising, which compounds refinancing risk in a rising-rate or falling-crude environment.
  • ROE data is unavailable and the fundamental persistence score is 20 out of 100, with only 1 year above the 15% ROE threshold — indicating weak historical capital-return consistency.
  • Profit margin of 5.8% provides a narrow buffer; government subsidy-sharing obligations and crude-price volatility have historically compressed or eliminated margins in down-cycles.
  • An active stop-production order from the Andhra Pradesh Pollution Control Board for the Mori#05 well (April 2026) adds near-term operational and regulatory headline risk.
Recent context
  • ·The Andhra Pradesh Pollution Control Board issued a stop-production order for environmental violations at ONGC's Mori#05 well in April 2026, representing a tangible regulatory action rather than a prospective risk.
  • ·ONGC, MRPL, and OPaL announced formation of an integrated petrochemicals marketing and trading joint venture (April 2026), extending the company's downstream integration footprint.
  • ·Jefferies highlighted ONGC as part of a group of oil-and-gas stocks with notable upside potential in a note covering six names (April 2026) — the broker's framing, not an editorial position.
Questions to ask yourself
  • ?How has the debt-to-equity ratio evolved over the past five years, and what portion of ONGC's borrowings are linked to variable rates that would be sensitive to RBI policy?
  • ?Does the gap between trailing PE (9.2) and forward PE (6.7) reflect analyst consensus on volume growth, crude-price assumptions, or a reduction in subsidy burden — and how sensitive are those estimates to a 10% move in Brent?
  • ?Has the government's subsidy-sharing framework changed materially since the last cycle, and what is ONGC's current obligation structure relative to its upstream realisation?
  • ?How significant is the Mori#05 environmental action in terms of production contribution, and what is the company's track record in resolving similar regulatory orders within its upstream portfolio?

PE

9.2

Forward PE

6.7

ROE

Profit margin

+5.8%

D/E

43.80

Dividend yield

+6.6%

Quality score

54/100

ROE 5y above 15%

1/5 yrs

FCF 5y positive

4/5 yrs

Analyst consensus2.23 · 30 analysts(1–5 scale, lower = more constructive)

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.Analysis generated 10 May 2026.