Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd.

NSE: ONGC
NIFTY50
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 30 analysts
₹240.00+0.4%1Y
Last updated 02:56:56 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

ONGC trades at ₹246.25, 19.9% below its 52-week high and below both the 50-DMA (₹278.66) and 200-DMA (₹254.00), against a trailing PE of 7.49 and a dividend yield of 7.51%. The company ranks 3rd of 6 in the Energy sector on PE and quality score (53/100), and carries a D/E ratio of 42.5 alongside an ROE of 12.7% that has not exceeded 15% in any tracked year.

P/E

7.5

Forward P/E

5.7

ROE

+12.7%

Debt / Equity

42.55

Profit Margin

+6.3%

Div. Yield

+7.5%

5Y ROE > 15%

0/5

5Y FCF > 0

4/5

Quality

54/100

Recent context

  • ·ONGC has been assigned a role in building India's next strategic oil reserve following the Iran war crisis (June 2026), representing a potential government-mandated capital deployment with as-yet-unquantified cost implications.
  • ·The Vedanta-challenged Cambay Block transfer remained unresolved as of May 2026, creating uncertainty over the asset-base expansion that management had anticipated from this block.
  • ·The chairman publicly characterised ONGC as a 'gas-and-oil' company (June 2026), reflecting an accelerating output shift toward natural gas — a stated strategic pivot with multi-year implications for revenue mix and capital allocation.

Strengths

  • +Dividend yield of 7.51% alongside a recommended final dividend for FY2025-26, translating to measurable income return at the current price level.
  • +Forward PE of 5.72 is below the already-low trailing PE of 7.49, implying consensus earnings estimates ahead of the current period, and the stock trades at the lower end of the Energy sector PE range (sector span: 4.70 to 22.0).
  • +FCF was positive in 4 of the tracked years, and the company has declared strategic intent to expand its natural gas output — framing a potential product-mix shift toward higher-margin gas volumes per management commentary from June 2026.
  • +At a quality score of 53/100, ONGC sits above GAIL (16) and IOC (49) within the tracked peer set, and its 5-year earnings CAGR of 47.8% — while base-driven — reflects a period of meaningful income recovery.

Weaknesses

  • ROE of 12.7% has never cleared 15% in any tracked year and the 5-year persistence consistency score is 25/100, indicating returns that have not consistently covered a typical cost of equity.
  • D/E ratio of 42.5 is anomalously high for a non-financial company operating with a 6.25% profit margin; any structural change in pricing, subsidies, or crude-market dynamics amplifies debt-service risk.
  • Price is below both the 50-DMA (₹278.66) and 200-DMA (₹254.00) with RSI at 28.76; the stock is down 8.49% over 3 months, down 19.92% from its 52-week high, and no support levels have been identified in the dataset.
  • 5-year revenue growth of 1.9% is near-flat, leaving limited revenue cushion; a legal dispute over the Cambay Block (Vedanta challenge reported May 2026) adds an unresolved operational overhang.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 47.8% five-year earnings CAGR reflect a durable structural improvement in unit economics, or does it primarily reflect a recovery from the trough of subsidised pricing and pandemic-era demand collapse?
  • ?How does ONGC's effective realisation per barrel of oil equivalent — net of cess, royalty, and any subsidy burden — compare to its reported revenue-per-unit trend over the past five years?
  • ?If the strategic pivot toward natural gas accelerates as management describes, how might the capital expenditure requirements and payback periods of new gas blocks affect FCF in the next 3–5 years?
  • ?What is the historical relationship between ONGC's D/E ratio and government subsidy obligations, and how has this varied across different crude-price cycles?

Peer comparison: Energy

Ranks 3 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
ONGCOil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd.You're viewing7.5+12.7%53
Industry avgacross 5 peers11.2+19.1%46
COALINDIACoal India Ltd.9.0+28.1%77
BPCLBharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.5.1+28.5%55
IOCIndian Oil Corporation Ltd.4.7+21.0%49
RELIANCEReliance Industries Ltd.22.0+9.1%32
GAILGAIL (India) Ltd.15.1+8.7%16

Technical state

Current price

₹246.25

SMA 50

₹278.66

SMA 200

₹254.00

RSI (14)

28.8 (oversold)

From 52w high

-19.9%

1Y return

+2.9%

3M return

-8.5%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹291.85
₹293.00
₹304.95

Risk flags

  • medium
    D/E ratio of 42.5 is anomalously elevated for a non-financial sector company; as a PSU upstream operator subject to government-administered pricing and potential subsidy obligations, a sustained crude-price decline or reinstatement of subsidy burden could materially strain debt-service capacity relative to a 6.25% profit margin.
  • medium
    ROE of 12.7% has never exceeded 15% in any tracked year (roeYearsAbove15 = 0) and the 5-year persistence consistency score is 25/100, indicating structural difficulty sustaining returns above a typical cost of equity despite the reported 47.8% 5-year earnings CAGR, which reflects a recovery from a low base rather than compounding quality.
  • medium
    Current price of ₹246.25 is below both the 50-DMA (₹278.66) and the 200-DMA (₹254.00), with RSI at 28.76 (oversold); the stock is down 8.49% over 3 months and 19.92% below its 52-week high, with no identified support levels and three resistance levels clustered between ₹291.85 and ₹304.95.
  • low
    5-year revenue growth of 1.9% (near-flat) limits the buffer against margin compression; any increase in royalty payments, cess, or operating cost inflation flows almost directly to net income given the thin 6.25% profit margin.
  • low
    A legal dispute over the Cambay Block — where Vedanta is challenging the government handover to ONGC — represents an unresolved operational and legal overhang reported as of May 2026.
  • low
    1-year price-change data is unavailable for all five sector peers (COALINDIA, RELIANCE, BPCL, GAIL, IOC), making relative price-performance ranking within the Energy sector indeterminate from the current dataset.

Cross-section contradictions

  • 5-year revenue CAGR of 1.9% is near-flat while 5-year earnings CAGR of 47.8% implies substantial margin expansion over the same period; the structural driver — cost reduction, subsidy relief, or product-mix shift — is not determinable from the available data alone.
  • Trailing PE of 7.49 sits well below sector peers RELIANCE (22.0) and GAIL (15.1), yet ONGC quality score (53) is broadly comparable to BPCL (55) and higher than GAIL (16), suggesting the PE discount is not entirely explained by relative quality positioning within the peer set.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 21 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days