Blue Dart Express Ltd.

NSE: BLUEDART
NIFTY500
₹4,998.70-19.4%1Y
Last updated 02:58:16 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Blue Dart Express Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Blue Dart Express (BLUEDART), India's largest air-express logistics network and a DHL Group subsidiary, trades at ₹4,720.5 — down 30.41% over 12 months and 33.04% below its 52-week high, with price below both moving averages and RSI at 29.54. FY26 Q4 results showed year-over-year revenue and profit growth alongside a ₹25 dividend, while the forward PE of 27.41 sits well below the trailing PE of 45.25.

P/E

45.3

Forward P/E

27.4

ROE

+14.8%

Debt / Equity

Profit Margin

+4.0%

Div. Yield

+0.5%

5Y ROE > 15%

3/5

5Y FCF > 0

4/5

Quality

50/100

Recent context

  • ·Q4 FY26 results (reported May 9, 2026) showed year-over-year revenue and profit growth with a ₹25 dividend declared; management commentary cited strong e-commerce shipment momentum as a key volume driver.
  • ·News sentiment across 4 recent headlines is neutral (2 positive, 2 neutral, 0 negative), with no adverse earnings or operational headlines visible in recent coverage despite the significant 12-month price decline.
  • ·The 33.04% drawdown from the 52-week high places the current price at ₹4,720.5, with the nearest identified technical support at ₹4,683 and resistance levels clustered between ₹5,580 and ₹5,775.

Strengths

  • +FCF positive in 4 of the available years, indicating the core logistics operations generate cash despite thin reported margins.
  • +5-year earnings CAGR of 189.1% demonstrates substantial profitability recovery from a prior trough, underpinned by e-commerce volume growth noted in FY26 commentary.
  • +Trailing PE of 45.25 is elevated in absolute terms but the forward PE compresses to 27.41, reflecting analyst expectations of a meaningful earnings step-up in the near term.
  • +Quality score of 36 ranks 3rd of 6 in the Services peer group — ahead of Delhivery (18), CONCOR (23), and INDIGO (11) — suggesting relatively stronger fundamental composite versus most listed logistics peers.

Weaknesses

  • Price at ₹4,720.5 is 8.2% below 50-DMA (₹5,145.43) and 14.7% below 200-DMA (₹5,536.92), with the stock below both moving averages for an extended period and RSI at 29.54.
  • Profit margin of 4.03% is thin for a capital-intensive express-logistics operator; a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8% alongside a 189.1% earnings CAGR points to earnings recovery from a depressed base rather than consistent top-line expansion.
  • Trailing PE of 45.25 remains elevated versus sector peers ADANIPORTS (30.60) and CONCOR (28.35), leaving limited room for multiple expansion if the earnings step-up anticipated in forward estimates does not materialise.
  • ROE has exceeded 15% in only 3 of the available measurement years and the consistency score stands at 44, indicating uneven historical returns on equity.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 189.1% 5-year earnings CAGR reflect a structural improvement in Blue Dart's pricing power and operating leverage, or is it predominantly a recovery from an unusually depressed earnings base in the base year?
  • ?How does Blue Dart's 4.03% net profit margin compare to global air-express peers, and what contractual or fuel-hedging mechanisms protect or compress that margin as jet-fuel costs and DHL interline rates fluctuate?
  • ?Given that the forward PE of 27.41 implies a significant earnings step-up from the trailing PE of 45.25, what are the specific revenue or cost assumptions underpinning those forward estimates, and how sensitive are they to e-commerce volume growth rates?
  • ?With the stock 33% below its 52-week high and RSI at 29.54 while FY26 results showed growth, what factors — competitive pricing from road-logistics peers, macro demand slowdown, or sector rotation — could explain the sustained price-fundamental divergence?

Peer comparison: Services

Ranks 3 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
BLUEDARTBlue Dart Express Ltd.You're viewing45.3+14.8%36
Industry avgacross 5 peers92.9+9.0%28
ADANIPORTSAdani Ports and Special Economic Zone Ltd.30.6+15.6%49
GMRAIRPORTGMR Airports Ltd.40
CONCORContainer Corporation of India Ltd.28.4+9.8%23
DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd.219.7+1.6%18
INDIGOInterGlobe Aviation Ltd.11

Technical state

Current price

₹4,720.50

SMA 50

₹5,145.43

SMA 200

₹5,536.92

RSI (14)

29.5 (oversold)

From 52w high

-33.0%

1Y return

-30.4%

3M return

-16.0%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹4,683.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹5,579.70
₹5,729.50
₹5,775.50

Risk flags

  • medium
    Price at ₹4,720.5 is below both the 50-DMA (₹5,145.43) and 200-DMA (₹5,536.92), down 30.41% over 12 months and 16.04% over 3 months, with RSI at 29.54 (oversold territory) and a 33.04% drawdown from the 52-week high.
  • medium
    Trailing PE of 45.25 is above sector peers ADANIPORTS (30.60) and CONCOR (28.35); quality score of 36 ranks 3rd of 6 peers; profit margin is thin at 4.03% for a logistics operator.
  • low
    5-year earnings CAGR of 189.1% against 5-year revenue CAGR of 8% suggests the earnings expansion likely reflects a low base effect; ROE exceeded 15% in only 3 of available years, with consistency score at 44.
  • low
    Analyst consensus rating is unavailable (only coverage count of 5 analysts is present); debt-to-equity is null; peer 1-year price change data is unavailable for all 5 peers, limiting relative performance comparison.

Cross-section contradictions

  • FY26 results show revenue and profit growth YoY with a ₹25 dividend declared and positive news sentiment (2 positive, 0 negative out of 4 headlines), yet the stock is down 30.41% over 12 months and 33.04% from its 52-week high — no adverse news catalyst is evident in recent coverage to explain the sustained drawdown.
  • Forward PE of 27.41 sits materially below trailing PE of 45.25, implying the market prices in a significant near-term earnings step-up; yet the stock price is at a multi-year low relative to the 52-week range.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 1 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days