Aegis Logistics Ltd.
NSE: AEGISLOGAegis Logistics Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot
Aegis Logistics (AEGISLOG) is an energy-sector logistics company trading at ₹674.15, down 14.4% over the past year and 28.6% below its 52-week high. The stock carries a trailing PE of 30.77 against a sector median closer to 10x, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 28.45 that is rising and FCF positive in only 1 of the measured fiscal years. Profit margin stands at 10.3% on a 5-year earnings CAGR of 42.4%, though revenue over the same period grew just 1.1%.
P/E
30.8
Forward P/E
27.8
ROE
—
Debt / Equity
28.45
Profit Margin
+10.3%
Div. Yield
+1.2%
5Y ROE > 15%
1/5
5Y FCF > 0
1/5
Quality
44/100
Recent context
- ·No news articles were captured in the analysis window for AEGISLOG; news-sentiment signals are absent and the stock's recent narrative must be assessed from price and fundamental data alone.
- ·The stock moved from above ₹900 (implied 52-week high) to ₹674 in the trailing 12 months, a drawdown of 28.6%, while the RSI sits at 48 — in neutral territory between the 30 and 70 thresholds.
- ·Technical support levels cluster at ₹639 and ₹577–578; the stock is currently above its 50-DMA (₹656) but below its 200-DMA (₹720), a configuration that has persisted for a sustained period.
Strengths
- +5-year earnings CAGR of 42.4% reflects a significant improvement in profitability over the measurement period, even as top-line growth remained modest at 1.1%.
- +Profit margin of 10.3% indicates the business retains a meaningful share of each revenue rupee, above what one might expect from a capital-intensive logistics operator.
- +Dividend yield of 1.19% demonstrates a cash return to shareholders despite elevated leverage, pointing to some level of distributable income.
- +Forward PE of 27.76 represents a modest compression versus trailing PE of 30.77, implying consensus earnings estimates are above the current-year level.
Weaknesses
- −Debt-to-equity of 28.45 with a rising trend and FCF positive in only 1 measured year signals persistent reliance on external capital to fund operations — a HIGH-severity structural flag.
- −The divergence between near-flat revenue growth (1.1% over 5 years) and 42.4% earnings growth introduces uncertainty about the durability of the profit trajectory; the source of margin expansion is not explained by volume alone.
- −Quality score of 48 and consistency score of 41 rank AEGISLOG 4th of 6 in its sector peer group; ROE above 15% achieved in only 1 of the measured years.
- −Price is 14.4% lower year-on-year and 28.6% below the 52-week high, with three resistance levels (₹726, ₹749, ₹754) between current price and the 200-DMA zone.
Open questions
- ?What is the primary driver of 42.4% earnings growth over 5 years when revenue grew only 1.1% — is it a structural improvement in operating leverage, asset monetisation, or a one-time item?
- ?How has the debt-to-equity ratio of 28.45 evolved across each of the past 5 years, and what proportion of the debt is infrastructure-linked versus working-capital linked?
- ?Does the forward PE compression from 30.8x to 27.8x reflect a consensus view on near-term earnings acceleration, and what are the key assumptions behind those estimates?
- ?Given the price is below the 200-DMA and the sector quality ranking is 4th of 6, what would need to change in fundamentals or sector dynamics for the valuation premium over peers to be sustained?
Peer comparison: Energy
Ranks 4 of 6 on quality| Symbol | Name | P/E | ROE | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEGISLOG | Aegis Logistics Ltd.You're viewing | 30.8 | — | 48 |
| Industry avg | across 5 peers | 11.6 | +18.6% | 53 |
| COALINDIA | Coal India Ltd. | 9.2 | +28.1% | 77 |
| ONGC | Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. | 9.9 | — | 54 |
| BPCL | Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. | 4.9 | — | 53 |
| RELIANCE | Reliance Industries Ltd. | 22.4 | +9.1% | 29 |
| DUMMYVEDL3 | Dummy Vedanta Ltd. 3 | — | — | — |
Technical state
Current price
₹674.15
SMA 50
₹656.41
SMA 200
₹719.97
RSI (14)
48.1 (neutral)
From 52w high
-28.6%
1Y return
-14.4%
3M return
-6.4%
50-DMA
Above
200-DMA
Below
Algorithmic support levels
Algorithmic resistance levels
Risk flags
- highDebt-to-equity of 28.45 is significantly above the logistics-sector norm; paired with a rising debt trend and FCF positive in only 1 of the measured fiscal years, the capital structure reflects persistent external funding dependence.
- high5-year revenue growth of 1.1% (near-flat) alongside 5-year earnings growth of 42.4% is a structural divergence; margin expansion of this scale without commensurate revenue growth warrants scrutiny of non-operating or one-time contributors to the profit line.
- mediumTrailing PE of 30.77 is the highest among the 5 comparable energy-sector peers (COALINDIA 9.2x, ONGC 9.9x, RELIANCE 22.4x, BPCL 4.9x), ranking 5th of 6 on valuation; quality score of 48 ranks 4th of 6, below sector leader COALINDIA at 77.
- mediumPrice (₹674.15) is 28.6% below the 52-week high and 14.4% lower year-on-year; it remains below the 200-DMA (₹719.97) with the nearest resistance cluster at ₹726–₹754.
- lowZero news items were captured in the analysis window; news-sentiment signals are unavailable, limiting the completeness of the current-events assessment.
Cross-section contradictions
- 5-year earnings growth of 42.4% sits alongside 5-year revenue growth of just 1.1%; earnings expanded roughly 39x faster than revenue, an unusual divergence that raises questions about non-recurring contributors to the profit trajectory.
- Fundamental persistence shows ROE above 15% in only 1 measured year and FCF positive in only 1 measured year, yet the stock carries a trailing PE of 30.77 — a premium to every named sector peer; the valuation premium appears disconnected from the quality score (48) and consistency score (41).
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.
Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST
AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 17 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days