Sobha Ltd.

NSE: SOBHA
NIFTY500
Analyst consensus:Strongly constructive· 16 analysts
₹1,428.10-6.6%1Y
Last updated 02:58:20 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Sobha Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Sobha Ltd is a Bengaluru-based residential developer ranked 6th of 6 tracked Realty peers on both trailing PE (105.2) and quality score (41). FY26 delivered record sales of ₹8,136 crore and Q4 profit of ₹92 crore (+124% YoY), and the company reported a net-cash-positive balance sheet for the first time — yet the stock at ₹1,397 remains 5% below its 200-DMA of ₹1,471 and carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 21.83, the highest in the peer set.

P/E

105.2

Forward P/E

19.6

ROE

+4.2%

Debt / Equity

21.83

Profit Margin

+3.7%

Div. Yield

+0.4%

5Y ROE > 15%

0/5

5Y FCF > 0

4/5

Quality

50/100

Recent context

  • ·SOBHA reported Q4 FY26 net profit of ₹92 crore, a 124% YoY increase, on record FY26 pre-sales of ₹8,136 crore; management stated the company has achieved a net-cash-positive position for the first time — a development that drove a ~10% share price move on the results day per Mint and Economic Times coverage.
  • ·Dividend of ₹6 per share was declared for FY26 (yield ~0.43% at current price), alongside the record sales announcement, according to CNBC TV18.
  • ·Despite the positive results news flow — 6 of 8 recent headlines positive, 0 negative — the stock remains 5% below its 200-DMA and is down 9.79% over the trailing 3 months, indicating the post-results bounce has not been sustained above the long-term average.

Strengths

  • +5-year earnings growth of 124.3% and revenue growth of 60.2% are among the stronger compounding records in the sector, reflecting increasing operational scale.
  • +Q4 FY26 results showed profit doubling to ₹92 crore on revenue of ~₹2,300 crore, and the company reported turning net-cash-positive — a structural improvement from a historically leveraged balance sheet.
  • +Debt trend is classified as falling; FCF was positive in 4 of tracked persistence years, suggesting the business has begun converting earnings into cash.
  • +Mean analyst rating of 1.375 across 16 analysts (1–5 scale, lower = more constructive), with forward PE of 19.6 implying consensus expects a significant earnings expansion from current trailing levels.

Weaknesses

  • D/E of 21.83 is the highest among the 6 tracked Realty peers; at this leverage, any slowdown in bookings, project delays, or rate environment change amplifies downside to equity disproportionately.
  • ROE of 4.17% with zero years above 15% in the tracked period indicates that despite high leverage, returns on equity capital have been structurally weak.
  • Quality score of 41 ranks 5th of 6 peers (OBEROIRLTY 65, PHOENIXLTD 55, LODHA 54, GODREJPROP 44); trailing PE of 105.2 is the highest in the peer group by a wide margin versus the next-highest PHOENIXLTD at 49.6.
  • Profit margin of 3.73% is thin; combined with the wide gap between trailing PE (105.2) and forward PE (19.6), the stock is priced for a significant earnings delivery that has yet to show up in trailing numbers.

Open questions

  • ?Does the move to net-cash-positive represent a durable balance-sheet shift, or is it dependent on the pace of project completions and customer collections in FY27?
  • ?With forward PE at 19.6 versus trailing PE at 105.2, what level of earnings growth does the business need to deliver to justify the current multiple — and how does that compare to the 5-year historical track record?
  • ?Given that ROE has been below 15% for all tracked years despite a D/E of 21.83, what would need to change operationally for leverage to begin working in favour of equity holders?
  • ?How does SOBHA's project pipeline and geographic concentration compare to OBEROIRLTY (quality score 65) and LODHA (quality score 54), and what explains the quality-score gap?

Peer comparison: Realty

Ranks 5 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
SOBHASobha Ltd.You're viewing105.2+4.2%41
Industry avgacross 5 peers31.5+12.3%49
OBEROIRLTYOberoi Realty Ltd.23.5+14.9%65
PHOENIXLTDPhoenix Mills Ltd.49.6+11.1%55
LODHALodha Developers Ltd.24.7+15.7%54
GODREJPROPGodrej Properties Ltd.27.8+10.0%44
DLFDLF Ltd.31.7+10.0%29

Technical state

Current price

₹1,397.30

SMA 50

₹1,333.59

SMA 200

₹1,471.07

RSI (14)

52.1 (neutral)

From 52w high

-19.4%

1Y return

+5.8%

3M return

-9.8%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹1,322.10
₹1,130.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹1,538.30
₹1,562.90
₹1,577.00

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 21.83 is exceptionally elevated for a listed residential developer. Peers such as OBEROIRLTY and DLF carry substantially lower leverage; at this D/E level any revenue shortfall or interest-rate move amplifies equity risk materially.
  • high
    ROE of 4.17% with zero years above 15% over the tracked persistence window. At a D/E of 21.83 the cost of debt likely exceeds the return generated on equity, raising a structural question about economic value creation.
  • medium
    Trailing PE of 105.2 vs forward PE of 19.6 — an unusually wide spread that implies consensus expects a step-change in earnings. Profit margin stands at 3.73%, meaning a modest revenue miss or cost overrun could collapse that forward-PE thesis.
  • medium
    Price of ₹1,397 is 5.0% below the 200-DMA of ₹1,471 and 19.35% below the 52-week high. Stock has failed to reclaim its long-term average despite the post-results rally.
  • medium
    Ranked 6th of 6 peers on both PE (105.2 vs sector range 23.5–49.6) and quality score (41 vs peer range 29–65). Only DLF ranks lower on quality (29), but DLF trades at a PE of 31.7 vs SOBHA at 105.2.
  • low
    FCF was positive in 4 of tracked years, but consistency score of 40 and zero ROE years above 15% limit confidence in the FCF sustainability narrative.

Cross-section contradictions

  • FY26 revenues grew ~60% over 5 years and Q4 profit doubled YoY to ₹92 crore, yet ROE sits at 4.17% with zero years above 15% — indicating growth has been financed primarily through leverage (D/E 21.83) rather than compounding equity returns.
  • Trailing PE of 105.2 implies near-zero current earnings yield, while forward PE of 19.6 implies analysts expect a large earnings step-up; the gap between these multiples is the widest among the 6 tracked peers, creating binary outcome risk around execution.
  • News sentiment is uniformly positive (6 positive, 0 negative out of 8 articles) and Q4 results showed record sales of ₹8,136 crore with the company turning net-cash-positive — yet the stock remains 5% below its 200-DMA and is down 9.79% over the past 3 months, suggesting the market has not fully re-rated on the positive news flow.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 17 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days