Phoenix Mills Ltd.

NSE: PHOENIXLTD
NIFTY200
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 20 analysts
₹1,912.30+19.3%1Y
Last updated 03:03:30 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Phoenix Mills Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Phoenix Mills (PHOENIXLTD) is a Realty-sector developer trading at ₹1,738.5, up 17.7% over 12 months, above both its 50-DMA (₹1,678) and 200-DMA (₹1,674). The business has delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 33.7% and earnings CAGR of approximately 50%, though FCF has been positive in only 2 of the available years and the debt-to-equity ratio stands at 37.2 with a rising trend. RSI is 48.1, placing price momentum in neutral territory.

P/E

49.8

Forward P/E

33.7

ROE

+11.1%

Debt / Equity

37.21

Profit Margin

+27.7%

Div. Yield

+0.1%

5Y ROE > 15%

1/5

5Y FCF > 0

2/5

Quality

56/100

Recent context

  • ·Q4 FY26 results announced in late April 2026 showed profit up approximately 50% year-on-year with strong retail and office segment performance; a dividend was announced alongside the results per Business Upturn (2026-04-27).
  • ·Despite the earnings beat, the stock showed a mixed price reaction following the results announcement (AD HOC NEWS, 2026-05-09), and the company has since scheduled an investor meeting amid what the source describes as recent market volatility (AD HOC NEWS, 2026-05-12).
  • ·Mean analyst rating of 1.63 across 20 analysts (1–5 scale, lower = more constructive), with the latest description from AD HOC NEWS (2026-05-14) positioning the company as India's leading retail REIT developer.

Strengths

  • +Five-year earnings CAGR of approximately 50% and revenue CAGR of 33.7%, with Q4 FY26 reporting a 50% year-on-year profit surge and strong retail and office EBITDA per recent headlines.
  • +Profit margin of 27.7% is notable for a capital-intensive Realty developer; forward PE of 33.7 represents a meaningful compression from the trailing PE of 49.8 if near-term growth expectations are met.
  • +Price above both 50-DMA (₹1,678) and 200-DMA (₹1,674) with a 52-week drawdown of only 12.8%, indicating the stock has retained relative price resilience over the past year.
  • +Quality score of 55 ranks second among the 6 Realty peers tracked (behind Oberoi Realty at 65), ahead of DLF (29), Godrej Properties (44), Prestige (40), and Lodha (54).

Weaknesses

  • Debt-to-equity of 37.2 is exceptionally elevated, accompanied by a rising debt trend and FCF positive in only 2 of the available years, indicating sustained reliance on external capital to fund the growth pipeline.
  • ROE of 11.1% has exceeded 15% in only 1 of the years tracked (consistency score 22/100), below the 15% threshold in the vast majority of the observation window despite the strong reported earnings CAGR.
  • Trailing PE of 49.8 is the second-highest among the 6 peers tracked; peer PEs range from 23.5 (Oberoi) to 59.9 (Prestige), placing PHOENIXLTD at a premium to most Realty comparables on this metric.
  • Dividend yield of 0.14% is negligible, offering minimal income cushion relative to the capital structure risk implied by the debt load and limited FCF generation history.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 5-year earnings CAGR of approximately 50% reflect a durable shift in the company's mall-leasing and commercial model, or is it substantially driven by a post-pandemic recovery in retail footfall that may not repeat?
  • ?With debt-to-equity at 37.2 and a rising trend, how does the company's interest coverage ratio and refinancing schedule align with its planned capital expenditure pipeline over the next 3–5 years?
  • ?ROE has exceeded 15% in only 1 of the tracked years despite strong earnings growth — to what extent does asset-heavy balance sheet expansion dilute returns on equity structurally for a developer of this type?
  • ?The stock price showed a mixed reaction to a 50% profit-growth quarter — what combination of forward guidance, debt trajectory, or valuation multiple is the market currently weighing most heavily?

Peer comparison: Realty

Ranks 2 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
PHOENIXLTDPhoenix Mills Ltd.You're viewing49.8+11.1%55
Industry avgacross 5 peers33.6+11.4%46
OBEROIRLTYOberoi Realty Ltd.23.5+14.9%65
LODHALodha Developers Ltd.24.8+15.7%54
GODREJPROPGodrej Properties Ltd.27.9+10.0%44
PRESTIGEPrestige Estates Projects Ltd.59.9+6.3%40
DLFDLF Ltd.31.8+10.0%29

Technical state

Current price

₹1,738.50

SMA 50

₹1,678.08

SMA 200

₹1,674.37

RSI (14)

48.1 (neutral)

From 52w high

-12.8%

1Y return

+17.7%

3M return

-1.1%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹1,726.90
₹1,600.00
₹1,465.60

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹1,808.70
₹1,834.90
₹1,855.90

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 37.2 is exceptionally elevated; with FCF positive in only 2 of the available years and a rising debt trend, the company has sustained reliance on external financing to fund expansion.
  • medium
    ROE of 11.1% has exceeded 15% in only 1 of the years tracked (consistency score 22/100), indicating that returns on equity have not been structurally durable despite a 5-year earnings CAGR of approximately 50%.
  • medium
    Trailing PE of 49.8 is the second-highest among 6 Realty peers (range 23.5–59.9); forward PE compresses to 33.7, meaning the current valuation embeds substantial near-term earnings growth expectations.
  • low
    News sample is sparse at 5 articles total; sentiment distribution (2 positive, 3 neutral, 0 negative) may not be representative of broader analyst or media coverage.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Q4 FY26 results showed a 50% profit surge and strong revenue growth, yet the stock price showed a mixed reaction post-results per the AD HOC NEWS headline of 2026-05-09, suggesting earnings upside may have been partially priced in ahead of the announcement.
  • A 5-year earnings CAGR of approximately 50% and 33.7% revenue CAGR coexist with FCF positive in only 2 of the available years and a rising debt trend, raising a question about the cash conversion quality of the reported earnings trajectory.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 17 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days