Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd.

NSE: HAL
NIFTY100
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 24 analysts
₹4,573.40-2.8%1Y
Last updated 07:39:33 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

HAL trades at Rs 4,400.3, down 9.72% over the trailing 12 months and 12.11% below its 52-week high, though up 9.11% over the trailing 3 months. Fundamentals show ROE of 23.98% and a profit margin of 27.55% on a trailing PE of 31.99x (forward PE 26.03x), with 5-year revenue growth of just 1.8%. Mean analyst rating is 1.83 across 24 analysts (1-5 scale, lower = more constructive), against a news backdrop weighted toward negative headlines (5 of 8) tied to a supplier forgery case on the Tejas Mk1A program.

P/E

32.0

Forward P/E

26.0

ROE

+24.0%

Debt / Equity

0.03

Profit Margin

+27.6%

Div. Yield

+0.5%

5Y ROE > 15%

4/5

5Y FCF > 0

4/5

Quality

59/100

Recent context

  • ·HAL announced a final dividend of Rs 10 for FY26 (The Economic Times, June 29, 2026).
  • ·Between June 9-12, 2026, multiple outlets (Moneycontrol, NDTV, The Hindu, ThePrint) reported HAL filed a cheating/forgery case (FIR) against a Hyderabad-based supplier over alleged forged test reports on Tejas Mk1A components.
  • ·Overall news sentiment across the 8 tracked headlines skews negative (5 negative, 2 neutral, 1 positive), concentrated around the supplier-forgery episode.

Strengths

  • +ROE of 23.98%, with ROE above 15% in 4 of the tracked years, and a profit margin of 27.55%.
  • +Debt-to-equity of 0.027, among the lowest absolute leverage levels in the tracked Infrastructure sector peer set.
  • +Cheapest trailing PE (31.99x) among the 6 ranked Infrastructure peers (rank 1 of 6 on PE), against peers such as ABB India (92.42x) and CG Power (117.33x).
  • +FCF positive in 4 of the tracked years with a consistency score of 65/100, and the stock trades above its 200-DMA (Rs 4,367.92).

Weaknesses

  • 5 of the last 8 tracked news headlines are negative, centered on an FIR/cheating case HAL filed against a Hyderabad supplier over alleged forged test reports on Tejas Mk1A components (Moneycontrol, NDTV, The Hindu, ThePrint, June 9-12, 2026).
  • 5-year revenue growth of 1.8% and 5-year earnings growth of 5.5% trail the trailing PE of 31.99x, and quality score of 46 ranks 4th of 6 tracked Infrastructure peers.
  • Debt trend is classified as rising, and the stock is down 9.72% over the trailing 12 months and 12.11% below its 52-week high, trading marginally below its 50-DMA (Rs 4,402.82).
  • 1-year price-change data is unavailable for all 5 tracked peers, limiting relative price-performance comparison within the sector.

Open questions

  • ?How does the 'rising' debt trend reconcile with an absolute debt-to-equity of just 0.027, and what is driving the direction even at low absolute levels?
  • ?Does the forged-test-report episode on Tejas Mk1A point to an isolated supplier issue or a broader supply-chain quality-control gap across HAL's other programs?
  • ?What would need to change in HAL's 5-year revenue growth trajectory (currently 1.8%) to justify the forward PE compression to 26.03x from a trailing 31.99x?
  • ?How does HAL's quality score of 46 (rank 4 of 6 Infrastructure peers) compare across the specific sub-metrics driving that score versus peers like Cummins India (69) and Bharat Electronics (49)?

Peer comparison: Infrastructure

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
HALHindustan Aeronautics Ltd.You're viewing32.0+24.0%46
Industry avgacross 5 peers71.3+23.4%47
CUMMINSINDCummins India Ltd.64.4+29.5%69
BELBharat Electronics Ltd.49.1+27.6%49
ABBABB India Ltd.92.447
CGPOWERCG Power and Industrial Solutions Ltd.117.3+19.6%45
LTLarsen & Toubro Ltd.33.3+16.9%26

Technical state

Current price

₹4,400.30

SMA 50

₹4,402.82

SMA 200

₹4,367.92

RSI (14)

52.3 (neutral)

From 52w high

-12.1%

1Y return

-9.7%

3M return

+9.1%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹4,269.90
₹4,236.10
₹4,175.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹4,413.00
₹4,474.00
₹4,535.00

Risk flags

  • high
    5 of 8 tracked headlines carry negative sentiment, with 4 centered on a single episode between June 9-12, 2026: HAL filed an FIR/cheating case against a Hyderabad-based supplier over alleged forged test reports on Tejas Mk1A components (reported by Moneycontrol, NDTV, The Hindu and ThePrint). This is a supply-chain quality-control issue on HAL's flagship fighter-jet program.
  • medium
    5-year revenue growth of 1.8% and 5-year earnings growth of 5.5% sit well below the trailing PE of 31.99x (forward PE 26.03x), and quality score of 46 ranks HAL 4th of 6 tracked Infrastructure-sector peers. Debt trend is classified 'rising' even though absolute debt-to-equity remains low at 0.027, and consistency score stands at 65/100.
  • low
    Price is down 9.72% over the trailing 12 months and sits 12.11% below its 52-week high, trading marginally below the 50-DMA (Rs 4,402.82) though still above the 200-DMA (Rs 4,367.92), with a neutral RSI of 52.27 and a +9.11% trailing 3-month move.
  • low
    1-year price-change data is missing for all 5 tracked Infrastructure peers (BEL, LT, ABB, CGPOWER, CUMMINSIND), which limits relative sector price-performance comparison for this run.

Cross-section contradictions

  • News sentiment for the trailing period is negative (5 of 8 headlines) yet the stock trades above its 200-DMA (Rs 4,367.92) with a 9.11% gain over the trailing 3 months and a neutral RSI of 52.27 -- near-term price action is not tracking the negative headline flow around the Tejas Mk1A supplier-forgery episode.
  • Forward PE of 26.03x is approximately 19% below the trailing PE of 31.99x, implying an earnings acceleration materially above the 5-year historical earnings growth rate of 5.5%.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 24 Jul 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 8 Jul 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days