UltraTech Cement Ltd.

NSE: ULTRACEMCO
NIFTY50
Analyst consensus:Strongly constructive· 39 analysts
₹11,430.00+0.4%1Y
Last updated 03:04:58 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

UltraTech Cement Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

UltraTech Cement (ULTRACEMCO) is India's largest cement producer by capacity, currently priced at ₹11,232 — below both its 50-DMA (₹11,508) and 200-DMA (₹12,016) — with a trailing PE of 40.4, ROE of 10.59%, and a 14.32% drawdown from its 52-week high. Revenue has grown at a 3% five-year CAGR while the debt trend is rising and five-year earnings growth data is unavailable. Analyst coverage spans 39 analysts with a mean rating of 1.16 on a 1–5 scale (lower = more constructive), alongside a forward PE of 25.7 that embeds significant implied earnings growth relative to trailing results.

P/E

40.4

Forward P/E

25.7

ROE

+10.6%

Debt / Equity

29.43

Profit Margin

+9.2%

Div. Yield

+0.7%

5Y ROE > 15%

0/5

5Y FCF > 0

4/5

Quality

42/100

Recent context

  • ·UltraTech received a ₹808.78 crore income-tax demand for FY24 in early May 2026 and announced it would file an appeal; the demand relates to Assessment Year 2023-24 and has been covered across multiple financial news outlets.
  • ·The board has scheduled a meeting on July 20, 2026 to announce Q1FY27 results, marking the next material earnings disclosure date for the company.
  • ·Recent coverage includes a positive note on capacity expansion amid infrastructure demand, contrasting with the negative tax-demand headlines that dominate the current news cycle (3 negative, 1 positive, 4 neutral of 8 recent items).

Strengths

  • +FCF-positive in 4 of the available fiscal years, indicating the business has generated cash above capital expenditures in most periods despite ongoing capacity expansion.
  • +ROE of 10.59% ranks second among the 5 peers with available ROE data (GRASIM 6.29%, AMBUJACEM 8.31%, DALBHARAT 6.50%, ACC 10.93%), reflecting relatively stronger capital return within the peer set.
  • +Trailing PE of 40.4 compresses to a forward PE of 25.7 — a 37% contraction — suggesting the analyst consensus is pricing in meaningful near-term earnings improvement, which if realised would reduce the valuation premium versus peers like Ambuja (PE 22.9) and ACC (PE 12.0).
  • +Capacity expansion narrative persists in recent coverage, consistent with UltraTech's multi-year strategy of gaining market share in India's infrastructure-driven cement demand cycle.

Weaknesses

  • ROE has not exceeded 15% in any year of available history and the quality score of 31 ranks 4th of 6 cement peers, indicating capital efficiency below what the scale and market position of the company might imply.
  • The stock has declined 13.87% over 3 months and 1.03% over 12 months, trading below both its 50-DMA and 200-DMA for an extended period, with RSI at 39.72 approaching oversold territory.
  • Debt trend is rising and the D/E figure of 29.43 warrants scrutiny; five-year earnings growth data is absent from the available dataset, leaving the earnings-growth thesis supporting the forward PE of 25.7 unverifiable from this data.
  • A ₹808.78 crore income-tax demand for Assessment Year 2023-24 has been contested by the company via appeal, representing an unresolved contingent liability that could affect reported earnings if the demand is upheld.

Open questions

  • ?Does the rising debt trend reflect strategic capacity investment with a clear return timeline, or does it represent structural leverage accumulation that compresses future FCF?
  • ?If the ₹808.78 crore tax demand is upheld on appeal, how would the one-time charge affect the earnings trajectory that the 25.7 forward PE is pricing in?
  • ?Given that ROE has not crossed 15% in the available history, what conditions — pricing power, volume growth, or cost reduction — would need to materialize for capital efficiency to reach peer-leading levels?
  • ?How has UltraTech's cement realisation per tonne trended relative to input cost inflation, and does the forward PE compression rest on volume assumptions, margin recovery, or both?

Peer comparison: Cement

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
ULTRACEMCOUltraTech Cement Ltd.You're viewing40.4+10.6%31
Industry avgacross 5 peers31.6+8.0%31
SHREECEMShree Cement Ltd.51.939
AMBUJACEMAmbuja Cements Ltd.22.9+8.3%32
ACCACC Ltd.12.0+10.9%32
DALBHARATDalmia Bharat Ltd.28.7+6.5%27
GRASIMGrasim Industries Ltd.42.5+6.3%25

Technical state

Current price

₹11,232.00

SMA 50

₹11,508.44

SMA 200

₹12,016.38

RSI (14)

39.7 (neutral)

From 52w high

-14.3%

1Y return

-1.0%

3M return

-13.9%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹11,211.00
₹10,573.00
₹10,365.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹12,275.00
₹12,282.00
₹13,089.00

Risk flags

  • medium
    ROE of 10.59% has not crossed 15% in any year of available history; quality score of 31 ranks 4th among 6 cement peers, and the consistency score of 43 reflects uneven capital efficiency relative to sector scale.
  • medium
    At ₹11,232, the stock sits below both the 50-DMA (₹11,508) and the 200-DMA (₹12,016); it has declined 13.87% over 3 months and 1.03% over 12 months, with a 14.32% drawdown from its 52-week high.
  • medium
    Debt-to-equity of 29.43 is reported with a rising debt trend; 5-year earnings growth data is unavailable, making it difficult to assess whether the trailing PE of 40.4 is supported by a structural earnings ramp or cyclical volume.
  • medium
    Three of 8 recent news items are negative, driven by a ₹808.78 crore income-tax demand for FY24 (Assessment Year 2023-24); the company has indicated it will file an appeal, but the contingent liability is unresolved.
  • low
    All 5 peer priceChange1Y values are null, removing the sector-relative price performance dimension from ranking; ULTRACEMCO ranks 4th of 6 on quality score and 4th of 6 on PE among peers with available data.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Forward PE of 25.7 is 37% below the trailing PE of 40.4, implying the analyst consensus embeds substantial near-term earnings acceleration; with 5-year earnings growth unavailable, the basis for that implied growth cannot be independently verified from the data at hand.
  • News sentiment is net-negative (3 negative, 1 positive of 8 items) and the stock is down 14.32% from its 52-week high, yet 39 analysts cover the stock with a mean rating of 1.16 on a 1-5 scale — operational and sentiment headwinds coexist with a constructive analyst posture.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 1 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days