Timken India Ltd.

NSE: TIMKEN
NIFTY500
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 6 analysts
₹3,760.30+18.8%1Y
Last updated 02:57:46 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Timken India Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Timken India trades at ₹3,531, up 25.2% over the past 12 months and 10.6% over the past 3 months, sitting above its 50-DMA (₹3,420) and 200-DMA (₹3,149) with an RSI of 53.7. The trailing PE stands at 61.3x against a profit margin of 13.1% and a debt-to-equity of 0.55; 5-year revenue has grown at 16.1% CAGR while 5-year earnings growth registers -26.6%. Q4 FY26 results and dividend consideration are scheduled for 18 May 2026.

P/E

61.3

Forward P/E

50.7

ROE

Debt / Equity

0.55

Profit Margin

+13.1%

Div. Yield

+1.0%

5Y ROE > 15%

4/5

5Y FCF > 0

3/5

Quality

54/100

Recent context

  • ·Timken India postponed its board meeting to 18 May 2026 for Q4 FY26 results and dividend consideration, with a post-results conference call scheduled for 19 May 2026.
  • ·The parent Timken Company reported Q1 2026 results in early May 2026; the India-listed entity is a subsidiary, and parent-level earnings calls may provide context on global industrial demand and supply chain conditions.
  • ·News flow over the tracked period is sparse (8 articles, 7 neutral, 1 positive) with no negative headlines; a registrar and transfer agent merger was also noted in May 2026 — an administrative event with no immediate operational implications.

Strengths

  • +Revenue has grown at a 16.1% 5-year CAGR, indicating durable top-line expansion in the industrial bearings and mechanical components segment.
  • +Debt-to-equity of 0.55 is modest for a capital-intensive industrial manufacturer, and the debt trend is classified as falling over the measured period.
  • +FCF was positive in 3 of the last available years, and consistency score of 75 reflects relative stability in financial outcomes across the measurement window.
  • +The stock is 4.0% below its 52-week high with price gains of 25.2% over 12 months and 10.6% over 3 months, both above its 50-DMA and 200-DMA.

Weaknesses

  • 5-year earnings growth of -26.6% alongside 16.1% revenue growth points to sustained margin compression or cost escalation that has prevented profitability from scaling with revenue.
  • Quality score of 29 ranks 4th of 6 Infrastructure peers (BEL at 57, ABB at 47, CGPOWER at 45 rank higher), reflecting below-median capital efficiency in the peer set.
  • Trailing PE of 61.3x and forward PE of 50.7x represent a significant earnings multiple for a business whose 5-year earnings trajectory has been negative; LT trades at 33.4x by comparison.
  • ROE data is unavailable for the current period, limiting direct comparison of returns on equity against peers and against the 15% threshold for 4 of the last available years.

Open questions

  • ?Does the divergence between 16.1% revenue CAGR and -26.6% earnings growth over 5 years reflect a temporary cost cycle, a structural shift in input costs, or a base-year earnings anomaly — and what does management guidance say about margin recovery trajectory?
  • ?How does Timken India's pricing power and product mix compare to peers like ABB India and Cummins India, given the significant gap in quality scores (29 vs. 47 and 24 respectively)?
  • ?With Q4 FY26 results due 18 May 2026, what is the trend in operating margins over the past 4 quarters, and has profitability begun to converge toward the revenue growth rate?
  • ?Given a forward PE of 50.7x, what earnings growth rate is implied by current valuations, and how does that compare to the company's actual 5-year earnings track record?

Peer comparison: Infrastructure

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
TIMKENTimken India Ltd.You're viewing61.329
Industry avgacross 5 peers69.5+18.3%40
BELBharat Electronics Ltd.51.857
ABBABB India Ltd.87.047
CGPOWERCG Power and Industrial Solutions Ltd.108.7+19.6%45
LTLarsen & Toubro Ltd.33.4+16.9%26
CUMMINSINDCummins India Ltd.66.724

Technical state

Current price

₹3,531.20

SMA 50

₹3,420.39

SMA 200

₹3,148.66

RSI (14)

53.7 (neutral)

From 52w high

-4.0%

1Y return

+25.2%

3M return

+10.6%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹3,384.90
₹3,172.10
₹3,008.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹3,610.00
₹3,679.60

Risk flags

  • medium
    5-year earnings growth of -26.6% against 5-year revenue growth of 16.1% indicates significant margin compression or cost escalation that has eroded profitability over the period.
  • medium
    Quality score of 29 ranks 4th of 6 peers in the Infrastructure sector, below sector peers BEL (57), ABB (47), CGPOWER (45), and LT (26).
  • medium
    Trailing PE of 61.3x and forward PE of 50.7x are elevated relative to peers LT (33.4x); TIMKEN ranks 3rd of 6 on PE, implying a meaningful premium to the sector median.
  • low
    Analyst consensus rating is unavailable (null) despite 6 analysts tracked; news sample is sparse at 8 total articles, of which 7 are neutral and 1 positive, limiting sentiment depth.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Revenue has compounded at 16.1% over 5 years while 5-year earnings growth is -26.6%, an unusual divergence that points to sustained margin pressure or a multi-year earnings base effect distorting the window.
  • The stock is up 25.2% over 12 months, sits only 4.0% below its 52-week high, and trades above both the 50-DMA (₹3,420) and 200-DMA (₹3,149), yet the quality score of 29 places it near the bottom of its peer group — price momentum and fundamental quality metrics point in opposite directions.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 17 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days