Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd.

NSE: RVNL
NIFTY200
Analyst consensus:Strongly cautious· 1 analysts
₹230.00-33.1%1Y
Last updated 05:15:41 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

RVNL trades at ₹224.83, down 37.99% over the past year and 43.71% below its 52-week high, sitting below both its 50-DMA (₹237.08) and 200-DMA (₹292.28). Trailing PE stands at 53.40x (forward 40.88x) against 5-year earnings growth of -59.1% and a quality score of 10/100. Recent news flow (6 of 8 articles positive) centers on new railway contract wins and a dividend record-date announcement.

P/E

53.4

Forward P/E

40.9

ROE

+9.0%

Debt / Equity

49.08

Profit Margin

+4.3%

Div. Yield

+1.2%

5Y ROE > 15%

2/5

5Y FCF > 0

2/5

Quality

30/100

Recent context

  • ·Multiple new order-win headlines were reported in July 2026, including an East Central Railway doubling contract (~₹359 crore) and a Bihar rail project (₹359 crore), plus incorporation of an RVNL Infra South Africa subsidiary.
  • ·A dividend record-date announcement accompanied a reported 2% single-day price move, per the July 29 TradingView headline.
  • ·Despite the positive news tilt (6 of 8 recent articles), the stock remains down 37.99% over the past year and below both key moving averages.

Strengths

  • +Debt trend is classified as "falling" per persistence data, alongside a dividend yield of 1.23%.
  • +Recent order-win news flow: 6 of 8 recent articles carry positive sentiment, including reported contract wins on the East Central Railway line and in Bihar, plus incorporation of an RVNL Infra South Africa subsidiary.
  • +RVNL's trailing PE of 53.40x (forward 40.88x) ranks 3rd of 6 among covered infrastructure/capital-goods peers, below ABB (99.92x) and CGPOWER (104.60x).
  • +RSI of 40.08 sits in neutral territory, with identified support levels at ₹223.56 and ₹221.55 near the current price of ₹224.83.

Weaknesses

  • 5-year earnings growth of -59.1% alongside a quality score of 10/100 and consistency score of 24/100 point to material deterioration in profitability consistency; ROE exceeded 15% in only 2 of the tracked years and free cash flow was positive in only 2 years.
  • Price trades below both the 50-DMA (₹237.08) and 200-DMA (₹292.28), down 24.21% over 3 months and 43.71% off its 52-week high.
  • RVNL ranks last (6th of 6) among covered infrastructure/capital-goods peers on quality score (10 vs a peer range of 37-65).
  • Analyst coverage is limited to a single tracked analyst (rating of 5.0 on a 1-5 scale, lower = more constructive), too sparse for a reliable consensus read.

Open questions

  • ?Does the falling debt-to-equity trend reflect deleveraging discipline, or is it a function of a smaller debt base relative to a still-expanding order book?
  • ?What specific factors explain the -59.1% five-year earnings growth figure -- one-off provisioning, execution delays, or a structural margin issue -- and has that trend stabilized in recent quarters?
  • ?How does the recent order-win news flow translate into revenue recognition timelines, given RVNL's execution-linked revenue model?
  • ?Given the stock trades 43.71% below its 52-week high while quality and consistency scores remain low relative to sector peers, what would a reader want to see in the next 1-2 quarters of earnings to reassess the fundamental picture?

Peer comparison: Infrastructure

Ranks 6 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
RVNLRail Vikas Nigam Ltd.You're viewing53.4+9.0%10
Industry avgacross 5 peers69.3+29.5%47
CUMMINSINDCummins India Ltd.63.2+29.5%65
BELBharat Electronics Ltd.46.150
ABBABB India Ltd.99.947
CGPOWERCG Power and Industrial Solutions Ltd.104.638
LTLarsen & Toubro Ltd.32.637

Technical state

Current price

₹224.83

SMA 50

₹237.08

SMA 200

₹292.28

RSI (14)

40.1 (neutral)

From 52w high

-43.7%

1Y return

-38.0%

3M return

-24.2%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹223.56
₹221.55

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹251.38
₹310.00
₹311.45

Risk flags

  • high
    5-year earnings growth of -59.1% alongside a quality score of 10/100 and consistency score of 24/100 indicate material deterioration in profitability consistency. ROE exceeded 15% in only 2 of the tracked years and free cash flow was positive in only 2 years.
  • medium
    RVNL trades at ₹224.83, below both its 50-DMA (₹237.08) and 200-DMA (₹292.28). The stock is down 37.99% over 1 year, 24.21% over 3 months, and sits 43.71% below its 52-week high.
  • medium
    RVNL ranks last (6th of 6) among covered infrastructure/capital-goods peers on quality score (10 vs a peer range of 37-65). Its 2nd-of-6 ranking on ROE is based on ROE data available for only 1 of the other 5 peers (CUMMINSIND at 29.46%) and should be read with that limitation in mind.
  • low
    Analyst coverage is limited to a single tracked analyst (rating of 5.0 on a 1-5 scale, lower = more constructive) -- too sparse for a reliable consensus read. 1-year price-change data is also null for all 5 sector peers, limiting relative-performance comparison.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Recent news flow skews positive (6 of 8 articles, including multiple reported order wins in July 2026 and a dividend record-date announcement), yet the stock is down 37.99% over 1 year, 24.21% over 3 months, and trades below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages -- a divergence between order-flow headlines and price trend.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 11 Aug 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 30 Jul 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days