Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd.

NSE: RVNL
NIFTY200
Analyst consensus:Strongly cautious· 3 analysts
₹239.94-38.1%1Y
Last updated 03:00:44 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. (RVNL), a government-owned rail infrastructure PSU, trades at ₹287.2 — below its 200-DMA of ₹319.19 and 35.33% off its 52-week high. The business carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 52.1, a trailing PE of 51.4 (forward PE 39.9), and a thin profit margin of 5.69%, operating against an active order pipeline of recent government rail and infrastructure projects.

P/E

51.4

Forward P/E

39.9

ROE

Debt / Equity

52.11

Profit Margin

+5.7%

Div. Yield

+0.9%

5Y ROE > 15%

3/5

5Y FCF > 0

3/5

Quality

45/100

Recent context

  • ·RVNL was named lowest bidder for a ₹967.93-crore East Coast Railway bridge project (April 2026) and separately secured a ₹39-crore NMDC order for a residential campus in Hyderabad — order activity consistent with its government rail-infrastructure mandate.
  • ·The stock has a Texmaco partnership announced in April 2026 for rail infrastructure work, adding a private-sector collaborative dimension to its predominantly PSU order book.
  • ·RSI stands at 45.44 (neutral zone) and the price at ₹287.2 is ₹15.75 above identified support at ₹271.25, with the next resistance cluster near ₹310–₹311.85 — a zone approximately 8% above current price.

Strengths

  • +PE of 51.4 (trailing) and forward PE of 39.9 place RVNL at the second-lowest valuation among its 6 Infrastructure sector peers, below BEL (52.0), ABB (87.1), CGPOWER (108.6), and Cummins (66.5); Larsen and Toubro at 33.4 is the only peer with a lower PE.
  • +Debt trend is classified as falling, and FCF was positive in 3 of the available years, suggesting incremental improvement in balance-sheet management despite the headline leverage ratio.
  • +Recent order wins are consistent: RVNL emerged as lowest bidder for a ₹968-crore East Coast Railway project and secured a ₹39-crore NMDC residential campus order, supporting near-term revenue visibility.
  • +News sentiment across 8 articles is 4 positive, 4 neutral, 0 negative — and the stock is above its 50-DMA (₹283.91), indicating short-term price stabilisation relative to the medium-term trend.

Weaknesses

  • Debt-to-equity of 52.1 is a high-severity concern: far above typical non-financial sector thresholds, this leverage makes earnings highly sensitive to interest rate changes and project execution delays.
  • The stock has been below its 200-DMA (₹319.19) with a 35.33% drawdown from the 52-week high and a 19.43% decline over 1 year, reflecting sustained medium-term price underperformance.
  • Quality score of 29/100 — second-lowest among the 5 peers where data is available (BEL 57, ABB 47, CGPOWER 45, LT 26) — combined with a consistency score of 46, suggests below-median financial resilience in the Infrastructure sector.
  • Five-year revenue growth of 2.6% and earnings growth of 4% are modest; the profitability profile (margin 5.69%) leaves limited buffer against cost overruns or project delays typical of government-contracted infrastructure work.

Open questions

  • ?Does the falling debt trend and positive FCF in 3 of available years represent a durable shift in RVNL's capital structure, or is the 52.1 D/E ratio still the dominant lens for assessing financial risk?
  • ?How much of RVNL's order-win velocity is priced into the current PE of 51.4, and how does project execution risk affect the relationship between order book growth and earnings delivery?
  • ?The 35.33% drawdown from the 52-week high contrasts with a positive news flow — what macro or sector-level factors (interest rates, government capex policy, rail budget allocation) could explain this divergence?
  • ?RVNL's quality score of 29 is the second-lowest in the Infrastructure peer group shown — does this reflect the structural characteristics of PSU infrastructure businesses, or is it specific to RVNL's operating model?

Peer comparison: Infrastructure

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
RVNLRail Vikas Nigam Ltd.You're viewing51.429
Industry avgacross 5 peers69.5+17.5%40
BELBharat Electronics Ltd.52.057
ABBABB India Ltd.87.147
CGPOWERCG Power and Industrial Solutions Ltd.108.6+19.6%45
LTLarsen & Toubro Ltd.33.4+15.5%26
CUMMINSINDCummins India Ltd.66.524

Technical state

Current price

₹287.20

SMA 50

₹283.91

SMA 200

₹319.19

RSI (14)

45.4 (neutral)

From 52w high

-35.3%

1Y return

-19.4%

3M return

-9.8%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹271.25
₹248.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹310.00
₹311.45
₹311.85

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 52.1 is exceptionally elevated for an infrastructure PSU and far above non-financial sector norms. This leverage amplifies earnings sensitivity to interest rate movements and contract execution delays.
  • medium
    RVNL trades at ₹287.2, below its 200-DMA of ₹319.19. The stock is down 19.43% over 1 year and 35.33% from its 52-week high, indicating sustained price weakness for over six months.
  • medium
    Profit margin of 5.69%, quality score of 29/100, and consistency score of 46 reflect limited financial resilience. Five-year revenue growth of 2.6% and earnings growth of 4% are modest for a government-backed infrastructure company.
  • low
    RVNL ranks 4th of 6 peers on quality score (29 vs sector range up to 57). ROE is unavailable for RVNL and 3 of 5 peers, and 1-year price change is null for all 5 peers, limiting the depth of relative-performance comparison.
  • low
    Analyst rating value is null with only 3 analysts tracked — too sparse for a reliable consensus read. ROE is also null in the fundamental data, preventing return-on-equity assessment.

Cross-section contradictions

  • News sentiment is positive (4 positive, 0 negative across 8 articles) with recent order wins totalling over ₹1,000 crore, yet the stock is down 19.43% over 1 year and 35.33% from its 52-week high — indicating the market is pricing in execution, macro, or valuation risk not reflected in headline order flow.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 15 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days