REC Ltd.

NSE: RECLTD
NIFTY100
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 13 analysts
₹363.65-2.8%1Y
Last updated 03:00:44 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

REC Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

REC Ltd is a government-backed power-sector NBFC trading at Rs 331.4, a PE of 5.36 — the lowest among the 6 tracked sector peers — with a dividend yield of 6.87%. The stock is down 13.38% over 12 months, below both its 50-DMA and 200-DMA, with 5-year earnings growth of -21.9% and FCF positive in only 1 of the tracked years against a rising debt trend.

P/E

5.4

Forward P/E

4.7

ROE

+20.0%

Debt / Equity

607.46

Profit Margin

+70.5%

Div. Yield

+6.9%

5Y ROE > 15%

4/5

5Y FCF > 0

1/5

Quality

45/100

Recent context

  • ·Q4 results coverage is split: one headline (Meyka, May 2026) flags an EPS miss while another (AD HOC NEWS, May 2026) describes strong Q4 performance and a dividend hike, illustrating divergent interpretations of the same quarterly result.
  • ·REC completed the sale of two subsidiaries for over Rs 16.66 crore (Business Upturn, May 2026) and is reportedly exploring floating-rate bond issuances ahead of an RBI rate decision (marketscreener.com, May 2026).
  • ·Leadership changes were noted in mid-May 2026 (AD HOC NEWS) alongside references to a growth outlook update; the news sample of 7 articles is sparse and neutral-skewed (5 neutral, 1 positive, 1 negative).

Strengths

  • +PE of 5.36 and forward PE of 4.66 are the lowest in the 6-peer Banking/NBFC comparison group, which includes HDFC Bank (16.6), Bajaj Finance (29.1) and Bajaj Finserv (28.8).
  • +ROE of 19.96% ranks 1st among all 6 tracked sector peers, above Bajaj Finance (17.91%), HDFC Bank (13.82%), Axis Bank (13.15%) and HDFC Life (11.28%).
  • +Dividend yield of 6.87% and ROE above 15% in 4 of the tracked years reflect a history of distributing earnings while maintaining above-threshold equity returns.
  • +Mean analyst rating of 1.69 across 13 analysts (1–5 scale, lower = more constructive), indicating a constructive tilt in sell-side coverage.

Weaknesses

  • 5-year revenue growth of -14.4% and 5-year earnings growth of -21.9% reflect persistent contraction in top-line and bottom-line over the measured period.
  • FCF was positive in only 1 of the tracked years with a rising debt trend; the loan book is funded primarily through incremental borrowings, leaving the balance sheet sensitive to funding-cost and credit-cycle shifts.
  • Quality score of 34 ranks 4th of 6 sector peers and the consistency score of 56 is moderate, with the reported ROE of 19.96% substantially amplified by a D/E of 607.5.
  • Price is below both the 50-DMA (Rs 346.49) and 200-DMA (Rs 352.8), with a 52-week drawdown of 18.52% and a 12-month return of -13.38%.

Open questions

  • ?To what extent does the 5-year earnings contraction reflect a structural shift in the power-sector lending cycle, versus accounting or classification changes in reported revenue?
  • ?Given FCF positive in only 1 of the tracked years and a D/E of 607.5, how does the company plan to manage refinancing risk if benchmark rates remain elevated for an extended period?
  • ?Does the gap between the reported profit margin of 70.55% and the weak FCF generation suggest a significant divergence between accrual-based income recognition and cash collection on the loan book?
  • ?How has the change in leadership affected capital allocation priorities, and is there a stated plan to address the declining 5-year revenue and earnings growth trend?

Peer comparison: Banking

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
RECLTDREC Ltd.You're viewing5.4+20.0%34
Industry avgacross 5 peers31.2+14.2%39
BAJFINANCEBajaj Finance Ltd.29.1+17.9%53
AXISBANKAxis Bank Ltd.15.1+13.2%50
HDFCBANKHDFC Bank Ltd.16.6+13.8%50
BAJAJFINSVBajaj Finserv Ltd.28.8+14.6%23
HDFCLIFEHDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd.66.2+11.3%20

Technical state

Current price

₹331.40

SMA 50

₹346.49

SMA 200

₹352.80

RSI (14)

37.0 (neutral)

From 52w high

-18.5%

1Y return

-13.4%

3M return

-5.5%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹328.15
₹317.92
₹304.05

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹345.00
₹363.08
₹367.30

Risk flags

  • high
    5-year revenue growth of -14.4% and 5-year earnings growth of -21.9% indicate persistent contraction in reported top-line and bottom-line over the period; FCF was positive in only 1 of the tracked years against a rising debt trend, indicating loan-book expansion is funded primarily by incremental borrowings rather than internally generated cash.
  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 607.5 is characteristic of the government-NBFC lending model but, combined with FCF positive in only 1 tracked year and a rising debt trend, leaves the balance sheet highly sensitive to funding-cost shifts and credit-cycle deterioration.
  • medium
    Current price of Rs 331.4 is below both the 50-DMA (Rs 346.49) and 200-DMA (Rs 352.8); stock is down 13.38% over 12 months and 5.5% over 3 months; drawdown from the 52-week high stands at 18.52%.
  • medium
    Quality score of 34 ranks 4th of 6 sector peers and the consistency score of 56 is moderate; the reported ROE of 19.96% is amplified substantially by leverage rather than reflecting underlying capital efficiency.
  • low
    News sample is sparse at 7 articles total; Q4 coverage includes an EPS miss report (Meyka, May 2026) alongside a strong-Q4 headline, indicating divergent readings of the same result and limited information depth for the current period.

Cross-section contradictions

  • ROE of 19.96% ranks 1st among 6 sector peers and PE of 5.36 is the lowest in the peer group, yet the stock is down 13.38% over 12 months and has traded below both its 50-DMA and 200-DMA — the valuation discount relative to reported profitability metrics has persisted through recent price action.
  • 5-year earnings growth of -21.9% and FCF positive in only 1 tracked year coexist with a reported profit margin of 70.55% — the high margin reflects the NBFC interest-spread model and does not capture the cash-generation constraint imposed by leverage and the rising debt trend.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 1 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days