Power Finance Corporation Ltd.

NSE: PFC
NIFTY100
Analyst consensus:Strongly constructive· 14 analysts
₹437.10+10.9%1Y
Last updated 02:56:09 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Power Finance Corporation Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Power Finance Corporation (PFC) is a PSU infrastructure-finance NBFC lending primarily to the power sector, trading at ₹421.10 as of the run date. At a trailing PE of 5.37x and ROE of 20.47%, PFC ranks first among its assigned Banking peers on both metrics, though it carries a debt-to-equity of 586x and has generated no positive free cash flow in the persistence record. The stock is 13.4% below its 52-week high, below the 50-DMA of ₹437 but above the 200-DMA of ₹394, with RSI at 37.75.

P/E

5.4

Forward P/E

6.5

ROE

+20.5%

Debt / Equity

586.02

Profit Margin

+54.3%

Div. Yield

+3.4%

5Y ROE > 15%

4/5

5Y FCF > 0

0/5

Quality

55/100

Recent context

  • ·Q4 FY26 standalone net profit rose 24% year-on-year to ₹6,325 crore, driven by interest income growth, with a final dividend of ₹3.65 per share declared for FY26.
  • ·The PFC board in May 2026 approved a PFC-REC merger proposal and submitted it for Presidential approval, marking a significant potential structural change for both PSU lenders.
  • ·Mean analyst rating of 1.14 across 14 analysts (1-5 scale, lower = more constructive), the smallest coverage count in the peer group at 14 names.

Strengths

  • +ROE of 20.47% has remained above 15% in 4 of the years captured (out of 5 available), indicating persistent above-threshold return generation for a PSU lender.
  • +Trailing PE of 5.37x is the lowest in the 6-stock Banking peer group, while profit margin of 54.3% reflects the high-NIM, low-opex structure of a focused infrastructure on-lender.
  • +Q4 FY26 standalone net profit of ₹6,325 crore rose 24% year-on-year, with a final dividend of ₹3.65 per share declared — current trailing dividend yield stands at 3.41%.
  • +Price is above the 200-DMA (₹394), and identified technical support levels sit at ₹390, ₹381, and ₹363, with the nearest resistance cluster at ₹423-₹432.

Weaknesses

  • FCF is positive in 0 of the years available in the persistence record, with debt classified as rising; the business is entirely reliant on continuous capital market access to fund loan-book growth.
  • Debt-to-equity of 586x, while structurally characteristic of PSU infrastructure NBFCs, means any deterioration in power-sector asset quality or a sustained rise in cost of funds would directly compress the 54.3% profit margin.
  • 5-year revenue growth of -15.4% indicates topline contraction despite earnings growth; profit expansion has been driven by margin widening, not volume growth, raising sustainability questions if conditions normalise.
  • Quality score of 45 ranks 4th of 6 among Banking peers, and the pending PFC-REC merger proposal adds integration complexity and capital allocation uncertainty while regulatory approval remains open.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 10.8% five-year earnings CAGR reflect a durable structural advantage in PSU power-sector lending, or has it been primarily driven by one-time factors such as NPA recoveries and declining credit costs that may not repeat?
  • ?How would a 100-basis-point increase in PFC cost of borrowing affect net interest margin given the 586x debt-to-equity, and what proportion of the loan book is at fixed versus floating rates?
  • ?What are the realistic timelines, capital requirements, and integration risks involved in a PFC-REC merger, and how might the combined entity's capital adequacy ratios change post-merger?
  • ?The peer group assigned is retail Banking — does evaluating PFC against HDFC Bank, Bajaj Finance, and HDFC Life provide meaningful comparisons for valuation, or are dedicated infrastructure-NBFC peers (REC, IREDA, PNB Housing) a more relevant reference frame?

Peer comparison: Banking

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
PFCPower Finance Corporation Ltd.You're viewing5.4+20.5%45
Industry avgacross 5 peers31.2+14.2%39
BAJFINANCEBajaj Finance Ltd.29.1+17.9%53
AXISBANKAxis Bank Ltd.15.1+13.2%50
HDFCBANKHDFC Bank Ltd.16.6+13.8%50
BAJAJFINSVBajaj Finserv Ltd.28.8+14.6%23
HDFCLIFEHDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd.66.2+11.3%20

Technical state

Current price

₹421.10

SMA 50

₹437.04

SMA 200

₹393.83

RSI (14)

37.8 (neutral)

From 52w high

-13.4%

1Y return

+6.6%

3M return

+0.9%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹390.27
₹381.23
₹363.15

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹422.84
₹423.54
₹431.53

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 586x reflects the structural on-lending model of a PSU infrastructure NBFC, but vastly exceeds every peer in the assigned Banking group (HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Bajaj Finance all below 10x D/E). Any deterioration in power-sector borrower repayment or a sustained rise in cost of funds would directly compress the net interest margin that currently sustains a 54.3% profit margin.
  • high
    FCF was positive in 0 of the years captured in the persistence record, with debt trend classified as rising. Balance-sheet growth is funded entirely through external borrowings; continuous capital-market access is a prerequisite for sustaining current loan-book expansion.
  • medium
    5-year revenue growth of -15.4% contrasts with 5-year earnings growth of +10.8%. Profit expansion against a shrinking topline has been driven by margin widening; if revenue contraction persists or cost of funds rises, this divergence may not be sustainable.
  • medium
    In May 2026, the PFC board cleared a PFC-REC merger proposal and forwarded it for Presidential approval. A consolidation of two large PSU infrastructure lenders introduces integration complexity, capital allocation uncertainty, and potential regulatory conditions whose outcome remained open as of the run date.
  • low
    PFC is benchmarked in a Banking peer group alongside retail private-sector lenders (HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, HDFC Life). Business models and statutory leverage norms differ materially; PE rank of 1st of 6 (lowest, at 5.37x) and ROE rank of 1st of 6 (highest, at 20.47%) partly reflect structural differences rather than pure outperformance.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Trailing PE of 5.37x and ROE of 20.47% each rank 1st of 6 peers on their respective metrics, yet the quality score of 45 ranks 4th of 6 and FCF is positive in 0 of the available years — headline profitability metrics diverge from underlying cash-generation quality.
  • 5-year revenue growth of -15.4% coexists with 5-year earnings growth of +10.8% and a 54.3% profit margin; earnings have expanded through margin widening rather than volume growth, a pattern that may face headwinds if borrowing costs rise.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 1 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days