NHPC Ltd.

NSE: NHPC
NIFTY200
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 6 analysts
₹76.85-5.4%1Y
Last updated 05:11:32 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

NHPC Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

NHPC last traded at ₹78.73, down 4.05% over 12 months and 5.89% over 3 months, with a 52-week drawdown of -10.16%, sitting between support near ₹73-77.76 and resistance near ₹81.69-83, currently above both its 50-DMA (₹77.96) and 200-DMA (₹78.24) with RSI neutral at 48.75. Trailing PE is 28.42 versus a forward PE of 12.30, ROE is 9.02% (has not exceeded 15% in any tracked year), and free cash flow was positive in just 1 of the tracked years. Mean analyst rating is 2.33 across 6 analysts on a 1-5 scale, where lower is more constructive.

P/E

28.4

Forward P/E

12.3

ROE

+9.0%

Debt / Equity

113.11

Profit Margin

+32.4%

Div. Yield

+2.5%

5Y ROE > 15%

0/5

5Y FCF > 0

1/5

Quality

40/100

Recent context

  • ·The Hindu (July 23, 2026) reported that NHPC's own 2024 internal paper had recorded gas fires in the Teesta-VI tunnels before a fatal blast at the project.
  • ·NHPC signed a 40-year power purchase agreement with CSPDCL for the 1,720 MW Kamala hydro project, reported July 15, 2026.
  • ·Multiple outlets (Daily Pioneer, Daily Excelsior, MillenniumPost, July 30-31, 2026) reported Paresh Ranpara taking charge as Director (Personnel); 6 of 8 tracked headlines in the sample were classified neutral, so the sample size doesn't support a stronger directional sentiment read.

Strengths

  • +Quality score of 42 ranks 2nd of 6 tracked Power-sector peers, ahead of Adani Green (36), Power Grid (37), and NTPC (29), behind only Adani Power (57).
  • +5-year revenue growth of 19.2% and 5-year earnings growth of 70.6%, alongside a profit margin of 32.42% and dividend yield of 2.45%.
  • +Forward PE of 12.30 is less than half the trailing PE of 28.42, indicating consensus estimates project a step-up in near-term earnings.
  • +Signed a 40-year power purchase agreement with CSPDCL for the 1,720 MW Kamala hydro project, reported July 15, 2026.

Weaknesses

  • Free cash flow was positive in only 1 of the tracked years, with a rising debt trend and debt-to-equity of 1.13x.
  • ROE of 9.02% has not exceeded 15% in any tracked year, and the persistence consistency score is 0.
  • The Hindu reported (July 23, 2026) that NHPC's own 2024 internal paper had recorded gas fires in the Teesta-VI tunnels before a fatal blast at the project.
  • Stock is down 4.05% over 12 months and 5.89% over 3 months, with a 52-week drawdown of -10.16%.

Open questions

  • ?Does the FCF shortfall (positive in only 1 tracked year) reflect ongoing hydro-project capex that could convert to cash flow as new capacity like the 1,720 MW Kamala project comes online, or does it reflect a more structural pattern?
  • ?What did NHPC's own 2024 internal paper on Teesta-VI tunnel gas fires actually document, and what oversight or remedial steps followed before the fatal blast reported in July 2026?
  • ?What consensus earnings trajectory would need to materialize to reconcile the trailing PE of 28.42 with the forward PE of 12.30?
  • ?How does NHPC's ROE profile (9.02%, never above 15% in the tracked years) compare with the regulated-return framework and capital structure typical of Indian hydro-generation utilities?

Peer comparison: Power

Ranks 2 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
NHPCNHPC Ltd.You're viewing28.4+9.0%42
Industry avgacross 5 peers50.7+16.5%40
ADANIPOWERAdani Power Ltd.28.657
ADANIENSOLAdani Energy Solutions Ltd.67.941
POWERGRIDPower Grid Corporation of India Ltd.14.0+16.5%37
ADANIGREENAdani Green Energy Ltd.132.236
NTPCNTPC Ltd.10.629

Technical state

Current price

₹78.73

SMA 50

₹77.96

SMA 200

₹78.24

RSI (14)

48.8 (neutral)

From 52w high

-10.2%

1Y return

-4.0%

3M return

-5.9%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹77.76
₹75.91
₹73.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹81.69
₹82.50
₹83.00

Risk flags

  • high
    Free cash flow was positive in only 1 of the tracked years, with the debt trend classified as rising and debt-to-equity at 1.13x (Yahoo's raw 113.11 figure is percent-scaled and converts to a 1.13x multiple, not 113x). Persistent negative FCF across the majority of tracked years raises questions about self-funded capex even within a capital-intensive hydro-generation business.
  • medium
    Return on equity of 9.02% has not exceeded 15% in any tracked year (roeYearsAbove15 = 0) and the persistence consistency score is 0, indicating no sustained high-return-on-capital track record despite the stock's quality score of 42 ranking 2nd of 6 tracked Power-sector peers.
  • high
    The Hindu reported on July 23, 2026 that NHPC's own 2024 internal paper had recorded gas fires in the Teesta-VI tunnels prior to a fatal blast at the project — a safety and internal-oversight disclosure tied to a core hydro asset.
  • low
    ROE and 1-year price change are null for 4 of the 5 tracked Power-sector peers (only POWERGRID has a non-null ROE), limiting sector comparability to PE and quality score alone.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 11 Aug 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 1 Aug 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days