LIC Housing Finance Ltd.

NSE: LICHSGFIN
NIFTY200
Analyst consensus:Neutral· 23 analysts
₹550.55-5.8%1Y
Last updated 02:59:43 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

LIC Housing Finance Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

LIC Housing Finance (LICHSGFIN) is a large NBFC/HFC trading at a PE of 5.62 with a forward PE of 5.06, against peers in the 15-30x range. FY26 PAT grew 3% to Rs. 5,595 crore with NIM at 2.68%, while management guided for 10-12% loan book growth in FY27 — the first upward revision after five years of negative revenue and earnings CAGRs.

P/E

5.6

Forward P/E

5.1

ROE

Debt / Equity

679.25

Profit Margin

+65.1%

Div. Yield

+1.7%

5Y ROE > 15%

1/5

5Y FCF > 0

0/5

Quality

47/100

Recent context

  • ·Q4 FY26 PAT of Rs. 1,497 crore (+9% YoY) and full-year PAT of Rs. 5,595 crore (+3%) were accompanied by a Rs. 10 dividend recommendation; management cited stable NIM of 2.80% for the quarter and 2.68% for the full year.
  • ·Management raised FY27 loan growth guidance to 10-12%, the first upward revision after five years of sub-zero revenue and earnings CAGRs — a potential inflection if disbursement targets are met.
  • ·Analyst coverage stands at 23 analysts with a mean rating of 2.54 on a 1-5 scale (lower = more constructive), suggesting a spread of views across the coverage universe rather than a single dominant stance.

Strengths

  • +Lowest PE in the 6-stock peer group at 5.62, versus sector median above 17x; forward PE compresses further to 5.06, reflecting improving earnings expectations.
  • +Profit margin of 65.14% indicates that the existing loan book generates earnings efficiently despite the top-line contraction.
  • +Price is above both the 50-DMA (Rs. 529.67) and 200-DMA (Rs. 547.03) with a 3-month gain of 11.84% and a 52-week drawdown of only -7.82%.
  • +Q4 FY26 PAT rose 9% YoY to Rs. 1,497 crore; FY26 full-year PAT up 3%; asset quality and disbursements described as improved in the results announcement.

Weaknesses

  • 5-year revenue CAGR of -2% and earnings CAGR of -2.6% show the franchise has been shrinking in absolute scale for half a decade — the FY27 guidance is the first positive pivot on record.
  • FCF has been positive in 0 of the tracked years; the balance sheet relies entirely on incremental external borrowings to fund loan disbursements, leaving no internal cash-flow cushion.
  • Quality score of 30/100 ranks 4th of 6 in the peer group; ROE exceeded 15% in only 1 of tracked years, against peers such as Bajaj Finance (ROE 17.91%) and HDFC Bank (ROE 13.82%).
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 679.25 is rising, a meaningful flag even in an NBFC context where high leverage is structural — a sustained rising D/E trend narrows the margin of safety if credit costs increase.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 10-12% FY27 loan growth guidance represent a structural improvement in the housing-finance competitive environment, or is it a base-effect recovery after a period of deliberate portfolio conservatism?
  • ?How has asset quality (GNPA/NNPA) trended over the past 4-6 quarters, and does the stable characterisation in the results cover the full book or only select segments?
  • ?Given that FCF has been positive in 0 of tracked years and D/E is rising, what funding-mix or cost-of-funds trajectory would be needed to sustain the guided growth without further margin compression?
  • ?Does the 65% profit margin alongside negative 5-year CAGRs reflect a business that has prioritised quality of book over volume, or a business that has lost pricing or origination share to competitors?

Peer comparison: Banking

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
LICHSGFINLIC Housing Finance Ltd.You're viewing5.630
Industry avgacross 5 peers32.0+14.2%39
AXISBANKAxis Bank Ltd.14.8+13.2%53
BAJFINANCEBajaj Finance Ltd.29.9+17.9%53
HDFCBANKHDFC Bank Ltd.17.2+13.8%47
BAJAJFINSVBajaj Finserv Ltd.29.1+14.6%23
HDFCLIFEHDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd.69.1+11.3%20

Technical state

Current price

₹585.65

SMA 50

₹529.67

SMA 200

₹547.03

RSI (14)

63.7 (neutral)

From 52w high

-7.8%

1Y return

+3.7%

3M return

+11.8%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹512.40
₹502.80
₹489.75

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity ratio of 679.25 is structurally elevated; while NBFC/HFC business models carry leverage by design, the trend is rising and FCF has been positive in 0 of tracked years — the lending book is funded entirely by incremental borrowing with no free-cash-flow buffer recorded.
  • high
    5-year revenue CAGR of -2% and 5-year earnings CAGR of -2.6% indicate a prolonged contraction phase, not a one-quarter miss. Quality score of 30/100 ranks 4th of 6 peers; ROE exceeded 15% in only 1 of tracked years.
  • medium
    News sample is sparse (5 articles, all from a 2-day window around the Q4 results). Sentiment is entirely positive but concentrated — a broader sample may yield a materially different distribution.
  • low
    RSI of 63.72 is in the upper neutral zone after an 11.84% 3-month gain. No resistance levels were identified, leaving the upper price boundary undefined on current data.

Cross-section contradictions

  • 5-year earnings and revenue CAGRs are both negative (-2.6% and -2% respectively), yet trailing profit margin stands at 65.14% and PE is 5.62 — the business remains profitable on its existing book while the portfolio is shrinking in scale.
  • Price is above both the 50-DMA (529.67) and 200-DMA (547.03) and has gained 11.84% over 3 months, yet the 1-year price change is only +3.69% — the recent short-term recovery has not yet meaningfully shifted the full-year return picture.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 15 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days