Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd.

NSE: LEMONTREE
NIFTY500
Analyst consensus:Strongly constructive· 21 analysts
₹119.34-10.8%1Y
Last updated 02:56:17 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Lemon Tree Hotels (₹111.23) is trading 22.5% below its 200-DMA of ₹143.56 and 38.4% below its 52-week high, having declined 19.9% over the past 12 months. Trailing PE is 39.9 against a forward PE of 26.3, with debt-to-equity at 109.6 and five-year earnings CAGR at 0%. The analyst mean rating is 1.3 across 21 analysts on a 1–5 scale (lower = more constructive).

P/E

39.9

Forward P/E

26.3

ROE

Debt / Equity

109.55

Profit Margin

+15.6%

Div. Yield

5Y ROE > 15%

2/5

5Y FCF > 0

4/5

Quality

57/100

Recent context

  • ·Recent news flow covers new property openings and signings — Assam (Keys Select), 30th Maharashtra property in Ahilyanagar, and new signings in Raipur and Jalandhar — indicating continued asset-light expansion activity.
  • ·The stock surged on an earnings and expansion news event in April 2026 alongside PNB Housing, per TradingView, though the 3-month price change of -17.1% suggests the move was not sustained.
  • ·Despite entirely positive news sentiment across 7 articles, the stock is 38.4% below its 52-week high, creating a visible gap between news tone and price trajectory that the available data does not resolve.

Strengths

  • +Revenue has grown at a 5-year CAGR of 14.3%, indicating top-line expansion even as earnings growth has stalled.
  • +FCF was positive in 4 of the available years, suggesting the core hotel operating business has generated cash at the unit level in most periods.
  • +Forward PE of 26.3 is 34% below the trailing PE of 39.9, reflecting market expectations of earnings recovery — a measurable compression if realized.
  • +Trailing PE of 39.9 is the lowest among 6 Consumer Goods sector peers, where peers range from 65.0 (Asian Paints) to 95.1 (DMart), placing Lemon Tree at the least-expensive end of the peer set on this metric.

Weaknesses

  • Debt-to-equity of 109.6 is substantially above sector norms; this level of leverage in a cyclical, asset-heavy hospitality business elevates financial risk during revenue downturns.
  • Five-year earnings CAGR is 0% against a trailing PE of 39.9 — the earnings multiple has not been supported by commensurate earnings delivery over the measured period.
  • Price is 22.5% below the 200-DMA (₹143.56) and 38.4% below the 52-week high (implied ₹180.7), with both short-term (SMA50: ₹112.38) and long-term averages overhead.
  • Quality score of 39 out of 100 with ROE data unavailable; ROE has exceeded 15% in only 2 of measured years, and consistency score stands at 59 out of 100.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 14.3% 5-year revenue CAGR translate into earnings growth under the current debt load, or does interest expense structurally suppress the bottom line?
  • ?How does Lemon Tree's asset-light franchise expansion model affect the D/E ratio and FCF generation profile over the next 3–5 years compared with its owned-hotel portfolio?
  • ?Is the forward PE compression from 39.9 to 26.3 driven by a consensus expectation of operating leverage kicking in, or does it reflect a rebase of the earnings denominator?
  • ?What is the historical pattern between new property signings/openings and same-store RevPAR improvement, and does the current expansion pace translate to earnings per share growth?

Peer comparison: Consumer Goods

Ranks 3 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
LEMONTREELemon Tree Hotels Ltd.You're viewing39.939
Industry avgacross 5 peers79.5+19.6%37
TRENTTrent Ltd.84.8+27.1%49
ETERNALEternal Ltd.+1.2%41
DMARTAvenue Supermarts Ltd.95.1+12.9%37
TITANTitan Company Ltd.72.9+37.1%34
ASIANPAINTAsian Paints Ltd.65.023

Technical state

Current price

₹111.23

SMA 50

₹112.38

SMA 200

₹143.56

RSI (14)

40.2 (neutral)

From 52w high

-38.4%

1Y return

-19.9%

3M return

-17.1%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹100.11
₹99.61

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹122.90
₹128.38
₹135.40

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 109.6 is materially elevated; for context, this is a hospitality/consumer business where sector peers carry far lower leverage. Combined with 0% 5-year earnings CAGR and unavailable ROE data, the capital structure presents solvency-relevant leverage.
  • high
    Price at ₹111.23 is 22.5% below the 200-DMA (₹143.56) and 38.4% below the 52-week high. The stock has declined 19.9% over 12 months and 17.1% over the past 3 months, sustaining a prolonged downtrend on both short and long-term moving averages.
  • medium
    Quality score of 39 out of 100 ranks 3rd of 6 peers. FCF was positive in 4 of available years, but ROE data is unavailable and 5-year earnings growth is 0%, while the trailing PE stands at 39.9 — a combination that compresses the margin for further multiple compression.
  • low
    News sample is small at 7 articles; all 6 non-neutral items are positive (0 negative), which may not represent the full coverage universe. Sentiment distribution should be read with caution given the limited sample size.

Cross-section contradictions

  • News sentiment is uniformly positive (6 positive, 0 negative out of 7 articles) while the stock has declined 19.9% over 12 months and sits 38.4% below its 52-week high — no negative catalyst is visible in the news sample, leaving the divergence unexplained by available data.
  • Forward PE of 26.3 implies material earnings recovery versus the trailing PE of 39.9, yet reported 5-year earnings CAGR is 0% — these two data points are in tension.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 17 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days