Jubilant Foodworks Ltd.
NSE: JUBLFOODJubilant Foodworks Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot
Jubilant FoodWorks (JUBLFOOD) is India's largest QSR operator, trading at Rs 423.7 — down 35.95% over 12 months and 41.1% below its 52-week high. Trailing PE of 74.5 remains above the Consumer Goods peer median despite the drawdown, supported by a forward PE of 44.6 that embeds a meaningful earnings-growth assumption. Revenue has compounded at 20.3% over 5 years, but the most recent quarter showed a revenue miss even as profit rose 67%, highlighting a tension between volume growth and margin leverage.
P/E
74.5
Forward P/E
44.6
ROE
+16.9%
Debt / Equity
2.65
Profit Margin
+4.5%
Div. Yield
+0.3%
5Y ROE > 15%
3/5
5Y FCF > 0
4/5
Quality
56/100
News
6 headlines · 0 positive · 3 negative
Jubilant FoodWorks Shares Slide 8% Despite 67% Profit Surge as Revenue Misses Expectations - Meyka
Meyka
Jubilant FoodWorks contests Haryana pollution board order over Ballabgarh store - TipRanks
TipRanks
Jubilant FoodWorks Faces Environmental Penalty for Haryana Store, Says No Material Impact - TipRanks
TipRanks
Jubilant FoodWorks grants 74,967 stock options under ESOP schemes - scanx.trade
scanx.trade
Jubilant FoodWorks Ltd stock (INE769A01020): Weekly 0.63% dip amid technical shifts - AD HOC NEWS
AD HOC NEWS
Recent context
- ·The most recent quarterly results showed a 67% profit surge, yet the stock fell approximately 8% on the day as revenue came in below analyst expectations — investor focus appears to have shifted toward volume and same-store-sales trajectory.
- ·Jubilant FoodWorks is contesting a Haryana pollution-board penalty related to its Ballabgarh store; management stated the financial impact is not material, and the company granted 74,967 stock options under its ESOP schemes in the same period.
- ·RSI at 35.84 places the stock near but not at the conventional oversold threshold of 30, with immediate support at Rs 422.25 and Rs 408.80 and the nearest resistance at Rs 478.
Strengths
- +Five-year revenue CAGR of 20.3% reflects durable top-line scaling across the QSR network; the business has grown from a smaller base to an established multi-brand operator.
- +FCF was positive in 4 of the observable fiscal years, indicating the business has historically generated cash despite its asset-heavy store expansion model.
- +Forward PE of 44.6 versus trailing PE of 74.5 implies the consensus earnings trajectory, if met, would compress the multiple materially over the next 12 months.
- +Mean analyst rating of 1.97 across 29 analysts (1-5 scale, lower = more constructive) reflects a range of views weighted toward the constructive end of the scale.
Weaknesses
- −Net profit margin of 4.5% is the thinnest in the 6-stock Consumer Goods peer set, making earnings highly sensitive to input-cost and wage inflation; a 1 pp margin compression would represent a roughly 22% earnings reduction at current scale.
- −Price is 22.3% below the 200-day SMA (Rs 546.52) and has sustained a drawdown of 41.1% from the 52-week high, with RSI at 35.84 and three resistance levels between current price and the 200-DMA.
- −Debt-to-equity of 2.655 with a rising debt trend; at a 4.5% profit margin, interest coverage headroom narrows materially if operating conditions soften.
- −ROE of 16.89% exceeded 15% in only 3 of observable years and ranks 4th of 6 Consumer Goods peers, while quality score of 42 sits below the peer group mid-range.
Open questions
- ?Does the 20.3% five-year revenue CAGR reflect network expansion, same-store-sales growth, or both — and how has the mix shifted in the last two years as store-count growth matures?
- ?How does the rising D/E of 2.655 align with the company's stated capital-allocation priorities, and at what point does the debt level constrain further store expansion or brand investment?
- ?The most recent quarter showed profit up 67% but revenue below expectations — is this a structural margin-improvement story or a reflection of cost optimisation that may not be sustainable at current revenue growth rates?
- ?Peers such as TITAN (ROE 37.1%) and TRENT (ROE 27.1%) command materially higher returns on equity at broadly similar PE ratios — what structural characteristic of the QSR model caps JUBLFOOD's ROE at current levels?
Peer comparison: Consumer Goods
Ranks 3 of 6 on quality| Symbol | Name | P/E | ROE | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUBLFOOD | Jubilant Foodworks Ltd.You're viewing | 74.5 | +16.9% | 42 |
| Industry avg | across 5 peers | 75.8 | +19.9% | 44 |
| ASIANPAINT | Asian Paints Ltd. | 58.3 | +20.9% | 58 |
| TRENT | Trent Ltd. | 85.6 | +27.1% | 49 |
| ETERNAL | Eternal Ltd. | — | +1.2% | 41 |
| DMART | Avenue Supermarts Ltd. | 88.9 | +12.9% | 37 |
| TITAN | Titan Company Ltd. | 70.5 | +37.1% | 34 |
Technical state
Current price
₹423.70
SMA 50
₹456.74
SMA 200
₹546.52
RSI (14)
35.8 (neutral)
From 52w high
-41.1%
1Y return
-36.0%
3M return
-18.4%
50-DMA
Below
200-DMA
Below
Algorithmic support levels
Algorithmic resistance levels
Risk flags
- mediumPrice at Rs 423.7 is 22.3% below the 200-day SMA (Rs 546.52) and 7.2% below the 50-day SMA (Rs 456.74). The 52-week drawdown is -41.1% from the high; price is down 35.95% over 12 months and 18.35% over 3 months. RSI stands at 35.84. Three resistance levels (Rs 478, Rs 498.75, Rs 575) lie between current price and the 200-DMA.
- mediumNet profit margin of 4.5% is the thinnest in the 6-stock Consumer Goods peer set, while trailing PE of 74.5 remains elevated — above ASIANPAINT (58.3) and TITAN (70.5), and only below TRENT (85.6) and DMART (88.9). ROE of 16.89% ranks 4th of 6 peers. Forward PE of 44.6 compresses only if substantial earnings growth materialises.
- mediumDebt-to-equity of 2.655 with a rising debt trend against a 4.5% profit margin. FCF was positive in 4 of observable years and ROE exceeded 15% in only 3 of observable years. Consistency score is 64 and quality score 42, ranking 3rd of 6 peers.
- lowMost recent results headline noted an 8% single-day price drop despite a reported 67% profit surge, attributed to a revenue miss against expectations. A Haryana pollution-board penalty for a Ballabgarh store was contested by management as having no material impact. News sample is 6 articles total, limiting sentiment reliability.
Cross-section contradictions
- Five-year revenue CAGR of 20.3% and a 67% single-quarter profit surge contrast with a 12-month price return of -35.95% and a 41.1% drawdown from the 52-week high, suggesting the market is pricing in concern over revenue execution and margin sustainability rather than top-line history.
- News flow includes a headline citing a 67% profit increase yet the stock dropped 8% on the day of results due to a revenue miss — bottom-line growth and top-line delivery are diverging in the most recent reported period.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.
Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST
AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 1 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days