ITC Ltd.

NSE: ITC
NIFTY50
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 33 analysts
₹279.00-29.0%1Y
Last updated 03:24:36 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

ITC Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

ITC trades at ₹279, down 29.25% over the past 12 months and 31.47% below its 52-week high, currently below both its 50-day (₹284.88) and 200-day (₹318.36) moving averages. Fundamentally it carries a 17.62 PE (16.66 forward) against FMCG peers in the 45.8-75.7 PE range, a 5.66% dividend yield, and a quality score of 29 - last among six tracked FMCG names - alongside 5-year revenue growth of -11.1% and earnings growth of -16%. Mean analyst rating stands at 2.38 across 33 analysts (1-5 scale, lower = more constructive), and recent news flow spans reports of ratings upgrades alongside coverage of margin pressure tied to a cigarette tax hike.

P/E

17.6

Forward P/E

16.7

ROE

Debt / Equity

3.29

Profit Margin

+25.9%

Div. Yield

+5.7%

5Y ROE > 15%

4/5

5Y FCF > 0

4/5

Quality

48/100

Recent context

  • ·Reuters (Jul 31) reported ITC's profit declined as a cigarette tax hike weighed on the core tobacco business.
  • ·Business Standard (Jul 29) previewed Q1 results with analysts expecting a 10-13% year-on-year dip in revenue and PAT ahead of the print.
  • ·CNBC TV18 (Aug 3) reported 'buy' ratings at an eight-month high following multiple analyst upgrades after Q1 results; separately, ITC Hotels announced a new Welcomhotel property in Rajgir, Bihar (Hospitality Net, Jul 28).

Strengths

  • +Positive free cash flow in 4 of the last 5 tracked years and ROE above 15% in 4 of 5 years, per the persistence dataset.
  • +Profit margin of 25.94%, among the higher levels tracked in this FMCG set.
  • +Debt-to-equity of roughly 0.03x (raw metric 3.293, scaled), well below typical manufacturing leverage levels.
  • +Lowest PE (17.62) of the six tracked FMCG peers (peer range 45.8-75.7), paired with a 5.66% dividend yield.

Weaknesses

  • 5-year revenue growth of -11.1% and 5-year earnings growth of -16%, indicating contraction in both top-line and bottom-line over the full measurement window.
  • Quality score of 29 ranks last (6th of 6) among tracked FMCG peers, versus a peer range of 39 (Britannia) to 57 (Nestle India); consistency score is 43.
  • Price down 29.25% over the trailing 12 months and 31.47% below the 52-week high, trading below both the 50-DMA (₹284.88) and 200-DMA (₹318.36).
  • Current-period ROE is not available in the dataset, and ROE / 1-year price change are null for all five tracked FMCG peers, limiting cross-sectional comparison to PE and quality score.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 4-of-5-year ROE and FCF persistence reflect a durable structural moat, or does it sit alongside the more recent 5-year revenue and earnings contraction?
  • ?What specific factors explain the divergence between reported analyst-rating upgrades and the stock's 12-month price decline?
  • ?How much of the recent profit pressure stems from the cigarette tax hike versus other segments (FMCG-others, hotels, agri, paperboards)?
  • ?How does the quality-score ranking (last among six tracked FMCG peers) reconcile with the lowest-PE, highest-dividend-yield profile relative to those same peers?

Peer comparison: FMCG

Ranks 6 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
ITCITC Ltd.You're viewing17.629
Industry avgacross 5 peers58.746
NESTLEINDNestle India Ltd.75.757
TATACONSUMTata Consumer Products Ltd.65.347
GODREJCPGodrej Consumer Products Ltd.54.845
HINDUNILVRHindustan Unilever Ltd.45.844
BRITANNIABritannia Industries Ltd.51.839

Technical state

Current price

₹279.00

SMA 50

₹284.88

SMA 200

₹318.36

RSI (14)

40.4 (neutral)

From 52w high

-31.5%

1Y return

-29.3%

3M return

-7.4%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹275.05
₹275.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹292.55
₹294.55
₹302.85

Risk flags

  • high
    5-year revenue growth of -11.1% and 5-year earnings growth of -16% show contraction in both top-line and bottom-line over the full measurement window, not an isolated period.
  • medium
    Quality score of 29 ranks last (6th of 6) among tracked FMCG peers, below the peer range of 39-57 (BRITANNIA 39, HINDUNILVR 44, GODREJCP 45, TATACONSUM 47, NESTLEIND 57); consistency score is 43.
  • medium
    Price of ₹279 is down 29.25% over the trailing 12 months and 31.47% below the 52-week high, and trades below both the 50-DMA (₹284.88) and 200-DMA (₹318.36).
  • low
    Current-period ROE is null in the fundamentals block, and ROE / priceChange1Y are null for all five tracked FMCG peers, so cross-sectional peer comparison in this dataset is reliably measurable only on PE and qualityScore.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Persistence data shows ROE above 15% in 4 of the last 5 tracked years and positive free cash flow in 4 of 5 years, yet 5-year revenue growth is -11.1%, 5-year earnings growth is -16%, and the current quality score (29) ranks last among six tracked FMCG peers.
  • A CNBC TV18 report (Aug 3) describes 'buy' ratings at an eight-month high following multiple analyst upgrades after Q1 results, while the stock trades 29.25% below its year-ago price and below both its 50-DMA and 200-DMA.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 11 Aug 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 11 Aug 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days