Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd.

NSE: IRFC
NIFTY100
Analyst consensus:Strongly cautious· 1 analysts
₹88.26-29.3%1Y
Last updated 05:12:38 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

IRFC trades at ₹88.92, down 30.78% over the past year and 34.49% below its 52-week high, currently sitting below both its 50-DMA (₹93.12) and 200-DMA (₹106.40). Q1 FY27 results reported on July 30-31, 2026 showed PAT up 10.4% YoY to ₹1,927 crore, revenue up 19.5%, AUM at ₹4.79 lakh crore, and zero NPA. Trailing PE is 16.24 with a debt-to-equity of roughly 7.7x, reflecting IRFC's role as the dedicated financing arm for Indian Railways, lending exclusively against a single sovereign counterparty.

P/E

16.2

Forward P/E

12.2

ROE

+12.8%

Debt / Equity

773.35

Profit Margin

+97.2%

Div. Yield

+3.3%

5Y ROE > 15%

0/5

5Y FCF > 0

2/5

Quality

47/100

Recent context

  • ·Q1 FY27 results (PAT +10.4% YoY, revenue +19.5%, AUM ₹4.79 lakh crore, zero NPA) drove the bulk of recent coverage, appearing across 5 of 8 tracked headlines published July 30-31, 2026.
  • ·News sentiment over the tracked period skews positive (5 positive, 2 neutral, 1 negative of 8 total); the single negative item relates to a reported regulatory fine in the same window.
  • ·Price action over the trailing 3 months (-15.97%) and 12 months (-30.78%) has not tracked the improved quarterly numbers, with the stock still below both major moving averages as of this run.

Strengths

  • +Q1 FY27 results showed the highest-ever quarterly PAT, up 10.4% YoY to ₹1,927 crore, with revenue up 19.5% YoY and zero NPA reported.
  • +Profit margin of 97.23% reflects IRFC's pass-through lending model, where funding costs are structured to be recovered through the lease/interest arrangement with Indian Railways.
  • +Dividend yield of 3.26% at the current price.
  • +Forward PE of 12.21 sits below the trailing PE of 16.24 and ranks 2nd of 6 on PE within the tracked peer set.

Weaknesses

  • Stock is down 30.78% over 12 months and 15.97% over 3 months, trading below both the 50-DMA and 200-DMA and 34.49% off its 52-week high.
  • ROE of 12.81% has not exceeded 15% in any tracked year, free cash flow was positive in only 2 of the tracked years, and 5-year earnings growth is flat at 0%.
  • Quality score of 41 ranks 4th of 6 within the tracked peer set, though the peer group (diversified private banks, an NBFC and an insurer) is not a direct comparable to a rail-financing NBFC.
  • Analyst coverage in the dataset is limited to a single tracked analyst with no rating recorded, limiting how much can be read from the consensus field.

Open questions

  • ?Does IRFC's structural debt-to-equity of roughly 7.7x, arising from lending exclusively to a single sovereign counterparty (Indian Railways), carry different risk characteristics than comparable leverage would at a diversified lender?
  • ?What would need to change in IRFC's growth profile — 5-year earnings growth currently flat at 0% — for ROE to move consistently above the 15% level it has not crossed in the tracked years?
  • ?Why has the share price continued declining over the past year even as reported quarterly profit and revenue growth accelerated — does this reflect a lag in market reaction, a broader re-rating, or a separate catalyst?
  • ?How much weight should a peer-ranked quality score of 41 carry when the peer set includes diversified private banks and an insurer rather than other government-backed infrastructure financiers?

Peer comparison: Banking

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
IRFCIndian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd.You're viewing16.2+12.8%41
Industry avgacross 5 peers31.7+13.1%48
AXISBANKAxis Bank Ltd.13.8+13.3%70
HDFCBANKHDFC Bank Ltd.16.3+13.8%66
BAJFINANCEBajaj Finance Ltd.35.147
HDFCLIFEHDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd.59.9+10.8%33
BAJAJFINSVBajaj Finserv Ltd.33.3+14.6%23

Technical state

Current price

₹88.92

SMA 50

₹93.12

SMA 200

₹106.40

RSI (14)

44.7 (neutral)

From 52w high

-34.5%

1Y return

-30.8%

3M return

-16.0%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹87.00
₹86.93

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹90.00
₹101.08
₹101.20

Risk flags

  • medium
    Price is down 30.78% over 12 months and 15.97% over 3 months, currently trading at ₹88.92 versus a 50-DMA of ₹93.12 and 200-DMA of ₹106.40 — 34.49% below its 52-week high. RSI of 44.74 is neutral, indicating the recent decline is not showing an oversold extreme.
  • medium
    ROE of 12.81% has not exceeded 15% in any tracked year, free cash flow was positive in only 2 of the tracked years, and 5-year earnings growth is flat at 0% (revenue growth 0.5%), producing a consistency score of 15/100.
  • low
    Quality score of 41 ranks 4th of 6 and ROE of 12.81% ranks 4th of 6 within the tracked peer set (AXISBANK, BAJFINANCE, BAJAJFINSV, HDFCBANK, HDFCLIFE). This peer group consists of diversified private banks, an NBFC and an insurer rather than another sovereign-backed rail-financing NBFC, so the comparison is directional at best.
  • low
    Analyst coverage in the dataset is limited to a single tracked analyst with no rating value recorded, so a meaningful consensus cannot be read from this field.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Q1 FY27 results (reported July 30-31, 2026) showed PAT up 10.4% YoY to ₹1,927 crore, revenue up 19.5% YoY, AUM at ₹4.79 lakh crore, and zero NPA — yet the stock remains down 30.78% over 12 months and 15.97% over 3 months, still below both its 50-DMA and 200-DMA.
  • Forward PE (12.21) sits well below trailing PE (16.24), which typically implies expected earnings growth, yet 5-year earnings growth is flat at 0% and ROE has not exceeded 15% in any tracked year — the growth assumption embedded in the forward multiple is not evident in the trailing data.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 11 Aug 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 31 Jul 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days