Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd.

NSE: HINDPETRO
NIFTY200
Analyst consensus:Neutral· 31 analysts
₹412.90+9.2%1Y
Last updated 02:59:09 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HINDPETRO) trades at ₹388.6 — a trailing PE of 4.58 with ROE of 30.93%, the highest among its 6-peer Energy sector cohort, but below its 200-day SMA of ₹421.37 and down 23.57% from its 52-week high. The forward PE of 6.77 exceeds the trailing PE, and a debt-to-equity of 85.4 with an earnings consistency score of 39/100 reflect the structurally cyclical nature of the oil marketing business. Dividend yield stands at 8.82% on current price.

P/E

4.6

Forward P/E

6.8

ROE

+30.9%

Debt / Equity

85.37

Profit Margin

+4.1%

Div. Yield

+8.8%

5Y ROE > 15%

2/5

5Y FCF > 0

3/5

Quality

52/100

Recent context

  • ·Two recent headlines (May 2026) cite net profit more than doubling year-over-year and a proposed final dividend, alongside a stated net-zero capacity expansion roadmap to 2040.
  • ·The analyst rating stands at 2.87 across 31 analysts (1–5 scale, lower = more constructive), positioned in the middle of the scale, reflecting a mixed consensus across sell-side coverage.
  • ·The stock sits below its 200-day SMA (₹421.37) while trading above its 50-day SMA (₹367.01), with nearest support levels at ₹355.8 and ₹317.75 and resistance at ₹404.25.

Strengths

  • +Trailing ROE of 30.93% ranks first among 6 Energy sector peers, ahead of BPCL (28.47%) and Coal India (28.12%), based on most recently reported figures.
  • +PE of 4.58 is the lowest in the peer group, sitting below BPCL (4.91), ONGC (8.02), GAIL (14.20), and RELIANCE (22.10) — the stock is priced at a material discount to sector median.
  • +Dividend yield of 8.82% at current price, supported by a recently proposed final dividend per the latest earnings announcement.
  • +Debt trend is classified as falling, and 5-year earnings growth of 77.5% reflects recovery from a trough base, with revenue growing 4.9% over the same period.

Weaknesses

  • Debt-to-equity of 85.4 is extremely elevated for a non-financial company; combined with FCF positive in only 3 of 5 measured years, debt-servicing capacity is sensitive to refining-margin cycles.
  • Forward PE of 6.77 exceeds trailing PE of 4.58, indicating consensus forecasts earnings to contract from current reported levels, compressing the apparent value of the trailing multiple.
  • Earnings consistency score of 39/100 and ROE above 15% in only 2 of the measured years — despite a high trailing ROE — confirm that profitability is lumpy and cycle-dependent rather than structurally recurring.
  • Quality score of 49 ranks 4th of 6 peers; price is 7.8% below the 200-day SMA and has returned -3.81% over 1 year and -13.07% over 3 months, indicating persistent underperformance versus recent peers.

Open questions

  • ?How much of the 77.5% five-year earnings growth is attributable to refining-margin expansion in specific years versus volume growth, and what is the trajectory of gross refining margins in the current cycle?
  • ?Does the falling debt trend reflect structural deleveraging or a cyclical improvement in operating cash flows that could reverse if margins compress?
  • ?Given that the forward PE exceeds the trailing PE, what earnings level is the market implying, and how does that compare to the company's own guidance or capacity-utilisation trajectory?
  • ?How has HINDPETRO's refining throughput and utilisation rate trended relative to BPCL over the past three years, and does the quality-score gap (49 vs 55) reflect a sustainable operational difference?

Peer comparison: Energy

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
HINDPETROHindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd.You're viewing4.6+30.9%49
Industry avgacross 5 peers11.7+17.4%47
COALINDIACoal India Ltd.9.4+28.1%77
BPCLBharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.4.9+28.5%55
ONGCOil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd.8.0+12.7%53
RELIANCEReliance Industries Ltd.22.1+9.1%32
GAILGAIL (India) Ltd.14.2+8.7%19

Technical state

Current price

₹388.60

SMA 50

₹367.01

SMA 200

₹421.37

RSI (14)

52.6 (neutral)

From 52w high

-23.6%

1Y return

-3.8%

3M return

-13.1%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹355.80
₹317.75
₹316.20

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹404.25
₹460.00
₹475.75

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 85.4 is extremely elevated for a non-financial company; FCF was positive in only 3 of 5 measured years, and the earnings consistency score of 39/100 with ROE above 15% in only 2 of the measured years signals highly cyclical rather than durable profitability.
  • high
    Forward PE of 6.77 exceeds trailing PE of 4.58, implying analyst consensus forecasts a decline in earnings from currently reported levels; net profit margin of 4.11% leaves little buffer if refining margins compress.
  • medium
    Price of ₹388.6 is 7.8% below the 200-day SMA (₹421.37) and has declined 13.07% over 3 months; 52-week drawdown stands at -23.57%, with the stock returning -3.81% over 1 year.
  • low
    News sample totals only 2 articles, both from a single source (TradingView); sentiment distribution is uninformative at this sample size.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Trailing ROE of 30.93% and 5-year earnings growth of 77.5% are strong in absolute terms, yet the consistency score of 39/100 and ROE above 15% in only 2 of the measured years indicate the profitability is concentrated in specific years — consistent with refining-margin cycles rather than a structural improvement in returns.
  • Recent headlines cite record profits and net profit more than doubling year-over-year, yet the stock is down 13.07% over 3 months and 23.57% from its 52-week high, suggesting the market is weighing forward earnings expectations against the reported quarter.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 24 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 1 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days