Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd.
NSE: HINDPETROHindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot
HPCL trades at ₹392.75, 22.76% below its 52-week high and below both its 50-day SMA (₹394.02) and 200-day SMA (₹418.11), though it is up 5.06% over the past 3 months against -3.45% over the past year. Trailing PE stands at 50.1 versus a forward PE of 7.05, and the mean analyst rating is 2.90 across 31 analysts (1-5 scale, lower = more constructive). Among 6 tracked Energy-sector peers, HPCL ranks last (6 of 6) on trailing PE and 4th of 6 on quality score (45).
P/E
50.1
Forward P/E
7.1
ROE
—
Debt / Equity
85.37
Profit Margin
+0.4%
Div. Yield
+6.1%
5Y ROE > 15%
2/5
5Y FCF > 0
3/5
Quality
52/100
News
8 headlines · 1 positive · 3 negative
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited Just Beat Revenue By 9.5%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next - simplywall.st
simplywall.st
Jefferies Adjusts Hindustan Petroleum's Price Target to INR345 From INR275, Keeps at Underperform - marketscreener.com
marketscreener.com
HINDPETRO: Significant under-recoveries and inventory losses offset by new refinery ramp-up and retail growth - TradingView
TradingView
HINDPETRO: Challenging quarter with high under-recoveries and inventory losses; recovery expected as new assets ramp up - TradingView
TradingView
ONGC Stock Stands Out As Oil Price Risks Hit Indian Energy Shares - simplywall.st
simplywall.st
Recent context
- ·Jefferies raised its price target on HPCL to ₹345 from ₹275 on July 23 while retaining an Underperform rating.
- ·Multiple July 23 items described the quarter as marked by 'significant under-recoveries and inventory losses,' offset by new refinery ramp-up and retail growth.
- ·A July 25 item noted HPCL beat revenue estimates by 9.5% for the quarter, while a July 17 piece flagged broader oil-price risk across Indian energy shares, including HPCL.
Strengths
- +Dividend yield of 6.06%, alongside 5-year revenue growth of 26.9%.
- +Forward PE of 7.05 is well below the trailing PE of 50.1, implying analyst estimates project a substantial increase in earnings from the current reported base.
- +Debt trend is classified 'falling' in the persistence data, and free cash flow was positive in 3 of the 5 measured years.
- +3-month price change of +5.06% compares favorably to the -3.45% trailing 1-year change, and price is holding just above the nearest support level of ₹388.5.
Weaknesses
- −Earnings-consistency score of 39/100, with ROE above 15% in only 2 of 5 measured years and FCF positive in only 3 of 5 years — signals cyclical rather than steady profitability.
- −Price is below both the 50-day SMA (₹394.02) and 200-day SMA (₹418.11), and sits 22.76% below its 52-week high.
- −Trailing PE of 50.1 is the highest among the 6 tracked Energy-sector peers (next highest, Reliance Industries, is at 23.08), despite a mid-tier quality score of 45 (rank 4 of 6).
- −Reported debt-to-equity of 85.4 is well above what would be typical for an Energy-sector company of this scale; the metric may use a percentage-basis convention (≈0.85x) rather than a raw multiple, so should be read alongside the separately reported falling debt trend rather than at face value.
Open questions
- ?Does the wide gap between trailing PE (50.1) and forward PE (7.05) reflect a temporary earnings trough from under-recoveries and inventory losses, or a more durable shift in profitability?
- ?How does the reported debt-to-equity figure square with typical sector reporting conventions, and what does the separately reported 'falling' debt trend suggest about balance-sheet direction over time?
- ?What would need to hold true for refining margins and marketing volumes for the earnings-consistency score (39/100) to improve in coming years?
- ?How does the stock's position below its 50- and 200-day averages, combined with a mid-tier sector quality ranking (4 of 6), fit into a broader read of the company relative to its Energy-sector peers?
Peer comparison: Energy
Ranks 4 of 6 on quality| Symbol | Name | P/E | ROE | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HINDPETRO | Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd.You're viewing | 50.1 | — | 45 |
| Industry avg | across 5 peers | 12.3 | +10.7% | 47 |
| COALINDIA | Coal India Ltd. | 8.1 | — | 69 |
| BPCL | Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. | 7.9 | — | 54 |
| ONGC | Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. | 7.2 | +12.7% | 53 |
| RELIANCE | Reliance Industries Ltd. | 23.1 | — | 44 |
| GAIL | GAIL (India) Ltd. | 15.2 | +8.7% | 16 |
Technical state
Current price
₹392.75
SMA 50
₹394.02
SMA 200
₹418.11
RSI (14)
49.0 (neutral)
From 52w high
-22.8%
1Y return
-3.5%
3M return
+5.1%
50-DMA
Below
200-DMA
Below
Algorithmic support levels
Algorithmic resistance levels
Risk flags
- mediumEarnings-consistency score of 39/100, with ROE above 15% in only 2 of 5 measured years and FCF positive in only 3 of 5 years, points to cyclical rather than steady profitability — consistent with recent headlines citing under-recoveries and inventory losses on the reported quarter.
- mediumTrailing PE of 50.1 versus forward PE of 7.05 is an unusually wide gap, implying consensus estimates project a substantial increase in earnings from the currently reported base rather than a continuation of trailing-period profitability.
- mediumPrice of ₹392.75 sits below both the 50-day SMA (₹394.02) and 200-day SMA (₹418.11) and is 22.76% below its 52-week high, even though the 3-month price change is +5.06% versus -3.45% over the trailing year.
- lowReported debt-to-equity of 85.4 is far above typical leverage for an oil refining/marketing company of this scale; the figure may reflect a percentage-basis convention (≈0.85x) rather than a raw multiple, and should be read alongside the separately reported 'falling' debt trend rather than taken at face value as an 85x ratio.
Cross-section contradictions
- Trailing PE of 50.1 looks stretched in isolation, but forward PE of 7.05 and July 23 headlines attributing the weak quarter to under-recoveries and inventory losses tied to a new refinery ramp-up suggest the trailing figure reflects a depressed earnings base rather than a persistent re-rating — consistent with the 39/100 earnings-consistency score.
- News sentiment is net negative (3 negative vs 1 positive of 8 items) and Jefferies reiterated an Underperform rating on July 23, yet the stock's 3-month price change is +5.06%, indicating the recent quarter's price action has diverged from the negative headline tone.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.
Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 11 Aug 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST
AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 30 Jul 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days