Havells India Ltd.

NSE: HAVELLS
NIFTY200
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 36 analysts
₹1,186.20-22.0%1Y
Last updated 02:58:35 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Havells India Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Havells India (₹1,199.20) is an electricals and consumer appliances company trading 22% below its 52-week high, below both the 50-DMA (₹1,279.98) and 200-DMA (₹1,416.12), following a 6% single-session decline after Q4 FY26 results triggered multiple institutional rating changes. The stock carries a trailing PE of 44.9x — the lowest among its five Consumer Goods peers — with an ROE of 18.97% and a debt-to-equity of 2.8x on a rising debt trend.

P/E

44.9

Forward P/E

35.6

ROE

+19.0%

Debt / Equity

2.80

Profit Margin

+7.5%

Div. Yield

+1.0%

5Y ROE > 15%

4/5

5Y FCF > 0

3/5

Quality

58/100

Recent context

  • ·Q4 FY26 results (April 2026) showed net profit beating estimates and a dividend approval per NDTV Profit, but the same results prompted at least three analyst downgrades, including Morgan Stanley moving to underweight and Goldman Sachs trimming targets, sending the stock down ~6% in a single session.
  • ·RSI stands at 38.58 (classified neutral by the model), approaching but not yet at conventionally oversold territory (<30); nearest support is identified at ₹1,142.50, approximately 4.7% below the current price.
  • ·News sentiment across 8 articles is balanced at 3 positive / 2 neutral / 3 negative; the negative cluster is concentrated around the post-Q4 institutional downgrades, while the positive cluster references the earnings beat itself.

Strengths

  • +Lowest PE among six tracked Consumer Goods peers (44.9x vs. TITAN 72.2x, TRENT 85.7x, DMART 95.4x, ASIANPAINT 65.5x), indicating a relative valuation discount within the sector.
  • +5-year earnings CAGR of 39.6% reflects sustained profit growth; ROE was above 15% in 4 of the tracked years, and the consistency score of 66/100 is the second-highest in the peer group.
  • +Forward PE compresses to 35.6x vs. trailing 44.9x, implying the market and analysts embed continued earnings growth into near-term estimates.
  • +Mean analyst rating of 1.94 across 36 analysts (1–5 scale, lower = more constructive) reflects a coverage base that leans toward the constructive end of the spectrum, with 36 analysts actively tracking the name.

Weaknesses

  • Stock has declined 22.01% over the past 12 months and 12.59% over the past 3 months, trading below both the 50-DMA and 200-DMA with a 25.8% drawdown from the 52-week high — a sustained multi-month price deterioration.
  • Debt-to-equity of 2.801 with a rising debt trend and FCF positive in only 3 of the tracked years raises questions about balance-sheet headroom relative to a capital-intensive expansion strategy.
  • At least three institutional downgrades followed Q4 FY26 results per CNBC TV18; Morgan Stanley moved to underweight and Goldman Sachs trimmed its target per The Economic Times, representing a notable shift in sell-side sentiment within a single earnings cycle.
  • 5-year revenue CAGR of 2.5% against a 39.6% earnings CAGR creates a divergence that typical margin-expansion narratives only partially explain; topline growth sustainability has not been demonstrated at the same rate as profit growth.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 39.6% five-year earnings CAGR reflect a structural improvement in Havells' product mix and operating leverage, or is it significantly influenced by a low-base recovery period that may not repeat?
  • ?How does a rising debt-to-equity trend (currently 2.8x) interact with Havells' capital expenditure plans in cables, EV infrastructure, or Lloyd appliances — and at what leverage level does the balance sheet constrain investment?
  • ?Given that at least three institutional investors downgraded after Q4 results that beat earnings estimates, what specific forward-guidance metrics or margin assumptions drove the negative revisions?
  • ?If HAVELLS' PE re-rates toward the sector median over time, what fundamental outcomes — revenue acceleration, debt reduction, or FCF inflection — would be needed to sustain the current earnings trajectory?

Peer comparison: Consumer Goods

Ranks 2 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
HAVELLSHavells India Ltd.You're viewing44.9+19.0%42
Industry avgacross 5 peers79.7+19.6%37
TRENTTrent Ltd.85.7+27.1%49
ETERNALEternal Ltd.+1.2%41
DMARTAvenue Supermarts Ltd.95.4+12.9%37
TITANTitan Company Ltd.72.2+37.1%34
ASIANPAINTAsian Paints Ltd.65.523

Technical state

Current price

₹1,199.20

SMA 50

₹1,279.98

SMA 200

₹1,416.12

RSI (14)

38.6 (neutral)

From 52w high

-25.8%

1Y return

-22.0%

3M return

-12.6%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹1,142.50

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹1,404.60
₹1,410.70
₹1,442.30

Risk flags

  • medium
    HAVELLS is trading at ₹1,199.20, below both its 50-DMA (₹1,279.98) and 200-DMA (₹1,416.12), with a 25.8% drawdown from the 52-week high and a 22.01% decline over the past 12 months.
  • medium
    At least three broker downgrades followed Q4 FY26 results per CNBC TV18; Morgan Stanley revised its rating to underweight after Q4, and Goldman Sachs trimmed its price target per The Economic Times — multiple named institutions moved constructively negative within the same earnings cycle.
  • medium
    Debt-to-equity of 2.801 with a rising debt trend; FCF was positive in only 3 of the tracked years, indicating inconsistent cash generation against a capital-intensive growth posture.
  • low
    5-year revenue CAGR of 2.5% contrasts with a 5-year earnings CAGR of 39.6%. A gap of this magnitude typically reflects margin recovery or one-time items rather than durable topline expansion, and its sustainability merits scrutiny.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Q4 FY26 profit beat estimates and the stock jumped initially (per NDTV Profit), yet it subsequently fell ~6% and is down 22% over 12 months — the market response to the same results was split, with multiple institutional downgrades outweighing the earnings beat.
  • 5-year earnings CAGR of 39.6% and ROE above 15% in 4 of the tracked years point to improving profitability, but the composite quality score of 42/100 ranks 2nd-lowest among a 6-peer Consumer Goods set, suggesting the quality composite captures cash-generation or balance-sheet dimensions where HAVELLS scores less strongly.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 24 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 15 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days