HAL
NIFTY100

Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd.

Infrastructure · NSE

₹4,788.10
1Y+7.5%
P/E36.0
Fwd P/E32.7
ROE
Margin+27.1%
D/E0.03
Div Yld+1.0%
Quality Score71/100
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 22 analysts

52-week range

₹3,479₹5,105

From 52w high

-6.2%

RSI (14)

78.7

vs SMA 50 / 200

50 · 200

Hindustan Aeronautics (HAL) is a government-owned aerospace and defence manufacturer trading at 4,788, up 7.47% over 12 months and 14.48% over the past 3 months, with both the 50-DMA and 200-DMA currently below the market price. The stock carries a trailing PE of 35.99 against a forward PE of 32.75, a debt-to-equity of 0.031, and a 27.08% profit margin, with 5-year earnings CAGR of 29.6% on 10.7% revenue growth. A 2-lakh-crore order book and a recent HAL-GE jet-engine technology agreement anchor the near-term earnings pipeline.

Pros
  • Profit margin of 27.08% is exceptionally high for a capital-intensive defence manufacturer; 5-year earnings CAGR of 29.6% has outpaced 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.7%, indicating sustained operating leverage over the measurement period.
  • Debt-to-equity of 0.031 signals an effectively debt-free balance sheet; the debt trend is classified as falling, and FCF was positive in 4 of the tracked measurement years.
  • Fundamental consistency score of 86 out of 100, with ROE above 15% in 4 of the tracked years, reflects above-average earnings-quality persistence relative to the defence PSU peer set.
  • At a trailing PE of 35.99, HAL is the second-cheapest stock in its 6-peer Infrastructure group, sitting well below ABB India (95.2x), CG Power (113.8x), and Cummins India (66.5x), and close to L&T (34.0x).
Cons
  • RSI of 78.66 is in overbought territory; the stock has advanced 14.48% over 3 months and now stands 17.5% above its 50-DMA and 9.1% above its 200-DMA, the widest gap to trend averages in recent months.
  • ROE for the current period is unavailable, preventing direct comparison with peers L&T (15.54%) and CG Power (19.56%) and reducing confidence in the quality score of 53.
  • CMD D.K. Sunil departed on 1 May 2026; new CMD Ravi K. has just assumed charge during a period when the company is executing a 10,000-crore Nashik production-line expansion for Tejas MK-1A — adding a leadership-transition variable to an operationally intensive phase.
  • Quality score of 53 ranks 2nd in the peer group but sits in the mid-range on an absolute basis, reflecting room for improvement in the composite earnings-quality and capital-efficiency assessment.
Recent context
  • ·HAL and GE Aerospace signed a technology agreement in April 2026 for joint jet-engine manufacturing, extending an existing defence partnership and aligning with Make-in-India indigenisation objectives.
  • ·CMD D.K. Sunil stepped down on 1 May 2026; Ravi K. assumed charge as Chairman and Managing Director on the same date per The Hindu and Times of India — no operational disruption has been publicly disclosed.
  • ·HAL is deploying 10,000 crore to scale the Nashik facility for Tejas MK-1A production against a 2-lakh-crore reported order book, indicating multi-year revenue visibility alongside multi-year capital commitment.
Questions to ask yourself
  • ?Does the 29.6% five-year earnings CAGR reflect a durable structural shift in India's defence spending allocation, or does it rely on a concentrated set of large government contracts that may not recur at the same scale?
  • ?How has HAL historically navigated CMD transitions, and have past leadership changes coincided with any delays in order execution or changes in Ministry of Defence contract disbursements?
  • ?With the stock sitting 9.1% above its 200-DMA and RSI at 78.66, what have prior episodes of mean-reversion to trend averages looked like for HAL in terms of magnitude and duration?
  • ?Given that HAL is grouped with peers like ABB India and CG Power — businesses with very different revenue models — what peer group most accurately benchmarks HAL's PE of 35.99 and profit margin of 27.08%?

PE

36.0

Forward PE

32.7

ROE

Profit margin

+27.1%

D/E

0.03

Dividend yield

+1.0%

Quality score

53/100

ROE 5y above 15%

4/5 yrs

FCF 5y positive

4/5 yrs

Analyst consensus1.77 · 22 analysts(1–5 scale, lower = more constructive)

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.Analysis generated 10 May 2026.