Granules India Ltd.

NSE: GRANULES
NIFTY500
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 7 analysts
₹770.85+61.0%1Y
Last updated 03:03:35 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Granules India Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Granules India (₹736.2) is a mid-cap pharma API and formulations company that has delivered 60.5% price appreciation over the past 12 months, supported by FY26 revenue growth of ~20% and Q4 PAT growth of 33% YoY. The stock trades at a trailing PE of 30.2 and forward PE of 19.1, above most large-cap pharma peers in the sample, and sits 13.9% above its 50-DMA and 28.8% above its 200-DMA. Historical ROE consistency is low — 13.52% current ROE, above 15% in only 1 of the available years — even as 5-year earnings CAGR of 31.3% points to a recent acceleration.

P/E

30.2

Forward P/E

19.1

ROE

+13.5%

Debt / Equity

29.73

Profit Margin

+11.1%

Div. Yield

+0.2%

5Y ROE > 15%

1/5

5Y FCF > 0

4/5

Quality

59/100

Recent context

  • ·FY26 full-year revenue rose ~20% and Q4 standalone net sales grew 14.2% YoY to ₹876.8 crore, with PAT up 33% to ₹201.6 crore, driving the stock to a 52-week high in late April 2026.
  • ·Motilal Oswal issued a note citing a price target of ₹820 after Q4 results — the stock at ₹736.2 is approximately 10% below that stated target; this is a named-broker stated view, not an editorial endorsement.
  • ·News flow across 8 recent items is uniformly constructive (6 positive, 2 neutral, 0 negative), centred on earnings beats and management commentary on strategy; no adverse regulatory or FDA-related headlines are present in the current news set.

Strengths

  • +FY26 revenue growth of ~20% and 5-year earnings CAGR of 31.3% reflect a sustained top-line and bottom-line expansion phase uncommon among mid-cap generics peers.
  • +Quality score of 55 ranks 1st among 6 sector peers in the comparison set, ahead of SUNPHARMA (50), MAXHEALTH (54), APOLLOHOSP (42), CIPLA (24), and DRREDDY (17).
  • +Price action of +60.5% over 12 months with the stock now 28.8% above its 200-DMA and only 3.3% below its 52-week high reflects broad-based momentum; FCF has been positive in 4 of the available historical years.
  • +Forward PE of 19.1 represents a material compression from trailing PE of 30.2, suggesting the earnings base is expected to grow significantly in the near term per consensus estimates.

Weaknesses

  • Historical ROE of 13.52% has exceeded 15% in only 1 of the available years and the consistency score is 30/100 — earnings quality has been cyclically uneven and has not established a durable above-15% ROE track record.
  • Debt-to-equity of 29.7 is on a rising trend; in a capital-intensive generic pharma business, accumulating leverage alongside an inconsistent ROE history increases sensitivity to interest-rate and pricing-environment shifts.
  • Profit margin of 11.09% is modest for a pharma business and leaves limited buffer against raw material cost pressures, regulatory compliance costs, or US FDA audit outcomes that are typical headwinds for Indian generics exporters.
  • 5-year revenue CAGR of 22.8% and earnings CAGR of 31.3% embed a high growth expectation into the current valuation; any quarter where growth normalises meaningfully could compress the forward PE expansion thesis.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 5-year earnings CAGR of 31.3% reflect structural operating leverage in Granules' API-to-formulations integration model, or is it partly attributable to a benign pricing cycle in paracetamol and ibuprofen that may not persist?
  • ?Given that D/E of 29.7 is on a rising trend and ROE has been above 15% in only 1 historical year, how has management described its capital-allocation priorities — further capacity expansion or debt reduction — in the FY26 earnings call?
  • ?With the stock 28.8% above its 200-DMA and RSI near the upper neutral boundary, what level of earnings-growth deceleration would be required for the forward PE of 19.1 to revert to the trailing PE of 30.2, and how does that compare to historical growth volatility?
  • ?The quality score of 55 ranks first among the six peers sampled, yet the absolute score leaves significant room — what specific metrics (ROCE trajectory, FCF yield, margin stability) would need to improve for Granules to close the gap toward a quality score above 70?

Peer comparison: Pharma

Ranks 1 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
GRANULESGranules India Ltd.You're viewing30.2+13.5%55
Industry avgacross 5 peers46.9+11.8%37
MAXHEALTHMax Healthcare Institute Ltd.72.454
SUNPHARMASun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd.41.350
APOLLOHOSPApollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd.64.542
CIPLACipla Ltd.29.8+11.7%24
DRREDDYDr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd.26.7+11.8%17

Technical state

Current price

₹736.20

SMA 50

₹647.21

SMA 200

₹571.70

RSI (14)

68.8 (neutral)

From 52w high

-3.3%

1Y return

+60.5%

3M return

+27.2%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹602.20
₹593.00
₹555.20

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹761.40

Risk flags

  • medium
    ROE of 13.52% has exceeded 15% in only 1 of the available historical years and the consistency score stands at 30/100, indicating uneven earnings quality across the business cycle.
  • medium
    Debt-to-equity of 29.7 with a rising debt trend; in a capital-intensive generics business, sustained leverage accumulation warrants close monitoring against FCF generation (FCF positive in 4 of available years).
  • low
    RSI at 68.78 is approaching the upper boundary of the neutral range; stock is up 60.48% over 12 months and 27.18% over 3 months, trading 3.31% below its 52-week high with the nearest resistance at ₹761.4.
  • low
    Analyst coverage is thin at 7 analysts; mean rating of 1.71 on a 1–5 scale (lower = more constructive) is a small sample and subject to revision-concentration risk.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Q4 FY26 PAT grew 33% YoY and 12-month price gain is 60.48%, yet trailing ROE of 13.52% has been above 15% in only 1 historical year — the forward PE of 19.1 vs trailing 30.2 implies the market is pricing in sustained margin expansion that the historical ROE track record does not yet confirm.
  • News sentiment is uniformly positive (6 positive, 0 negative out of 8 items) and the stock is 13.9% above its 50-DMA and 28.8% above its 200-DMA, yet the consistency score of 30/100 and rising debt trend represent a fundamental quality gap that the recent price strength has not resolved.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 24 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 17 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days