Blue Star Ltd.

NSE: BLUESTARCO
NIFTY200
Analyst consensus:Neutral· 23 analysts
₹1,652.80+3.1%1Y
Last updated 03:03:29 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Blue Star Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Blue Star (BLUESTARCO) is a Consumer Goods manufacturer trading at ₹1,630.6, carrying a PE of 65.1 and reporting 5-year earnings growth of 17.1% — but with a profit margin of 4.23%, D/E of 23.59, and FCF positive in only 1 of the measured years, the balance sheet carries material leverage relative to its cash generation. The stock is 10.8% below its 200-DMA, down 20.1% from the 52-week high, with analyst mean rating of 2.71 across 23 analysts (1–5 scale, lower = more constructive).

P/E

65.1

Forward P/E

39.7

ROE

+16.2%

Debt / Equity

23.59

Profit Margin

+4.2%

Div. Yield

+0.5%

5Y ROE > 15%

4/5

5Y FCF > 0

1/5

Quality

42/100

Recent context

  • ·A Simply Wall St report (14 May 2026) noted issues beyond sluggish earnings for Blue Star, citing concerns that extend to underlying business quality.
  • ·Multiple Markets Mojo reports across April–May 2026 flagged sharp surges in derivatives open interest alongside price weakness, with the most recent (7 May) describing the pattern as "sharp" — elevated OI during price decline has historically preceded both capitulation and continuation.
  • ·The 52-week high stands at approximately ₹2,040 (implied by 20.07% drawdown from ₹1,630.6); nearest charted support is at ₹1,450, approximately 11.1% below current price.

Strengths

  • +5-year earnings CAGR of 17.1% indicates the business has expanded its bottom line at pace, outrunning the 1.9% revenue CAGR and suggesting improving unit economics.
  • +Forward PE of 39.7 is materially below the trailing PE of 65.1, implying analyst consensus expects a significant step-up in earnings over the near term if estimates are realised.
  • +ROE has been above 15% in 4 of the measured years (16.22% most recent), placing it 3rd of 6 among Consumer Goods peers on that metric.
  • +Lowest PE (65.1) among the five comparable peers in the sector where peers range from 72.2 (Titan) to 95.4 (DMart), and ahead of Asian Paints at 65.5.

Weaknesses

  • D/E of 23.59 is structurally elevated; debt trend is characterised as rising and FCF was positive in only 1 measured year, meaning the company cannot reliably cover or reduce debt from internal cash flows.
  • Quality score of 32 ranks 5th of 6 Consumer Goods peers, with consistency score of 56 and profit margin of 4.23% — thin operating cushion for a capital-intensive consumer durable business.
  • Price has declined 15.82% over 3 months and trades 10.8% below the 200-DMA, with RSI at 35.41 and a 20.07% drawdown from the 52-week high.
  • Analyst mean rating of 2.71 across 23 analysts (1–5 scale, lower = more constructive) is at the mid-range of the scale — notably less constructive than would be typical for a consensus growth name in the sector.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 17.1% 5-year earnings CAGR reflect genuine operating leverage, or is it partially driven by one-off tax relief, low base years, or accounting items that may not recur?
  • ?How has Blue Star managed its rising debt load — what proportion is working capital financing versus long-term capex, and what are the interest coverage trends over the past 3 years?
  • ?The forward PE of 39.7 implies a significant earnings jump relative to trailing earnings: what specific catalysts (capacity expansion, summer AC cycle, new segments) underpin analyst estimates?
  • ?With derivatives open interest surging during price weakness across multiple sessions, what does the composition of OI (put vs call, roll-over patterns) suggest about near-term positioning in the stock?

Peer comparison: Consumer Goods

Ranks 5 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
BLUESTARCOBlue Star Ltd.You're viewing65.1+16.2%32
Industry avgacross 5 peers79.7+19.6%37
TRENTTrent Ltd.85.7+27.1%49
ETERNALEternal Ltd.+1.2%41
DMARTAvenue Supermarts Ltd.95.4+12.9%37
TITANTitan Company Ltd.72.2+37.1%34
ASIANPAINTAsian Paints Ltd.65.523

Technical state

Current price

₹1,630.60

SMA 50

₹1,778.40

SMA 200

₹1,828.76

RSI (14)

35.4 (neutral)

From 52w high

-20.1%

1Y return

+2.8%

3M return

-15.8%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹1,450.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹1,876.90
₹1,921.00
₹1,928.90

Risk flags

  • high
    D/E of 23.59 is exceptionally high for a Consumer Goods manufacturer; FCF was positive in only 1 of the measured years, limiting organic debt-service capacity and raising solvency risk if revenue growth (5y CAGR: 1.9%) stalls further.
  • high
    5-year earnings CAGR of 17.1% contrasts with a profit margin of just 4.23% and a quality score of 32 — ranked 5th of 6 Consumer Goods peers — indicating that earnings growth has not translated into structural profitability improvement.
  • medium
    Price of ₹1,630.6 is 8.3% below the 50-DMA (₹1,778.4) and 10.8% below the 200-DMA (₹1,828.76); down 15.82% over 3 months and 20.07% from the 52-week high. RSI at 35.41, approaching oversold territory.
  • medium
    Debt trend is rising with FCF positive in only 1 measured year; consistency score of 56 and ROE above 15% in only 4 years reflects uneven capital returns over the measured period.
  • low
    News coverage is sparse (8 articles total) with 7 neutral and 1 negative; all top headlines originate from Markets Mojo, limiting breadth of sentiment signal.

Cross-section contradictions

  • 5-year earnings CAGR is reported at 17.1% (positive growth) while profit margin stands at 4.23% and quality score ranks last (5th of 6) among Consumer Goods peers — accelerating earnings on thin and bottom-ranked quality metrics warrants scrutiny of what is driving the growth figure.
  • Multiple news headlines cite surging derivatives open interest while price has declined 15.82% over 3 months — elevated OI accompanying sustained price weakness may reflect hedging or net short positioning rather than directional demand.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 15 May 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days