Bharat Forge Ltd.

NSE: BHARATFORG
NIFTY200
Analyst consensus:Neutral· 23 analysts
₹2,051.00+80.8%1Y
Last updated 05:13:44 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Bharat Forge Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Bharat Forge trades at Rs 2,164.70, up 80.5% over the past year and just 2.98% below its 52-week high, with price above both the 50-DMA (Rs 2,061.08) and 200-DMA (Rs 1,703.80). Trailing PE stands at 97.73x (44.95x forward) against ROE of 11.6% that has not exceeded 15% in the tracked persistence window, and a composite quality score of 23 (0-100 scale) ranks 5th of 6 tracked Auto sector peers. Recent news flow (8 articles, mid-to-late July 2026) is concentrated around a single MoU with Flying Whales to manufacture heavy-lift airships in India.

P/E

97.7

Forward P/E

44.9

ROE

+11.6%

Debt / Equity

76.47

Profit Margin

+6.4%

Div. Yield

+0.4%

5Y ROE > 15%

0/5

5Y FCF > 0

4/5

Quality

47/100

Recent context

  • ·Five of the 8 tracked headlines (July 22, 2026) cover the same event across outlets and languages: Bharat Forge signed a strategic MoU with Flying Whales to develop and manufacture heavy-lift airships for sovereign applications in India.
  • ·Overall news sentiment for the sample reads positive (7 of 8 articles), though the narrow event window and single-story concentration limit how much can be read into broad sentiment trend.
  • ·Mean analyst rating stands at 3.04 across 23 analysts on a 1-5 scale (lower = more constructive), a mid-scale reading relative to the stock's 80.5% 1-year price gain.

Strengths

  • +Price up 80.5% over 12 months and 16.32% over 3 months, trading above both the 50-DMA and 200-DMA with RSI at 56.31 (neutral, not overbought).
  • +Free cash flow was positive in 4 of the 5 tracked years (fcfPositiveYears = 4), with a flat rather than rising debt trend.
  • +Revenue grew at a 17.5% CAGR over 5 years, indicating sustained top-line demand.
  • +News sentiment reads 7 positive / 1 neutral / 0 negative across the latest 8-article sample, tied to a new MoU with Flying Whales to manufacture heavy-lift airships in India - a diversification into aerospace/defense.

Weaknesses

  • Trailing PE of 97.73x (44.95x forward) sits at the rich end of the tracked Auto peer set (20.70x-37.22x), while ROE of 11.6% has not crossed 15% in the tracked persistence window.
  • 5-year earnings CAGR of -18% against 5-year revenue CAGR of +17.5% - revenue growth has not converted into earnings growth over that stretch.
  • Composite quality score of 23 (0-100 scale) ranks 5th of 6 in the tracked Auto peer group, ahead of only TMPV (16).
  • Debt-to-equity of 76.5% alongside a profit margin of 6.42%, with a flat multi-year debt trend.

Open questions

  • ?Does the gap between 5-year revenue growth (+17.5%) and 5-year earnings growth (-18%) reflect temporary margin compression or a more structural cost issue?
  • ?What would need to change in ROE (currently 11.6%, never above 15% in the tracked window) for the current 97.73x trailing PE to look supported by underlying returns?
  • ?How much of the Flying Whales MoU is likely to contribute to near-term revenue versus representing a longer-horizon strategic option?
  • ?Given the stock's quality-score rank of 5th of 6 tracked Auto peers, what specific operating metrics would need to improve to close that gap?

Peer comparison: Auto

Ranks 5 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
BHARATFORGBharat Forge Ltd.You're viewing97.7+11.6%23
Industry avgacross 5 peers28.9+6.7%40
BAJAJ-AUTOBajaj Auto Ltd.27.457
EICHERMOTEicher Motors Ltd.37.256
M&MMahindra & Mahindra Ltd.20.742
MARUTIMaruti Suzuki India Ltd.30.5+14.4%31
TMPVTata Motors Passenger Vehicles Ltd.-1.1%16

Technical state

Current price

₹2,164.70

SMA 50

₹2,061.08

SMA 200

₹1,703.80

RSI (14)

56.3 (neutral)

From 52w high

-3.0%

1Y return

+80.5%

3M return

+16.3%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹2,082.00
₹2,049.88
₹1,871.32

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹2,223.20
₹2,231.23

Risk flags

  • high
    Trailing PE of 97.73x (44.95x forward) is the richest multiple among the 5 Auto peers with PE data (range 20.70x-37.22x, next-highest EICHERMOT at 37.22x), while ROE of 11.6% has not exceeded 15% in the tracked persistence window (roeYearsAbove15 = 0) - the valuation multiple is not supported by the company's tracked return-on-equity history.
  • high
    5-year earnings CAGR of -18% against 5-year revenue CAGR of +17.5%: sustained top-line growth over five years has not converted into earnings growth over the same period.
  • medium
    Composite quality score of 23 (0-100 scale) ranks 5th of 6 in the tracked Auto peer group, ahead of only TMPV (16); next-lowest apart from TMPV is MARUTI at 31.
  • low
    News sample totals 8 articles for the period, of which 5 report the same single event (a Flying Whales MoU announced July 22, 2026) across different outlets and languages - sentiment reads positive (7/1/0) but the sample is concentrated on one story rather than broad-based coverage.
  • low
    3 of 5 tracked Auto sector peers (BAJAJ-AUTO, EICHERMOT, M&M) show null ROE and null priceChange1Y in the peer dataset, limiting how directly BHARATFORG's ROE and price-return sector rankings can be benchmarked.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Price is up 80.5% over 1 year and only 2.98% below its 52-week high, trading above both the 50-DMA (Rs 2,061.08) and 200-DMA (Rs 1,703.80) with a neutral RSI of 56.31 - while ROE has not exceeded 15% in the tracked persistence window, 5-year earnings CAGR is -18%, and the composite quality score ranks 5th of 6 tracked Auto peers.
  • Mean analyst rating of 3.04 across 23 analysts (1-5 scale, lower = more constructive) sits at the middle of the scale even as the stock is up 80.5% over the past year and trading near its 52-week high.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 12 Aug 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 31 Jul 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days