Bank of Baroda

NSE: BANKBARODA
NIFTY100
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 34 analysts
₹279.90+23.4%1Y
Last updated 03:03:35 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Bank of Baroda: A 30-second snapshot

Bank of Baroda trades at Rs 268.5, a PE of 6.89x against a sector median closer to 15-29x among private-sector peers, with Q4FY26 PAT of Rs 5,616 crore representing 11% YoY growth. The stock is 17.5% below its 52-week high, below both moving averages, and has declined approximately 15% over the past 3 months despite the reported earnings improvement. ROE stands at 12.74% against an earnings-consistency score of 34, and 5-year revenue growth is negative at -7.6%.

P/E

6.9

Forward P/E

6.1

ROE

+12.7%

Debt / Equity

Profit Margin

+31.2%

Div. Yield

+3.2%

5Y ROE > 15%

1/5

5Y FCF > 0

2/5

Quality

58/100

Recent context

  • ·Q4FY26 results (May 2026): PAT of Rs 5,616 crore, up 11% YoY, with asset quality improving and a dividend declared; Business Standard had flagged pre-results risk of weak NII despite strong loan growth, suggesting NII may have been a relative soft spot.
  • ·Bloomberg reported Bank of Baroda is targeting doubling its balance sheet size over 5 years, which would imply a materially higher loan-growth trajectory than the 5-year historical average implies.
  • ·The stock declined approximately 15% over the 3 months to the run date despite the positive Q4 result, with the 52-week high near Rs 325 set earlier in the period; nearest identified support levels are Rs 260, Rs 255.3, and Rs 241.

Strengths

  • +PE of 6.89x is the lowest among the 6-stock peer group (next lowest: Axis Bank at 15.09x), and forward PE of 6.14x reflects continued earnings growth priced in at the current level.
  • +Q4FY26 PAT rose 11% YoY to Rs 5,616 crore with asset quality described as improving across multiple sources; dividend yield stands at 3.17%.
  • +5-year earnings growth of +7.1% has been positive even as revenue contracted, reflecting credit-cost normalisation over the post-NPA-cycle recovery period.
  • +Analyst rating of 1.85 across 34 analysts (1-5 scale, lower = more constructive) represents a constructive skew in the available coverage set.

Weaknesses

  • ROE of 12.74% has been above 15% in only 1 of the available years and FCF was positive in only 2 of the available years; consistency score of 34 is the second-lowest in the peer group, above only Bajaj Finserv (23).
  • 5-year revenue growth of -7.6% indicates net interest income or loan book has not grown in aggregate over the period; profit improvement depends on sustained margin and credit-cost tailwinds rather than volume.
  • Stock is below both the 50-DMA (Rs 268.95) and 200-DMA (Rs 275.85), and 17.5% off the 52-week high with a 3-month decline of approximately 15%; RSI of 50.3 is neutral with no momentum signal in either direction.
  • Debt trend is classified as rising and debtToEquity data is unavailable for a bank-sector calculation; ROE ranks 5th of 6 peers, above only HDFC Life (11.28%).

Open questions

  • ?How much of the 5-year earnings recovery reflects cyclical credit-cost normalisation versus a structural improvement in underwriting quality, and how might provisioning requirements behave in a credit-cycle downturn?
  • ?Does the gap between Bank of Baroda PE of 6.89x and private-sector peers at 15-29x reflect a persistent PSU discount, a transient market dislocation, or a genuine difference in long-run return on equity expectations?
  • ?If the bank targets doubling balance-sheet size over 5 years, what capital-raising requirements might that imply and how would those affect existing shareholders?
  • ?ROE has exceeded 15% in only 1 of the available years; what specific conditions would be required for ROE to sustain above 15%, and does the current credit environment make those conditions more or less likely?

Peer comparison: Banking

Ranks 2 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
BANKBARODABank of BarodaYou're viewing6.9+12.7%50
Industry avgacross 5 peers31.2+14.2%39
BAJFINANCEBajaj Finance Ltd.29.1+17.9%53
AXISBANKAxis Bank Ltd.15.1+13.2%50
HDFCBANKHDFC Bank Ltd.16.6+13.8%50
BAJAJFINSVBajaj Finserv Ltd.28.8+14.6%23
HDFCLIFEHDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd.66.2+11.3%20

Technical state

Current price

₹268.50

SMA 50

₹268.95

SMA 200

₹275.85

RSI (14)

50.3 (neutral)

From 52w high

-17.5%

1Y return

+15.0%

3M return

-15.0%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹260.00
₹255.30
₹241.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹270.25
₹271.90
₹286.25

Risk flags

  • medium
    ROE of 12.74% has exceeded 15% in only 1 of the available years, and FCF was positive in only 2 of the available years; consistency score of 34 reflects lumpy provisioning cycles and uneven earnings quality typical of PSU banks.
  • medium
    5-year revenue growth of -7.6% while 5-year earnings growth is +7.1%, indicating profit improvement has been driven by margin expansion and credit-cost normalisation rather than top-line growth; debt trend is classified as rising.
  • medium
    Current price of Rs 268.5 is below both the 50-DMA (Rs 268.95) and 200-DMA (Rs 275.85); the stock is 17.5% below its 52-week high and has declined approximately 15% over the past 3 months.
  • low
    BANKBARODA ranks 5th of 6 peers on ROE at 12.74%, below Bajaj Finance (17.91%), HDFC Bank (13.82%), and Axis Bank (13.15%); peer 1-year price return data is unavailable, limiting relative-momentum context.
  • low
    News sample covers only 8 articles; limited coverage window constrains the reliability of the positive sentiment reading (5 positive, 1 negative).

Cross-section contradictions

  • Q4FY26 net profit rose 11% YoY and asset quality improved per headlines, yet the stock has declined approximately 15% over the past 3 months and trades below both the 50-DMA and 200-DMA, indicating that the earnings outcome has not translated into sustained price momentum.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 1 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days