Astral Ltd.

NSE: ASTRAL
NIFTY200
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 29 analysts
₹1,536.70-1.1%1Y
Last updated 02:55:33 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Astral Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Astral Ltd, classified in the Infrastructure sector, trades at ₹1,533 with a trailing PE of 76.5 and a forward PE of 45.5, reflecting market pricing for substantially higher earnings ahead. Five-year revenue CAGR of 24.2% demonstrates strong top-line growth, but debt-to-equity of 6.168 is rising and ROE of 13.8% has exceeded 15% in only 2 of the available historical years. The stock is 2.4% below its 50-DMA and down 7.87% over three months, with a 52-week drawdown of 13.32%.

P/E

76.5

Forward P/E

45.5

ROE

+13.8%

Debt / Equity

6.17

Profit Margin

+8.2%

Div. Yield

+0.2%

5Y ROE > 15%

2/5

5Y FCF > 0

4/5

Quality

53/100

Recent context

  • ·Q4 FY26 consolidated revenue grew 24.21% YoY to ₹2,088.5 crore while profit rose approximately 20%, but CNBC TV18 reported the results missed analyst estimates across metrics, and a dividend was declared.
  • ·News flow over the past two weeks is net positive (4 positive, 2 neutral, 2 negative across 8 articles), with coverage centred on the Q4 results print rather than any strategic or regulatory developments.
  • ·The 3-month price decline of 7.87% and current position 2.4% below the 50-DMA (₹1,570) follow the results period, with nearest support at ₹1,520.6 and resistance levels at ₹1,661.5 and ₹1,768.7.

Strengths

  • +5-year revenue CAGR of 24.2% and earnings CAGR of 18.9% demonstrate sustained top-line and bottom-line expansion over the medium term.
  • +Q4 FY26 standalone net sales of ₹1,902.8 crore rose 23.37% YoY and consolidated net sales of ₹2,088.5 crore rose 24.21% YoY, extending the growth trend into the most recent reported quarter.
  • +FCF was positive in 4 of available historical years, and price remains above the 200-DMA (₹1,493), preserving the long-term uptrend line.
  • +Forward PE of 45.5 represents a 40.5% discount to the trailing PE of 76.5, with mean analyst rating of 1.52 across 29 analysts (1–5 scale, lower = more constructive).

Weaknesses

  • Debt-to-equity of 6.168 with a rising debt trend is elevated for a building-materials manufacturer; FCF consistency score is 45 out of 100, reflecting irregular free cash generation.
  • ROE of 13.8% has cleared the 15% threshold in only 2 of available historical years, and the quality score of 45 ranks 4th of 6 among visible Infrastructure sector peers.
  • Q4 FY26 results missed analyst estimates across multiple metrics despite headline profit growth of 20%, per CNBC TV18 reporting, introducing uncertainty about earnings quality.
  • Trailing PE of 76.5 is the third-highest among the 6 visible sector peers; the forward PE of 45.5 embeds a sharp earnings-recovery assumption that any shortfall could pressure.

Open questions

  • ?Does the rising debt trend reflect deliberate expansion investment with a clear payback timeline, or ongoing working-capital pressure?
  • ?How much of the 5-year revenue CAGR of 24.2% is attributable to volume growth versus pricing, and how durable is each component given current infrastructure demand cycles?
  • ?Given that Q4 FY26 missed estimates despite 20-24% revenue growth, what specific line items drove the shortfall and how do they affect the earnings-acceleration assumption embedded in the forward PE of 45.5?
  • ?How does Astral's ROE trajectory compare to sector peers such as CUMMINSIND (ROE 29.46%) and BEL (ROE 27.56%), and what structural factors explain the persistent gap?

Peer comparison: Infrastructure

Ranks 4 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
ASTRALAstral Ltd.You're viewing76.5+13.8%45
Industry avgacross 5 peers72.4+23.4%47
CUMMINSINDCummins India Ltd.66.6+29.5%69
BELBharat Electronics Ltd.49.1+27.6%49
ABBABB India Ltd.95.947
CGPOWERCG Power and Industrial Solutions Ltd.116.0+19.6%45
LTLarsen & Toubro Ltd.34.3+16.9%24

Technical state

Current price

₹1,533.10

SMA 50

₹1,570.18

SMA 200

₹1,492.94

RSI (14)

47.4 (neutral)

From 52w high

-13.3%

1Y return

+1.6%

3M return

-7.9%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹1,520.60
₹1,456.60
₹1,431.60

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹1,661.50
₹1,768.70

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 6.168 with a rising debt trend is substantially elevated for a building-materials/pipes manufacturer; FCF was positive in only 4 of available years and the consistency score stands at 45 out of 100, flagging questions about capital discipline.
  • high
    ROE of 13.8% cleared the 15% threshold in only 2 of available years, and quality score of 45 ranks 4th of 6 among Infrastructure sector peers (behind CUMMINSIND at 69, BEL at 49, ABB at 47); trailing PE of 76.5 and forward PE of 45.5 embed a significant earnings-acceleration assumption.
  • medium
    5-year revenue CAGR of 24.2% outpaces 5-year earnings CAGR of 18.9%; profit margin is 8.17%, and Q4 FY26 results missed analyst estimates across metrics per CNBC TV18, despite reported 20% profit growth.
  • medium
    Price of ₹1,533 sits 2.4% below the 50-DMA (₹1,570) though remains 2.7% above the 200-DMA (₹1,493); 3-month price change is -7.87% and 52-week drawdown is -13.32%; nearest support at ₹1,520.6 is less than 1% below current price.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Q4 FY26 revenue grew 23-24% YoY and news sentiment is net positive (4 positive vs 2 negative), yet 1-year price change is only 1.62% and the 3-month change is -7.87%, suggesting the strong top-line print has not translated into price momentum.
  • Forward PE of 45.5 represents a significant compression from trailing PE of 76.5, implying the market is pricing in a sharp earnings acceleration, while the 5-year earnings CAGR of 18.9% and a recent estimate miss create uncertainty about whether that acceleration will materialise.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 1 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days