Ashok Leyland Ltd.

NSE: ASHOKLEY
NIFTY200
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 33 analysts
₹154.91+34.9%1Y
Last updated 02:55:01 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Ashok Leyland Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Ashok Leyland (₹149.78) is a large-cap commercial vehicle manufacturer that reported record FY26 revenue and profit, yet the stock trades 28.74% below its level of 3 months ago and below both its 50-DMA (₹164.18) and 200-DMA (₹161.99). The 5-year earnings CAGR of 24.5% and a dividend yield of 2.25% coexist with a debt-to-equity of 344.74 and zero free-cash-flow years in the tracked period.

P/E

25.3

Forward P/E

18.3

ROE

+21.6%

Debt / Equity

344.74

Profit Margin

+6.2%

Div. Yield

+2.3%

5Y ROE > 15%

3/5

5Y FCF > 0

0/5

Quality

49/100

Recent context

  • ·Ashok Leyland reported FY26 all-time high revenue and profit (per May 28 2026 headlines), with management citing strong commercial vehicle demand and a resilient outlook.
  • ·The company announced plans to begin in-house EV battery pack production by FY28, signalling a capex commitment toward electrification of its CV lineup.
  • ·Despite the positive FY26 results news, the stock has declined approximately 28.74% over the 3 months preceding the draft date, with analyst mean rating of 1.91 across 33 analysts on a 1–5 scale where lower is more constructive.

Strengths

  • +5-year earnings CAGR of 24.5% outpaces the 5-year revenue CAGR of 17.4%, suggesting operating leverage has improved over the cycle.
  • +Forward PE of 18.25 is a 28% compression from the trailing PE of 25.34, and is the lowest PE among the 6 Infrastructure-sector peers tracked (sector range: 25–116).
  • +Dividend yield of 2.25% is present alongside reported FY26 record results, including all-time high revenue and profit per the most recent news headlines.
  • +ROE of 21.64% for the current period exceeds the peer median, ranking 3rd of 6 among tracked Infrastructure peers (peer range: 16.95%–29.46%).

Weaknesses

  • Debt-to-equity of 344.74 is significantly elevated for a non-financial industrial; the debt trend is rising, increasing vulnerability to interest rate or demand cycle stress.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the tracked years, raising questions about whether reported profits are being converted into distributable cash; consistency score stands at 50.
  • Quality score of 37 ranks 5th of 6 in the Infrastructure peer group, and profit margin of 6.16% leaves limited buffer against cost or demand shocks.
  • Price is below both the 50-DMA (₹164.18) and 200-DMA (₹161.99) with a 30.47% drawdown from the 52-week high and the nearest support at ₹148.76, approximately 0.7% below the current price.

Open questions

  • ?Does the D/E of 344.74 reflect operational lease obligations, vehicle financing subsidiaries, or core manufacturing debt — and how does each component trend over the past 3 years?
  • ?The 5-year earnings CAGR of 24.5% stands against zero FCF-positive years in the tracked period; what explains the divergence between reported earnings and cash generation?
  • ?Ashok Leyland trades at a forward PE of 18.25 versus peers ranging from 34 to 116 — does the valuation gap reflect a structural risk premium, a cyclical trough, or a sector classification mismatch?
  • ?The EV battery pack production plan targets FY28; what is the expected capex quantum and how might it interact with an already elevated and rising debt level?

Peer comparison: Infrastructure

Ranks 5 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
ASHOKLEYAshok Leyland Ltd.You're viewing25.3+21.6%37
Industry avgacross 5 peers72.4+23.4%47
CUMMINSINDCummins India Ltd.66.6+29.5%69
BELBharat Electronics Ltd.49.1+27.6%49
ABBABB India Ltd.95.947
CGPOWERCG Power and Industrial Solutions Ltd.116.0+19.6%45
LTLarsen & Toubro Ltd.34.3+16.9%24

Technical state

Current price

₹149.78

SMA 50

₹164.18

SMA 200

₹161.99

RSI (14)

38.5 (neutral)

From 52w high

-30.5%

1Y return

+24.9%

3M return

-28.7%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹148.76
₹143.13

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹172.80
₹181.39
₹199.21

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 344.74 is atypically elevated for a commercial vehicle manufacturer; the debt trend is rising, amplifying sensitivity to interest-rate moves and demand downturns. D/E at this level is more consistent with financial-sector balance sheets than industrials.
  • high
    Free cash flow was positive in 0 of tracked years; consistency score of 50 and ROE exceeding 15% in only 3 of tracked years indicate that strong earnings-growth figures (5y CAGR 24.5%) have not translated into cash generation.
  • medium
    Current price of ₹149.78 is below both the 50-DMA (₹164.18) and 200-DMA (₹161.99). The stock is down 28.74% over the past 3 months and 30.47% from the 52-week high. Nearest support level is ₹148.76, approximately 0.7% below current price.
  • medium
    Quality score of 37 ranks 5th of 6 peers in the Infrastructure sector. Profit margin stands at 6.16%, and ROE has only cleared the 15% threshold in 3 of the tracked years despite a 5-year revenue CAGR of 17.4%.
  • low
    News sample is limited to 5 articles, with 3 of the 4 positive items published on the same day (2026-05-28) covering the same FY26 results announcement; sentiment breadth is narrow and may not represent sustained coverage.

Cross-section contradictions

  • News sentiment is positive (4 of 5 articles, covering FY26 record revenue and profit) yet the stock has declined 28.74% over the past 3 months and sits below both the 50-DMA and 200-DMA, suggesting the market has not responded constructively to the earnings news.
  • 1-year price return of +24.87% is positive while the stock is simultaneously 30.47% below its 52-week high, indicating the annual gain was concentrated in an earlier sub-period and has since reversed sharply.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 1 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days