Ambuja Cements Ltd.

NSE: AMBUJACEM
NIFTY100
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 41 analysts
₹426.85-19.6%1Y
Last updated 02:58:16 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Ambuja Cements Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Ambuja Cements (NSE: AMBUJACEM) is a large-cap cement producer trading at Rs 434.90 as of the run date, down 22.28% over 12 months and 30.41% below its 52-week high, with both the 50-DMA (Rs 438.76) and 200-DMA (Rs 519.98) acting as overhead levels. The trailing PE stands at 22.85 against a cement-sector peer range of 12.0-51.9, while ROE of 8.31% has not cleared 15% in any tracked year and FCF was positive in only 1 of the tracked years. Mean analyst rating of 1.97 across 41 analysts (1-5 scale, lower = more constructive).

P/E

22.9

Forward P/E

28.0

ROE

+8.3%

Debt / Equity

1.21

Profit Margin

+11.6%

Div. Yield

+0.5%

5Y ROE > 15%

0/5

5Y FCF > 0

1/5

Quality

43/100

Recent context

  • ·Q4 2026 results (reported early May 2026) showed net profit up 78.5% YoY aided by one-offs, but TradingView and Business Standard both flagged weak EBITDA and margin pressure, and the stock fell 2.5% on the results day.
  • ·A SimplyWallSt analysis published 13 May 2026 noted that strong reported profits may be masking underlying issues — consistent with the divergence between the 77.2% 5-year earnings CAGR and persistent low ROE.
  • ·The company has communicated strategic capacity expansion plans; the capital intensity implied by D/E of 1.21 on a rising trend suggests these expansions are being funded with incremental debt.

Strengths

  • +Revenue has grown at a 5-year CAGR of 9.4%, reflecting the company's scale as one of India's top-3 cement producers by capacity.
  • +Trailing PE of 22.85 is the second-lowest among the 6 tracked cement peers (range 12.0-51.9), indicating compressed valuation relative to the sector median.
  • +Q4 2026 net profit was reported at +78.5% YoY, and Devdiscourse coverage cited strategic capacity expansion efforts alongside the profit headline.
  • +Dividend yield of 0.45% and RSI of 45.1 (neutral band) indicate neither extreme momentum nor dividend distress at current prices.

Weaknesses

  • ROE of 8.31% has not exceeded 15% in any single tracked year, and the persistence consistency score is 0 — returns on capital have been structurally low.
  • FCF was positive in only 1 of the tracked years, and D/E of 1.21 is on a rising trend, pointing to elevated and growing capital requirements relative to cash generation.
  • The stock has been below the 200-DMA for an extended period, currently 16.4% beneath that level (Rs 519.98), with a 30.41% drawdown from the 52-week high — the largest absolute price decline among the tracked peer set.
  • Q4 2026 EBITDA margins were under pressure; the strong net profit figure was driven by a tax benefit rather than operating leverage, creating a divergence between headline and operating earnings quality.

Open questions

  • ?Does the 77.2% 5-year earnings CAGR reflect a genuine improvement in the business's earning power, or is it primarily the result of tax benefits and non-recurring items that may not recur?
  • ?At what level of EBITDA margin recovery would the forward PE of 27.96 appear justified relative to peers such as UltraTech (PE 40.4) and ACC (PE 12.0)?
  • ?Given that D/E is 1.21 and rising with FCF positive in only 1 tracked year, how is the company planning to fund its stated capacity expansion without further leveraging the balance sheet?
  • ?How has Ambuja's return on capital evolved since the Adani Group acquisition, and does the ownership structure change the interpretation of debt trends and capital allocation decisions?

Peer comparison: Cement

Ranks 2 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
AMBUJACEMAmbuja Cements Ltd.You're viewing22.9+8.3%32
Industry avgacross 5 peers35.1+8.6%31
SHREECEMShree Cement Ltd.51.939
ACCACC Ltd.12.0+10.9%32
ULTRACEMCOUltraTech Cement Ltd.40.4+10.6%31
DALBHARATDalmia Bharat Ltd.28.7+6.5%27
GRASIMGrasim Industries Ltd.42.5+6.3%25

Technical state

Current price

₹434.90

SMA 50

₹438.76

SMA 200

₹519.98

RSI (14)

45.1 (neutral)

From 52w high

-30.4%

1Y return

-22.3%

3M return

-15.1%

50-DMA

Below

200-DMA

Below

Algorithmic support levels

₹421.10
₹394.00

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹462.45
₹468.80
₹547.00

Risk flags

  • medium
    FCF positive in only 1 of tracked years; D/E of 1.21 with a rising debt trend and consistency score of 0 — capital intensity has consumed most operating cash generation.
  • medium
    Price is down 22.28% over 12 months and 15.08% over 3 months, trading below both the 50-DMA (Rs 438.76) and 200-DMA (Rs 519.98). The 52-week drawdown stands at 30.41%, with nearest support at Rs 421.
  • medium
    ROE of 8.31% has not exceeded 15% in any tracked year (0 of available history). Quality score of 32 ranks 3rd of 6 cement-sector peers, and Q4 2026 EBITDA margins compressed despite a tax-driven net profit jump.
  • low
    Forward PE of 27.96 is above trailing PE of 22.85, embedding an earnings recovery expectation while Q4 operating margins were under pressure.

Cross-section contradictions

  • Q4 2026 net profit rose 78.5% YoY aided by tax-related one-offs while EBITDA and operating margins deteriorated — headline earnings and underlying operating performance diverged materially.
  • 5-year earnings CAGR of 77.2% coexists with ROE never having cleared 15% and FCF positive in only 1 tracked year, suggesting profit growth was driven by non-recurring items rather than compounding returns on equity.
  • News sentiment shows 2 positive and 2 negative items with a neutral overall label, yet the stock is down 22% over 12 months — price action is significantly weaker than the neutral news balance might imply.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 1 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days