Adani Power Ltd.

NSE: ADANIPOWER
NIFTY100
Analyst consensus:Constructive· 7 analysts
₹229.76+116.7%1Y
Last updated 02:58:16 IST· Public market feed (~15 min delay during market hours)

Adani Power Ltd.: A 30-second snapshot

Adani Power, India's largest private thermal power generator, trades at Rs 232.30 — up 110.9% over the past 12 months and 64.4% over the past 3 months — sitting 8.6% below its 52-week high. At a PE of 35.09 (forward PE 27.53) and ROE of 20.91%, it ranks first among its 6-peer power sector group on both ROE and quality score (41/100), but carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 82.33 with a rising debt trend that stands as its most material structural overhang.

P/E

35.1

Forward P/E

27.5

ROE

+20.9%

Debt / Equity

82.33

Profit Margin

+23.7%

Div. Yield

5Y ROE > 15%

4/5

5Y FCF > 0

3/5

Quality

57/100

Recent context

  • ·ICICI Securities downgraded its rating on Adani Power, shifting to 'Add' with a stated price target of Rs 233 — near the current price of Rs 232.30; this named-broker action was reported in May 2026.
  • ·Adani Power acquired a stake in JP Power, driving JP Power shares up as much as 20%; the move signals inorganic capacity expansion in the thermal segment, adding integration and capital-allocation considerations to track.
  • ·Adani Group stocks including Adani Power hit new 52-week highs in late May 2026 on broad group demand; news sentiment across 8 articles stands at 4 positive, 3 neutral, and 1 negative.

Strengths

  • +Highest ROE among 6 tracked power sector peers at 20.91%, with ROE exceeding 15% in 4 of the past 5 years, indicating sustained returns on equity through the recovery cycle.
  • +Earnings growth of 88.8% over 5 years — among the strongest in the sector — driven by margin expansion and financial restructuring, reflected in a profit margin of 23.66%.
  • +Price above both the 50-DMA (Rs 201.26) and 200-DMA (Rs 157.38), with RSI at 58.02 in neutral territory and only 8.6% below the 52-week high.
  • +PE of 35.09 sits at mid-range relative to sector peers (ADANIGREEN at 150.9x, ADANIENSOL at 80.4x), while forward PE compresses to 27.53x, reflecting earnings growth expectations in consensus.

Weaknesses

  • Debt-to-equity of 82.33 is exceptionally elevated for a non-financial power company and the trend is classified as rising; any deterioration in power purchase agreement revenues or merchant tariffs would amplify solvency pressure at this leverage level.
  • 5-year revenue growth of -0.1% means the earnings recovery has been entirely margin-driven rather than volume or price-led; top-line stagnation over a 5-year horizon constrains the durability of the earnings trajectory.
  • FCF positive in only 3 of 5 recorded years and a quality score of 41/100 — ranked first in the peer group but still in the lower half of a 0-100 scale — indicate earnings quality concerns persist despite the profitability recovery.
  • Nearest major support level at Rs 144.65 is approximately 37.7% below the current price; a reversion to that level following the 64.4% 3-month rally would represent a material drawdown to the next established structural reference.

Open questions

  • ?How much of the 88.8% five-year earnings growth reflects operational improvement versus one-time items from debt restructuring, and how sustainable is the current 23.66% profit margin if merchant tariffs normalise?
  • ?With D/E of 82.33 rising over time and FCF positive in only 3 of 5 years, what proportion of the debt is long-term project financing with fixed repayment schedules versus refinancing risk sensitive to interest-rate movements?
  • ?The nearest ICICI Securities price target of Rs 233 is essentially at the current price following their downgrade — does the analyst mean rating of 1.71 across 7 analysts (1-5 scale, lower = more constructive) adequately price in the leverage risk embedded in the balance sheet?
  • ?Does the 64.4% 3-month price appreciation reflect a re-rating of power sector fundamentals broadly, or is it specific to Adani Power's corporate actions and group-level sentiment recovery?

Peer comparison: Power

Ranks 1 of 6 on quality
SymbolNameP/EROEQuality
ADANIPOWERAdani Power Ltd.You're viewing35.1+20.9%41
Industry avgacross 5 peers58.8+11.8%21
POWERGRIDPower Grid Corporation of India Ltd.14.2+16.5%37
ADANIGREENAdani Green Energy Ltd.150.9+7.6%28
ADANIENSOLAdani Energy Solutions Ltd.80.4+9.7%23
NTPCNTPC Ltd.12.4+13.7%19
TATAPOWERTata Power Co. Ltd.35.9+11.3%0

Technical state

Current price

₹232.30

SMA 50

₹201.26

SMA 200

₹157.38

RSI (14)

58.0 (neutral)

From 52w high

-8.6%

1Y return

+110.9%

3M return

+64.4%

50-DMA

Above

200-DMA

Above

Algorithmic support levels

₹208.03
₹144.65
₹139.53

Algorithmic resistance levels

₹234.40

Risk flags

  • high
    Debt-to-equity of 82.33 is exceptionally elevated for a non-financial power generation company; the debt trend is classified as rising, raising solvency exposure if power purchase agreement revenues or merchant electricity rates compress.
  • medium
    5-year revenue growth of -0.1% indicates a flat top-line over the period; the 88.8% 5-year earnings growth reflects margin expansion and financial restructuring rather than organic revenue gains, limiting visibility on durable earnings quality.
  • medium
    Nearest major structural support at Rs 144.65 is approximately 37.7% below the current price of Rs 232.30; with a 3-month gain of 64.4% and a 12-month gain of 110.9%, the gap between current price and established support is unusually wide relative to recent momentum.
  • low
    News corpus covers only 8 articles, which is sparse for a large-cap power company; 1-year price-change data is null for all 5 listed peers, preventing a complete sector-relative momentum comparison.

Cross-section contradictions

  • 5-year earnings growth of 88.8% and ROE of 20.91% — above 15% in 4 of the past 5 years — signal a strong profitability recovery, yet the quality score of 41/100 and persistently rising debt indicate that headline earnings strength has not translated into balance-sheet improvement.
  • Price up 110.9% over 12 months and trading well above both the 50-DMA (Rs 201.26) and 200-DMA (Rs 157.38), yet the company carries a D/E of 82.33 with a rising debt trend — an extreme leverage position not commonly reflected in the buoyant price action.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. VivaTrades is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. Market data sourced from public feeds; consult a registered adviser before any investment decision.

Fundamentals & technicals: refreshed 25 Jun 2026 · refreshed daily at 01:00 IST

AI synthesis (narrative, snapshot, strengths/weaknesses, peer ranking): generated 1 Jun 2026 · rotates through NIFTY 500 every ~5 days